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Stu Robinson

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Everything posted by Stu Robinson

  1. Roger, I think that we lost the anvil level winds... We were in Broken bow and was on the first radar blip but we were then pulled over by the police! We were just over the speed limit and let off with a warning - however 20 munities had passed so we were behind the storm. skip forward many hours and we were investigating the then tornado warned tail end cell south of Loop city, NW (09:00pm). Impressive structure and at 09:30pm we observed a 2 minute tornado south of Farwell.
  2. Hi all – We (Alistair chapman and I) are not streaming this year as we have a limit on the data card and we are on a budget! We pick up severe cells around Lemasa, TX quite early (14:30) and followed them down to Sterling City, TX of the next 7 hours – we saw impressive structure (again!) and also a brief but confirmed rope tornado out of Sterling city, We also observed a large dust crown north of Garden city (was reported as a muti-vortex) but with out any visible condensation. We will target West Texas today – if I was younger I would be hauling up to North Dakota to set up for tomorrow – but that is a 21 hour drive!
  3. Very Sad news has emerged that Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras and Carl Young were all killed in the El Reno Oklahoma Tornado on Friday night. All of these were vertern chasers Tim (30 Years) Both tim and Carl always made of point of talking to me and were interest in UK tornadoes. I am too stunned for words to post any more. Attached is an image from 2006 with tim showing me his ground braking tornado probes.
  4. From NWS OKC "Overview of tornado tracks today. These are only estimates based on location of radar circulations". the track down I40 caught a lot of car out. That is why I dont use interstates around tornadoes.
  5. The Tornado Hunt vehicle after being thrown nearly 200 yards by the El Reno Tornado in Oklahoma City tonight no reports on injuries
  6. I agree OKC as my target. Today is high risk for huge hail IMO. Moderate for Tornadoes..
  7. Just pack light - all you really need is a couple of pairs of trousers and a few tee shirts - throw in a shell rain jacket and you are good to go.
  8. I am late to add my forecast for today but given your starting location (Childress, TX) I am working what is doable for your selves driving wise J The SPC have SE NE with a 5% (tornado) but I am interested in an area just a tad South and West of there. I do expect storms to form on the North side of the Johnson Mesa and then track North East towards Lamar to Cheyenne Wells , actually quite early around 22Z. HRRR backs this up as well with a solid signature for a convective bomb over Lamar to Cheyenne Wells. I would be tempted to sit in Cheyenne Wells so that you can pick up any developments to the south and allow them to pull you north. If you can spend the night on I80 then all options are open for day2 and 3 Edit- I would hold in Lamar or better Granada. SPC have also just latched on to this setup and have moved the 5% to this area!
  9. Are you guys heading to Oz today? if so Can you start a day 16 thread?
  10. Wow! looks like the Matador cell has actully pulled the boundry into the updraft. NW team have got thier and should have a great view right now.
  11. This is a high end production from the same team that made blue planet etc. I got involved in the weather side of things with Tornadoes and Hurricanes - one to watch. Discovery tonight at 21:00pm http://www.tvguide.c...sp?id=157223398
  12. Matidor is now spewing out landspouts! however 2 inch hail also reported so becarful if you need to core punch as you position.
  13. Matador torm is now tornado warned - NW team - get there!!
  14. Arron- Matador down HW 70 would be a better option. 50K tops now on this storm - looks like the HRRR was correct.
  15. Looks like we have a storm forming just now 20 mile South East of Turkey. NW are on route to investigate.
  16. The day is set http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0782.html
  17. I Would like to attend - does any one want to split fuel costs from the Midlands? i am based in North Leicestershire.
  18. 15z HRRR blows up a huge supercell near to Turkey by 20z. Storms will be slow moving but given the general south East motion I would be tempted to position just a tad further south of Clarendon. Looking at surface Obs the area Turkey to Plainview looks like a sweet spot with strong wind convergence and upslope occurring. The whole area still looks capped as per SPC MESO analysis but I expect this to erode…
  19. My first forecast after Monday… But today has me interested in Severe storms forming over the Texas Panhandle Target: Groom, just East of Amarillo, TX Should be an 3-4pm show with storms firing along a frontal boundary – the exact final location of this boundary will be critical to today’s final target but I do expect it to be within 50 miles of Groom. Storm motion will be South East. Forecast hodographs actually don’t look too bad (Pampa to Shamrock) on the nose of a moist plume being pulled North West and up over the cap rock. I am expecting Supercells and a window of opportunity for tornados 5 – 8pm.
  20. Tornado rated as EF5 from NWS Oklahoma. Fast Facts [*]A rating of EF-5 has been given to the tornado that affected the Newcastle, south OKC, and Moore areas in McClain and Cleveland Counties. [*]The tornado had.a path length of approximately 17 miles and was on the ground for approximately 40 minutes from 2:56 PM - 3.26 PM CDT. [*]The preliminary maximum path width is 1.3 miles SURVEY SUMMARY: EXPERTS SURVEYING IN MOORE HAVE DETERMINED DAMAGE IS EF5 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OVER 200 MPH. FOUR SURVEY TEAMS CONTINUE TO INSPECT DAMAGE FROM THIS LONG TRACK TORNADO. INITIAL DAMAGE WAS FOUND AROUND 4.4 MILES WEST OF NEWCASTLE...SOUTH OF TECUMSEH ROAD ALSO KNOWN AS NW 16TH STREET AND EAST LAKE ROAD. THE TORNADO TRACKED NE TO THE INTERSTATE 44 BRIDGE OVER THE CANADIAN RIVER AND THEN TOOK A MORE EASTWARD TRACK THROUGH MOORE. TORNADO DAMAGE ABRUPTLY ENDS 0.3 MILES EAST OF AIR DEPOT ROAD AND N OF SE 134TH ST.
  21. Candice - so I have seen EF5 damage from the news footage - this is something I NEVER want to see again.
  22. 20th May 2013 Moore tornado track from NWS OKC http://sphotos-c.ak.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ak-prn2/964772_570332949654303_561819179_o.png
  23. The images will be all over the internet and will help with the Tornado intensity rating- looks EF4 from what I have seen right now.
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