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Pembroke Dangler

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    Swansea South West Wales
  • Weather Preferences
    Cold and Snow in winter Warm Sunny Summer

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  1. I just can’t see that low moving from directly south to north it will have some easterly movement to it surely sending centre of the low into north France and Belgium that’s how I see it going.
  2. Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Yeah best case scenario for obv reasons it’s still a week away but I’m pretty confident that the models have a fair handle on this one along with the met office and metogroup (that the bbc use now) that this could be an epic snowy spell for us in Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 👍
  3. Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    OMG if the gfs 18z comes off we will be in some deep trouble of the snow kind right the way through to summer lol
  4. Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    The low pressure moving under the block to our south will try and encroach wrapped in warm air and moisture which will be the uk equivalent of a snow bomb like they get in the north east coast of the states. It’s still a long way to be guaranteed but trust me this set up has 1982 written all over it and this will follow snow showers that will get this far west from the North Sea die to the strength of the wind. So in the words of Andy it’s going to tonk it down just watch.....
  5. Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Just seen the news 24 forecast extended version and Wales will be buried next Friday caboom
  6. I think a middle ground between the 12z gfs and 18z will be more the outcome tbh it’s just a variation on a theme but all good 👍
  7. So we have a vicious circle ⭕️ and it’s a circle of cold that has the propensity to keep reloading never seen such a a synoptic just wow wow wow
  8. The thing is the GFS is meant to be the most progressive of the models and always try’s to revert to climatology......... the easterly is actually hitting the east coast of Canada
  9. That shortwave circled red on ukmo needs to drop south and join the lower heights over Italy to help advect the colder air to the east of it to Blighty and with it a trough of heavy snow showers. That’s where I think it will go anyway.
  10. What’s even more mental is the temp abouve northern Canada +2.5oC at the same height. SSW at its best.
  11. That is some block and as for the suns influence on upcoming events it will be like a butterfly farting in the breeze compared to what the SSW is going to produce. It’s coming just be a little more patient
  12. Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    And not the wet big flakes we be talking loads of dry powder snow that doesn’t stick to the roof as it gets blown around and drift into 10 foot snow drifts ......... and then I woke up
  13. That’s a nice birthday present to wake upto thanks ecm looks awesome fair doos snow for mist you’d have to say low heights to the south -12 widely in a gale off the North Sea convection writen all over it I’d say.
  14. What’s encouraging with today’s outputs is that any mild outburst look brief in the next 10 days and then after that in fi (but not your normal fi) most outputs are favouring some sort of blocking near to our north. The best thing is there is growing ensemble support showing, we have the met office still on board as if the chief forecaster is a cold ramper, so I now believe this will happen and possibly could be memorable. Cant remember there being such a big signal for blocking to our north since the 2010 classic. Think it was like 2 weeks before it happened the met prodicted it and it came to fruition just saying.
  15. Makes you think why you would bother looking at the models if the weather you get Day in day out is the same regardless of what season it is as would be the case in certain parts of the country I mean come on why brag like? If I had snow sitting on my door step in July I’d be pretty peeeed off tbh. Just saying!!