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Pembroke Dangler

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Everything posted by Pembroke Dangler

  1. Pembroke Dangler
    Hopefully the last one for a while as the energy in the Atlantic starts heading further and further south on a weakening Jet less of a steer towards us and more down into southern France and then eventually into Iberia as we start pulling in polar maritime air and then arctic air as we enter the second week of Jan. It’s coming
  2. Pembroke Dangler
    Yes they do seem to slowly jumping of the fence so to speak and going with colder blocked scenarios, I love the bit about the block being towards the north west which would point to more of a Northerly outbreak which is good for here as long as the uppers are cold enough, could see Lake effect snow coming in off the Irish Sea in bands.
  3. Pembroke Dangler
    I think I’ve found the culprit Gower Grassland on fire pretty big one too
  4. Pembroke Dangler
    Very weird orange Hew in the sky this late afternoon wonder if it’s to do with the volcano in Iceland very peculiar
  5. Pembroke Dangler
    They’ve been quite resolute in predicting chance of prolonged colder weather from mid January so this could indicate a qtr from the strat or a lagged mjo in phase 8-1 maybe. Anyhow patients is needed I feel.
  6. Pembroke Dangler
    Nice to see those stubborn heights drain away from Iberia tidy run this so far
  7. Pembroke Dangler
    I’d like a Cluster 3 please, and fits in with some of What Tamara and MattH mentioned earlier with heights north and east retrogression to Greenland, maybe to early though but I like it
  8. Pembroke Dangler
    The Met office outlook still points towards a colder start to next month and a small chance of being prolonged so totally agree with you there shouldn’t be so much despondency the outlook is still looking decent. Patients needed
  9. Pembroke Dangler
    Just need these to come more into the reliable timeframe and not at 300+ hours and we can hope from mid to late January we see the response and cold can come in, this I feel is our only way for country wide cold for the rest of this winter.
  10. Pembroke Dangler
    Sliders back in the Mix from the 6z GFS if only
  11. Pembroke Dangler
    Heights starting to drain from Spain good sign could be a good one here heights holding southern tip of Greenland come on down Santa you have tail winds
  12. Pembroke Dangler
    Vortex vacating Greenland to Siberia side low heights in the med, could be a powerhouse northerly on this run, fingers crossed it’s one run and I bet it’s an outlier but a trend setter maybe?
  13. Pembroke Dangler
    I think it’s going to on this run the waa is going to force that whole vortex lobe towards scandi but I’m a little worried of it being to west based let’s see
  14. Pembroke Dangler
    So much uncertainty and flapping about in the models these past couple of days but this I feel keeps us all in the game for snow, even in the balmy South west wales. If the last 4 runs had been showing the breakdown moving north with each new run I’d have been thinking Fair enough mild is coming but they a correcting south it seems. If this trend continues I’d be inclined to say even the Channel Islands could get in on the act leaving all the mainland uk cold through to end of next week at least
  15. Pembroke Dangler
    Anyone up for a posh starter for the first day of winter? Main course will be ready for Christmas
  16. Pembroke Dangler
    Yep I’d Bank that for first day of winter proper, I’d take a bit of risk reward this early in the season with 3 months or so of winter still to come it’s like a posh starter before the main course later in December if the Global drivers deliver the goods
  17. Pembroke Dangler
    Classic fohn effect here now direct easterly winds coming up and over the beacons and causing it to warm up here now upto 4oC in north Swansea will probably be rain here as the front pushes in maybe some sleet in heavier bursts. Ah well is what it is
  18. Pembroke Dangler
    This looks a bit more promising for Wednesday
  19. Pembroke Dangler
    Yes and a battleground setting up shop over wales with blizzards up and down the country, now that would be a dream outcome
  20. Pembroke Dangler
    This looks a perfect fit for the recent displacement of the pv over to our side of the northern hemisphere, you can see the imprint by looking how perfect a line there is running cross polar to our little islands just wow
  21. Pembroke Dangler
    Another batch of heavy showers moving in now could produce with heavier bursts hopefully but of evaporative cooling
  22. Pembroke Dangler
    That’s not Snow it’s showing the flow of the jet stream, I wish it was snow though we’d be digging out for days
  23. Pembroke Dangler
    Might even get a Pembrokeshire Dangler set up and push more inland with a more nnw wind by the looks of it, but hard to predict even 24 hours out these features so a watching radar and lamppost job.
  24. Pembroke Dangler
    If you zoom into the yellow border I drew you can clearly see snow covering Gower Swansea Port Talbot even
  25. Pembroke Dangler
    Wales, midlands all along the m4 corridor buried bank that thanks very much
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