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Mr Frost

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Mr Frost last won the day on February 6

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    Gourock, Scotland
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    Snow, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales, Hot & Sunny or Cold & Sunny!

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  1. Evening all! Hope everyone is well! Pretty stormy up here at times in the last twenty four hours - unfortunately for me...not in the West of Scotland! (SW has had its moments) UKV gives Heathrow a 35C tomorrow and 31C on Thursday - exceptional spell of weather down in the SE! Tomorrow 12:00, 13;00 and 14:00 Thursday 15:00 and 18:00 Wonderful and very interesting Summer weather for many of our members! 25C here tomorrow with plenty of sunshine. All the best to you all! Edit: Yes @Man With Beard (post below) tomorrow they show thunderstorms/downpours breaking out early afternoon. As we all know take any cloud cover/precipitation charts as this stage just for fun. Cheers!
  2. Good stuff for our members in the North and East! (Minus the flooding risk of course!) @Stormeh take yer pick from one of those places for storm chasing tonight!
  3. That’s the really annoying thing - love watching the convection building (convective clouds) and of course cumulonimbus approaching surrounded by blue sky! Convective weather mentioned a swathe of Scotland at risk of elevated thunderstorms overnight in his forecast... That looks pretty decent! If it actually happens of course! @Ross B Yes it’s game on now the warnings have been cancelled! As ever...we shall see what happens! Interesting day/night ahead. Bring back Summer 2019:
  4. I love how the areas outside the warning got the thunder/lightning earlier. Can’t see much happening in the West today - SE/E/NE have a chance later. As always with thunderstorm forecasts though... All the best! Edit: Convective weather forecast for today: Convective Weather WWW.CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days. Scottish highlights: A few isolated elevated thunderstorms will be possible E Scotland and E England during Tuesday daytime. An increase in thunderstorm coverage, primarily elevated, is expected from Cumbria northwards across a swathe of Scotland during Tuesday night. Explosive deep convection could evolve by late afternoon and more especially into the evening hours almost anywhere in England, Wales and southern Scotland. Getting excited again after reading all that!
  5. Main action still coming through later - roughly between midnight and 04:00! (Delayed a bit from earlier outlook) Few snapshots from the 12z run earlier: As ever with thunderstorm forecasting - might all vanish or be in a totally different location when these times arrive! Worth a wee look at these though. I think it’s just a question of will it be thundery rain, thunderstorms galore or bog standard rainfall!? And of course...can we stay awake!? Real risk of some torrential downpours at times - hopefully no flooding issues! Interesting radar watching later tonight! All the best.
  6. Yes - fell asleep just before the last two overnight thunderstorm events to my SW/W! Not happening this time! Better prepared. Daytime wise has been slim pickings around these parts this Summer so far! Met Office current warning: As you say it’s all about the old radar/sat/sky watching now. Models still flapping about for tonight - could be further West, East or not even happen at all! The joy of thunderstorms! Lively down South at the moment: Best of luck everyone - hopefully we see some action! (Those who want storms of course) All the best.
  7. Latest UKV 15z: Few snapshots for tomorrow: Recurring theme at the moment - think this model has a Wales/NW England bias.
  8. This has just popped up for tomorrow. Please let it become reality! Issued: 10:50 (UTC+1) on Sun 9 Aug 2020 Areas of thunderstorms are increasingly likely to develop over the the UK during Monday and move north or north-westwards to affect parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland through the afternoon and evening. Whilst the most intense thunderstorms, in some instances associated with large hail, will most probably be those triggered by the high temperatures of the day over England and Wales, other areas of storms producing heavy rainfall, frequent lightning and strong gusty winds could move north to affect Scotland and Northern Ireland during the afternoon and evening. Where the storms occur, rainfall totals of 30-40 mm could fall in an hour, with some locations potentially receiving 60-80 mm in 3 hours, although these will be fairly isolated.
  9. Morning all Lovely day yesterday - sunny and a high of 21C. (Same expected today) Sunset last night. Risk of a few isolated showers/thunderstorms creeping into Southern Scotland overnight. Models/charts flapping about as usual with regards to further ahead but a few folk in here would bank these! Monday early afternoon: Monday night: Tuesday early morning: All the above subject to change of course - next run will no doubt be completely different. Good to see the risk is there though! Exciting week coming up and plenty of nice weather about - not bad at all. All the best. Edit: Issued: 10:50 (UTC+1) on Sun 9 Aug 2020 Areas of thunderstorms are increasingly likely to develop over the the UK during Monday and move north or north-westwards to affect parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland through the afternoon and evening. Whilst the most intense thunderstorms, in some instances associated with large hail, will most probably be those triggered by the high temperatures of the day over England and Wales, other areas of storms producing heavy rainfall, frequent lightning and strong gusty winds could move north to affect Scotland and Northern Ireland during the afternoon and evening. Where the storms occur, rainfall totals of 30-40 mm could fall in an hour, with some locations potentially receiving 60-80 mm in 3 hours, although these will be fairly isolated.
  10. Morning all UKV also keeps the heat going through Wednesday and Thursday - subject to change. Big excitement for me this coming week is the thunderstorms risk - severe in places. (UK and Ireland) Sunshine/warmth/heat/thunderstorms...that’s what Summer is all about for many of us. Have a good day everyone.
  11. Morning all UKV 03z highlights this morning... As ever...just for fun at this range. Back to the current timeframe - latest from @staplehurst for today. Convective Weather WWW.CONVECTIVEWEATHER.CO.UK Forecasting thunderstorms and severe convective weather across the British Isles and Ireland for up to the next 5 days.
  12. Indeed - a load of Betty Swollocks from the usual vibe assassin’s/buzz killingtons in here. The hint is in the title of the thread and there are thunderstorm warnings out for the UK on three separate days next week. Many folk enjoy the build up by looking at charts/models. (Myself included) If people are daft enough to believe charts will verify at this range let them get on with it! I am sure everyone in here is a big boy/girl and can think/read/post for themselves - no-one needs lectured about what to do or not to do with regards to posting/viewing charts. Looking forward to viewing this thread over the next five/seven days - should be entertaining. All the best to you all and let’s hope next week delivers the thunderstorm goods for many of us! Cheers.
  13. Morning all Not the old Heathrow/Kew Gardens rubbish again! Every single Summer without fail - tick that one off yer Netweather Summer bingo cards folks! Big difference between the UKMO and ECM at 144 this morning: UKMO: ECM: People looking to cool off will be hoping that UKMO chart becomes reality! Enjoy/don’t enjoy the warmth/heat - piping hot 20C for me today! Have a good weekend everyone!
  14. Morning all Again UKV 03z run delivers big time storm action! Few midnight frames for the coming days: Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. ECM midnight for same days above: Selected highlight charts from the UKV 03z run: Monday through Wednesday. Pretty much everywhere at risk! NW England probably getting the best of it all from current output/charts. Seen @Weather-history mention this below on the NW regional thread! North West England weather forecast from the Met Office: Outlook for Monday to Wednesday: There is a risk of severe thunderstorms through this period which could be interspersed with clearer and sunny spells. Staying warm and humid during both day and night. As ever for any new members viewing this...don’t take these charts as gospel. Will change about twenty times before the days above arrive. Lovely to look at though! Have a good weekend everyone.
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