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Severe Siberian icy blast

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Everything posted by Severe Siberian icy blast

  1. Well iv always loved a good chase why not! Normally ends up going knowhere just like my relationships but if she flutters her eyes at me i may just have to buy you a drink and get led up yet another garden path with know front door to get in with!!!
  2. Mark you silly much older brother of mine its because it builds dense cold in the right places and having high pressure in high latitudes so early on is going to do wonders for us moving forward in regards the pv never setting up shop in it's home properly which then has further knock on effects regarding a possible SSW event. You walked straight into that one bro
  3. Have to say the days 5&6 look very cold we have cold building to the north/northeast, with lower dam levels widely, and a hint at deeper uppers pushing further southwest, more instability, Even fri and now sat looks like it could be snowier and the build up of cold to our neighbors is looking fantastic for so early on in the season its gonna put some theories of a build of stubborn cold encourages scandi high pressure to the test thats for sure. Edit not sure what the disagreement is tbh if one can enlightened me its all a learning curv after all?!
  4. But this is the thing, as it stands, do you remember how dry December 2010 was meant to be! We only have a short window but Thursday night and more so Friday i wouldn't be surprised to see little features get picked up later today or throughout tomorrow to bring abit more instability. If not then its onwards and upwards look north north/east for a shift east of the high pressure towards scandi maybe Edit: wedges over scandi and with Euro troughing shows my thoughts
  5. I have to admit im becoming very interested in what a week ago or so was little more than a brief snap with the expectancy of what was already a record breaking PV high up to filter down into what ultimately would become a stormy December, The weather makes us all eat the egg but isn't it fascinating how it seemingly makes its own mind up some of the time and its only with the Wonderful aid of hindsite we look back and make sense as to how it came about its a forever learning curv, We have a tripol which seems to have came out of nowhere? A very amplified jet stream curving back on itself through the UK. And to be honest we could be looking at 4 wave pattern which will mean it could be either very rewarding or very frustrating but a very slow moving locked in pattern could become apparent and the Canadian warming that's also come through the back door is going to become a major player along with where segments of vortex' become established, this will be a stand of between spawning areas of low pressure off it interacting with high pressure features pushing and giving off one another, and this could be exciting! We need a cold winter
  6. Human input into man made pollution into the atmosphere is 11% of 0.4% (all damaging current pollution/damage) that's the real figures. Will try and find the video which was quite brief so doable
  7. Climate change has been happening forever time, global warming however is a load of nonsense, and severe weather has also been happening for centuries, i think its more the narrative we get pushed down our throats that's got people thinking such things as above. 1947(feb) 1963 1977 1979 1983 1990/91 1995 2009 2010 2013 2018 These are just winters. Also from memory so may off the odd year or so but certainly since 83 (dob) iv saw many bad winters. Dry patch from 90's to 2008/9 but then we had a concession of bad winters.
  8. I'm pretty sure the distinct line forming over southwest areas pushing north east is meant to develop into a squall line of sorts delivering thunder as it passes as it moves into warmer air
  9. Is convective wind sheer if so your anticipation is rapidly developing heavy ppn possibly thundery ?
  10. I was actually thinking about the wave of energy that's the main reason for this reinvigorated ppn, a wave along the low creates instability, I think things are about to get good, I have gentle big flakes it's changed within the last half hr it's building around us
  11. In two images alone In the space of 5 minutes you can already see the gaps filling in, trust guys it's gonna get interesting!!!!
  12. How many times lol this isn't it we have the long wobbly low pressure directly over us, it's past us for now but things will develop now between now and 10pm you can already see another batch developing toward Wilshire and another one in Wales it will all merge together I think, about 70% certain let's see
  13. It's an already existing area of low pressure,that's wobbling and waving along the low, it's expected to expand as we move into the evening. Remember not every area of ppn has to come from somewhere, it can develop immediately above us
  14. ARe you moaning already ? Give it a chance it's growing rapidly I have know idea what you mean mate!!!
  15. Every single time I'm in there now I'm going to be wondering who you are! I'm the most unlikely weather nut too! I normally get In there for footie or play pool, I also go in there quite often with my kids on wkends, they're only young but I have a meal on a Sunday with them in there at times! We may know each other!! How scary is that lol
  16. On a side note who would of thought this decaying initial front from last night has reached the southern most parts of the Yorkshire moors, it wasn't meant to get further than Gloucester! Oh really?! Yes I lived in Cotswolds for ages with my now x wife! Had great snow up there, I was only in the crown the other night too! Do you get in there ?
  17. You can see it taking shape toward the southwest as I mentioned earlier but last 30 min or so it's building in size and strength, I'm very low where I am but still hoping, if we can get it from 5pm onwards it's game on but I think for low areas before that it's a know goer. Brum will do well out of it though
  18. Erm Shaikhy your funny! Mate it's about right atm, the heavier stuff you can see moving from southern island stretching a finger out toward south Wales it will come up the estuary this afternoon and begin to organise.
  19. Well you say that but surface temps can be directly effected by evaporative cooling, it cools the air around the droplets hence causing air to cool, but once the ppn moves off then under cloud cover unfortunately it will rise slightly. I think areas like bham will do well, higher ground, but for me I think a slush fest but I hope I'm wrong
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