Mr Frost

Yaaaaaaaaas! Mon the snow shower!!!

BEGONE marginal sh**e!!! This is all more like it. Sunday 15:00 Monday 15:00 Tuesday 12:00 Let’s see what becomes of it all!

Ski resorts would be mobbed in normal times - just reading this on BBC news today. One of my favourite pictures every Winter - Cairngorm summit weather station below. Covid in Scotland: Closed ski resorts have 'best snow in years' Covid in Scotland: Closed ski resorts have 'best snow in years' WWW.BBC.CO.UK Despite the most magnificent conditions in 11 years, the slopes remain closed because of lockdown. Just thinking back to the beginning of last March (all ski centres closed on the 23rd of that month of course) - Glencoe Mountain had amazing conditions that continued through the Spring season - as did most ski centres. 'Four metres' of snow in three weeks at ski centre WWW.GOOGLE.CO.UK Operators of Glencoe Mountain say lifts and huts have been partially buried. Hopefully we are back to normality for Winter 2021/22.

Agreed! Expecting to wake up to scenes like this Sunday/Monday/Tuesday. (Joking of course) I actually moved here in July 2018 so missed this action below! (My old house in Croftfoot is in the warning area at the moment for Saturday, Sunday and Monday) Gourock BFTE 2018: (Source Twitter) Back to the here and now...snow warnings galore, few folk in here up to their knees in snow at the moment/soon and a cold/wintry outlook for the foreseeable future! Great stuff for the Scottish thread! This is what Winter is all about!

Lovely! Quite scary to think how much is forecast rest of today through to Wednesday at least for you! Plus you have the big height advantage! Look forward to more pictures from you over the coming days! Just looking at the Met Office maps section and UKV for later - heavy persistent/prolonged snowfall. 21:00 Friday 00:00 03:00 06:00 Had a look at the forecast for Alford as well - @Sceptical Bonkers! Really interested to see what snow depths are registered through this spell in parts of the N/NE! All this snowfall could be on the ground for a long time! ECM still going strong on the 14/02! Madness!

Morning all Few snapshots this morning. Sunday 00:00 Monday 00:00 Tuesday 00:00 Strathclyde Met Office regional this morning: Dumfries, Galloway, Lothian & Borders: IMBY view going to pretend I never seen the above charts or read that update! I expect plenty of upgrades in real-time and amber/red warnings!

Beautiful! Was just watching a wee video from there earlier! Look at that depth above and then add on a potential 30cm to 50cm later Thursday into Saturday - bonkers stuff! Promised myself earlier I would not look at charts again but this is a special event/occasion! This is seriously impressive snowfall! Thursday 22:00 Friday 00:00 02:00 04:00 And to think I get all excited over one centimetre of settling snowfall.

Nah not here - Greenock did though! I seen numerous social media posts last night of snake sightings in Inverkip, Kilmalcolm, Gourock and Wemyss Bay! I think it has become a bit of a running joke. @Hairy Celt someones pet snake escaped I think! Cops confirm 14ft snake captured in Greenock amid multiple sightings of constrictor-type reptiles - Daily Record WWW.GOOGLE.CO.UK Images on social media circulating today appear to show the huge creatures on the ground by hi-viz clad workers in Greenock Only one was ever found - rest was hoax sightings.

I think they are sick of issuing warnings for Scotland. Here is the UKMO chart for next Tuesday: Looking at that...more warnings to come! At some stage! I am now banning myself from looking at any models/charts for the rest of the week! Hopefully that way I am pleasantly surprised. (Still be browsing this thread and looking at charts others post of course as that does not count )

Morning all Classic N/S Winter split today - check out that temperature difference. 12:00 Beautiful UKMO this morning - would certainly bank that. 07/02: 08/02 Latest ECM monthly temperature (T2m) anomalies - week two...08/02 to 14/02. If you look closely you can see the actual beast from the East... Great start to the year! Big below average month up here for January. All the best to you all.

@edo I am just here for everyone’s snow pictures! @Hairy Celt @LomondSnowstorm Yes and quite incredible indeed - feel bad for the presenters! They obviously know they are working off old information! Few January stats! Mean temperature, rainfall amount and sunshine duration against the 1981-2010 anomaly/average. That is a big below average month for us! Couple of highlights from the latest ECM monthly temperature (T2m) anomalies. 08/02 to 14/02 01/03 to 07/03 Cold start to Meteorological Spring has been showing up for a couple of weeks now.

Morning all Models are getting a wee bit ridiculous this morning with the old snow depths/lying snow depths! Just focusing out to 120 hours at the moment. ECM out to 00:00 Saturday. UKV out to Saturday 03:00. Bit OTT with the widespread 50cm but that amount can’t be ruled out for higher ground...somewhere! Again on the models this morning...higher parts of inland NE/N most favoured for the huge amounts! Especially later in the week! Example below. Friday 06:00 Obviously all subject to change (track of this makes a huge different with regards to heavy snowfall distribution from North to South!) but this just sits there on this current run from Thursday evening through to Saturday morning - Met Office surely keeping an eye on all that! Risk is also there for big totals over the Southern Uplands through this week. Low ground week ahead still showing heavy rain, sleet or snowfall - covering at the very least for many of us at some stage! Usual higher ground best bet for decent depths. All of that before we even get to that amazing run from the ECM this morning between 144 and 240 hours! (Worth a look if you have not seen it this morning!) Exciting stuff in our final month of Meteorological Winter! All the best to you all! Edit: @LomondSnowstorm would be great to hear what you think could happen this week?

Yes - spot on. Pretty shocking but has been mentioned/charts matched up by numerous members on this forum over the last few weeks. You will see them use the morning ECM run right through until the evening for every forecast! Solely ECM/Meteogroup data/charts. As we all know on 6 February 2018, BBC Weather changed supplier from the government Met Office to MeteoGroup, after being required to put its weather services out to tender. (Source Wikipedia) Current example below. ECM run from this morning... BBC look ahead forecast earlier this evening... Here is the current chart for that same day from the latest ECM run. Their forecasts will catch up eventually. They only use the Met Office nowadays for weather warnings. The BBC are basically on the day ten rollercoaster with the model thread! I can’t take the Countryfile forecast or any others seriously anymore - only because we are weather enthusiasts who check the ECM charts daily.

Evening all Few snapshots from the UKV and ECM. Tuesday 12:00 Wednesday 12:00 Thursday 12:00 Friday 12:00 Snowfall risk before and after those timeframes - inland (higher) parts of the NE get absolutely buried on the latest UKV...especially later in the week. Looking further ahead check out that cold pool to our NE/E on the ECM - 08/02 and 09/02. Not bad for us either!

Roughly -7! -5 to -6 far West and small pockets of -8 up North. Shetland Islands are having a lovely spell of Winter weather - sure we had a member on here who used to post from there?

Morning all Keep an eye through the weekend on overnight temperatures - chance of a -18C or even lower! Our current official minimum temperature for Winter so far is -12.3C in Loch Glascarnoch! That should be easily beaten. Tuesday still showing that snowfall risk - would expect at the very least (if this track/details stays similar) for the Met Office to include higher parts of Central, SW, S and SE in any new/updated warnings. 06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 Current regional sitting on the fence: Much prefer the Yorkshire and Humber latest regional: Latest UKMO charts for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday look very decent. It does look as though next week (Tuesday to Friday at least) has the potential for significant snowfall/sleet or rain. Wednesday 21:00 So the final month of Meteorological Winter starts on a wintry/cold note and still no end in sight for the foreseeable future. Have a good weekend everyone!

Great stuff there Tim - excellent investigation work! Are you a policeman by any chance!? Just to add Met Office use the UKV (They run that model) for the map section on the APP - always good to know what model relates to different forecasts so we can slag them off when it all goes t**s up! Current example of Met Office APP/UKV match up: Friday 03:00 06:00 At least you will have thunderstorms in Summer down there...oh no...of course you won’t mate! One thing you are guaranteed is tropical days/nights! Lovely trade off for receiving no snowfall most Winters! Won’t be long until we are all searching for the first plume event! Back to our current weather - marginal snowfall events are starting to grind my gears! Couple recently have been mostly high ground around these parts! ECM last couple of frames would be lovely going forward. Hopefully we can all tap into some deep cold through February - it’s been a good Winter for many but let’s go out with a big BFTE snowfall extravaganza to end Winter 2020/21! All the best to you all and good luck for the potential weekend snowfall events down South.

Evening all Had a bit of everything today - heavy rain, sleet and about fifty wet snowflakes! Still a couple of hours of precipitation for some of us - rain, sleet or snow? It’s hard to even care anymore! Next opportunity as we all know is Thursday! Few snapshots below - lots going on before and after these timeframes on the day. 04:00 12:00 As per the Met Office warning that risk above continues into Friday - higher ground favoured. Snowfall risk also showing for Sunday/Monday - Met Office bring the front through earlier than the ECM. 12:00 15:00 Monday 12:00 As ever subject to change/timing on all the charts above - some will get lucky and others will wonder what all the fuss is about! Will it be rain, sleet or snow below roughly two hundred meters!? The marginal theme continues! All the best to you all.

Latest ECM monthly temperature (T2m) Anomalies are looking good for us - no sign of anything above average/blowtorch! We continue with the cold theme for the first half of February and then a bit more average for the second half. Looking further ahead to Meteorological Spring...cold start! Weekly breakdown of all the above. 01/02 to 07/02 08/02 to 14/02 15/02 to 21/02 22/02 to 28/02 01/03 to 07/03 Does anyone remember the days we used to get Atlantic storms in Winter!? It was only last Winter this happened...as we all know it was validated a few days later. Winter 2020/21 is delivering the cold/snowy goods for many of us - just need that big BFTE grand finale to put the icing on it all!

Good shout! Something that is worth noting for tomorrow is that late afternoon/evening has the better snow parameters for widespread low level wet snow. (100 meters and below - central belt included) Early afternoon is looking roughly the most likely window for rain/sleet to low levels. 14:00 Precipitation type: Dewpoint: Now here are the predicted conditions for 19:00 - note the dewpoint temperature looking a wee bit more supportive and the darker shades of blue on the wet bulb freezing height level chart for the area discussed above. If all that was to become reality I would be expecting sleet at least to sea level here later tomorrow. As ever all subject to change but plenty of potential there for many of us to see some snowfall below the magical 200 meters. Another one of these very marginal events between snow/sleety pish and rain for low levels - it is becoming a wee bit of a pain in the ars* this Winter! Would be great to not worry about a single snow parameter the day before a potential event - no wonder @CatchMyDrift f***** off to Canada! All the best and good luck to everyone at risk!

Evening all! This all sums up today - tiny dusting, freezing cold, fog and a wee rabbit that I walked past. IMG_2710.MOV Looking further ahead to Tuesday...Met Office summary from this morning was for a dry, cold and sunny day... This has now changed... They have been all over the place the last few days with regards to what happens on Tuesday/Wednesday - constantly pushing things back and then bringing them forward! ECM latest for Tuesday 12:00 Met Office/UKV 14:00 15:00 Heavy snowfall risk there on both models - interesting to see what happens with this! Could be very decent or a bit of sleet/drizzle! Plenty of time for that track/detail to change. Now onto Thursday... ECM 12:00 - heavy snowfall risk to low levels. Met Office/UKV 12:00 - wet and windy to low levels. So plenty for us all to keep an eye on/discuss for the week ahead - hopefully it all delivers the goods for someone in here! On that note...off to the lamppost I go once again! More sleet than snow now sadly for here over the next few hours. (Much better inland with a wee bit of height - if/when they push through) All the best to you all.

Evening all Hope you are all well. Frustrating couple of days here! Been surrounded with wintry/snow showers at times but unfortunately the most intense ones have either went North or South of me! Couple that did make it overhead delivered snow flurries. That theme continues through the remainder of the weekend - wee signal though for Sunday evening into Monday morning for more widespread wintry/snow showers. Sunday 20:00 Monday 04:00 Quick look further ahead - Tuesday is looking mainly dry/sunny! Risk of rain/sleet/snow now pushed back to Wednesday. 12:00 15:00 18:00 Thursday could be a washout for many of us away from much higher ground. 06:00 Would prefer the latest ECM for the same day! 12:00 @shuggee Noticed you posted earlier about 30/01... And of course we can’t leave out the old ECM day ten special! Plenty of wintry potential there through the final week of January. On that note...all the best to you all! I am off to investigate the lamppost for more incoming...snow flurries! (Hopefully I can get a wee dusting by tomorrow morning at least!)

Yes - great post. Looking really good at the moment - snow window from today through to Sunday with regards to showers/streamers! These pushing well inland at times. -6 850HPA temperature through today and then into tonight -7! Overnight and then Saturday -8 makes an appearance. Few other snow parameters all very promising for sea level fun and games! Saturday 12:00 850HPA & Sea level pressure (4MB) 500 - 1000HPA thickness (dam) Dewpoints (c) Risk of thunder & lightning around the coast - maybe thunder snow at times! Precipitation type 15:00 Looking further ahead into Tuesday - risk of another rain preceded by snow event. 15:00 18:00 21:00 Wintry Scottish January continues! All the best to you all - have a good weekend!

Morning all! Great stuff in here! Parts of the E/SE really are having a fantastic Winter! @101_North that 300 meters move to the new house along the road has really worked wonders! Seen this on Twitter from @Penicuikblizzard old stomping ground! Bit of sleet for me at sea level earlier on! No idea if anything has settled on higher ground. (Will be investigating shortly) Looking across to the Cowal/Argyll hills - caked in snow above 400 meters (dusting down to 100 meters which more often than not is a good sign for over here) Would usually be jumping on the ferry and heading straight over there to enjoy proper deep snow higher up! Obviously no chance of that happening with current circumstances. Once again it is good news if you have decent depths of snowfall on the ground - cold weekend ahead so can’t imagine there will be much melt! Few predicted temperature snapshots: Friday 12:00 Saturday 12:00 Sunday 12:00 Monday 12:00 Enjoy the snow! Plenty of snowman pictures please - never too old to build one! All the best!

Main action for the West/Central parts arrives after midnight - early hours hold the most snow potential! That’s the plan at least. All ties in nicely with the latest Met Office forecasts. 00:00 03:00 I am quite happy with all that from a purely IMBY perspective (wee tweak here and there would be better!) - hopefully it becomes reality for myself and many others of course! Wee tweet here for the South of Edinburgh ladies and gents.