Cric_lancster

Heaviest shower in a good few hours here

Aye - the edge of that activity could be showing its hand here.

Slightly off with my oval drawing but this shows a slight increase in activity further south.

Aye it looks fairly dodgy going into Friday, found the GFS and the NAE work fairly well short-term (<48 hours) for these sorts of things, will be keeping my eyes peeled to see how this one pans out - I tend to take the ECM for broader patterns past t48 - never really thought it was great for the nuances nearer the time. Looks as though it will fill in as it passes over Scotland, but I'll back it still be packing a fair old punch - Irish sea won't be too friendly on its current track I imagine!

In excess of 2 inches now out, really is baltic out there in the wind. Back to the fine powdery snow falling now. Strong winds whipping snow off the roofs.

Steady for the last couple of hours now, bigger flakes in the past 20 minutes. Just heading past the inch mark on the ground now.

fine snow coming down steady, as for the earthquake didn't feel a thing last night and yet to find anyone who has, but then again we are students and sleep through anything

Reckon it'll be a case of check the radar tomorrow and looking outside from now on, this evening indicates that well.

Been coming down light and steady for the past hour and a half now, all the grass is covered up here. Just goes to prove how complex and surprising the weather can be!

Steady snowfall here for the past 20 minutes or so.

Quite right remarkable appearance its made though along the DAM line, extends from the south coast right the way up past York now! Looks to be packing some oomph as well.

Bit of Dandruff appearing now at the uni, wedged between the band currently over Birmingham and the phantom band that's appeared.

Hmmm yes this is curious, it seems to be expanding on the radar out of nothing really. Odd.

Just thought I'd post this in here - courtesy of snowwonder in the Winter Model Discussion thread, it's from Luton Airport, but still reckon it sums up the UK situation pretty well. 'UK - As forecast we have seen large accumulations of snow across far eastern parts of the UK over the last few days which mostly missed LTN & STN, but ice is now affecting many other areas of the country. The next 2 days look much drier and brighter but still very cold, giving us some respite from potentially disruptive wintry weather but a continued risk of severe frost and ice and plenty of de-icing activity. However, towards the end of the week it looks as though there will be a transition to more unsettled conditions spreading from the west. Over the last few days the UK has seen a battle between cold air to the east and north-east, and milder, moist air to the west. Cold air has certainly won the battle for the moment but milder air in the west is trying to push against it all the time. This is creating very difficult conditions to forecast. The current thoughts are that a band of rain will push in from the west on Friday, hit cold air and turn to snow that could produce significant accumulations for much of the UK. The main risk areas initially are Northern Ireland, Wales, northwest England, the West Midlands and southwest England but it is likely that these conditions will move east over the course of Friday and into the weekend. However, considerable uncertainty remains in exactly how the band of precipitation will then position itself, whether it continues northeast or stalls over western Britain. In the extreme west, snow is likely to turn back to rain but we could see large accumulations of snow in places. Amounts of snow are highly uncertain but there is currently a moderate risk of severe disruption to our operation. Over the weekend further outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow are expected to push in from the west but there is still considerable uncertainty as to how quickly this might happen and whether or not we will see slightly less cold conditions despite the above predictions.'

Early days on where Friday/Saturday precip will get to yet, like many say 48 hours is practically FI. The Beeb seem quite bullish about a countrywide snow event, with the snow spreading extensively eastwards through Friday. A lot of cold water to go under the bridge before the location of that band reveals itself.