Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Pembroke Dangler

Members
  • Posts

    410
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Pembroke Dangler

  1. The last time the Met were this bullish about a potential cold spell of weather was in November 2010 the rest as they say is history. Could we be on the cusp of a memorable winter period? Stay tuned for some jaw dropping charts to start appearing in the next 10 days I recon. I’d gladly sacrifice Xmas week and New Years for a spell of cold in January.
  2. The further north the high sets up the better Atlantic trough disruption and then perhaps a prolonging of the cold flow over the uk as long as the northern arm of the jet is weaker.
  3. Looks like the models are now firming up on a lot of unsettled often colder than average conditions for the next 10-14 days, with no jet stream to steer the weather could be a lot of rain around with snow confined to hills in the north and sometimes further south but low ground will need to hope for fronts encroaching into colder air. I’m ready for some spring warmth now and I’m off for a taste of it in Cyprus a balmy 22oC there next week and I’m flying Wednesday.
  4. The winter that promised so much and didn’t deliver here in Swansea but hey ho that’s the way it goes sometimes. I’m off to warmer climbs on Wednesday paphos a balmy 22oC let’s be having you
  5. Someone better tell the met office it’s snowing in Bynea near Llanelli very light but yep snow and what does the app say? Yep you guessed it dry as a bone ??
  6. Euro sat is bonkers, emma is moving her high cloud West to easy over the English Channel and the beast is moving east to west over roughly the same place it’s bizarre il post a link to the satellite site I use now in a minute.
  7. Have you seen how much snow is hitting the English Channel right now what an absolute waste of snow. I’m off to Cyprus on Wednesday roll on .....
  8. BBC app saying heavy snow and the met office saying dry in Swansea tomorrow wow ?
  9. Lake effect streamer of the Bristol Channel it’s coming a bit heavier here now in loughor Swansea
  10. Well the met office graphics show Tuesdays front to hit just northern parts of Wales yet the bbc graphics are showing it hitting mid and South Wales so if this system isn’t nailed on then fridays is going to be wrong aswell because this system interacts with the Atlantic system. Very dynamic and changing all the time. Who’d be a forecaster lol.
  11. This is exactly as I see it the low may not even impact us at all and fill in the bay of biscay leaving us in the beasterly. But I’m hoping a middle ground will occur risk reward and all that, stalling in the channel and dumping a metre of snow somewhere along the southern half of the uk starved of snow for so long.
  12. It looks like the low is being pulled from the southern jet heading into Spain and the easterly weaker jet to the north of it. I think it will be weaker than projected and further south come the time but it’s a headache that’s for sure.
  13. I’m hoping so Jay everything is crossed for this one. As long as it’s dry for my drive to Birmingham airport on the 7th all will be good ?
  14. Bit gutted buy that chart looks like an area of lighter snow in a line from Swansea to the Llyn peninsula. Why would that be? It seems to be a recurring theme.
  15. I just can’t see that low moving from directly south to north it will have some easterly movement to it surely sending centre of the low into north France and Belgium that’s how I see it going.
  16. Yeah best case scenario for obv reasons it’s still a week away but I’m pretty confident that the models have a fair handle on this one along with the met office and metogroup (that the bbc use now) that this could be an epic snowy spell for us in Wales ??????? ?
  17. OMG if the gfs 18z comes off we will be in some deep trouble of the snow kind right the way through to summer lol
  18. The low pressure moving under the block to our south will try and encroach wrapped in warm air and moisture which will be the uk equivalent of a snow bomb like they get in the north east coast of the states. It’s still a long way to be guaranteed but trust me this set up has 1982 written all over it and this will follow snow showers that will get this far west from the North Sea die to the strength of the wind. So in the words of Andy it’s going to tonk it down just watch.....
  19. Just seen the news 24 forecast extended version and Wales will be buried next Friday caboom
  20. I think a middle ground between the 12z gfs and 18z will be more the outcome tbh it’s just a variation on a theme but all good ?
  21. So we have a vicious circle ️ and it’s a circle of cold that has the propensity to keep reloading never seen such a a synoptic just wow wow wow
  22. The thing is the GFS is meant to be the most progressive of the models and always try’s to revert to climatology......... the easterly is actually hitting the east coast of Canada
  23. That shortwave circled red on ukmo needs to drop south and join the lower heights over Italy to help advect the colder air to the east of it to Blighty and with it a trough of heavy snow showers. That’s where I think it will go anyway.
  24. What’s even more mental is the temp abouve northern Canada +2.5oC at the same height. SSW at its best.
×
×
  • Create New...