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Grimsby Snow Lover

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Everything posted by Grimsby Snow Lover

  1. I can't honestly remember the last time we have had a northerly in winter. Would certainly be a welcome change if that verified.
  2. Perhaps not but the polar vortex is a hell of a lot weaker towards the end compared with the previous run. Baby steps perhaps?
  3. Can't post a chart, but the polar vortex is very weak come the later stages of the Gfs run. When viewing the height anomaly charts it was a pleasing sight to see the red colours over Greenland too. Quiet a change from the previous run. Let's hope that this is only the start of the trop response to the strat warming.
  4. Nice bit of lamp post watching earlier as a heavy shower produced wet sleety snow flakes lol. Clearing up now and the temperature has fallen sharply. Looking at the radar I think most of the showers over the North sea are dying out.
  5. I share your disappointment mate, it seems like ages since I've seen snow on the ground. For what ever reason eastern areas have been on the wrong side of marginal this time. Fingers crossed for next time.myou guys in the west enjoy your snow ( try not to rub it in too much)
  6. It would seem we are the wrong side of marginal this time, one of the downsides of living near a relatively warm North sea. Here's hoping we are luckier next time, when ever that may be.
  7. I'm throwing in the towel tonight for snow in these parts. The temperature and dew point seem to be rising not declining. Why is this? The sleety rain is very heavy so I was hoping for evaporation cooling.
  8. Here's hoping we get our turn when/if we get an easterly later on this winter. Leeds area is getting a decent covering going by reports on here.
  9. Sadly just heavy sleet here in Grimsby, I can't honestly see us having snow this time around. Further west looks great. Must admit I'm pretty jealous.
  10. Not sure what the chances of snow over here in n.e lincs. would be great to see some snow on the ground again.
  11. My understanding is there will need to be many favourable factors needled to be in place for snow to occur, but uppers usually need to be below 0 with negative dew points unless the rate of precipitation is heavy enough to cause evaporation cooling. I think snow grains might be the best bet but obviously cloud and moisture would be needed for that. I might be wrong of course.
  12. Hi knocker, what exactly does this mean for the Uk? Sorry I dont understand the jargon. Thanks GSL
  13. What exactly does that mean? I'm still learning all the technical jargon. Thanks
  14. Just a quick question. Is the parallel run same, better or worse than the gfs operational?
  15. Pleased you have also spotted that, I just thought I had misread those 850 charts.
  16. That's my concern, way too early to tell but we need to hope that the north sea doesn't moderate the cold uppers too much. Places further inland shouldn't have the same issue as folk near the coast though.
  17. snow over hills is always a safer bet than low level snow at the range the models are currently showing. Remember for low level snow we need dew points, 850's, 528 dam, isotherm etc all to say yes. Getting these more favourable over hillier areas are more straight forward.
  18. The overall trend looks fine to me peeps, having eye candy charts like the UKMO 144 chart are great but whilst they 5/6 days away the overall detail will surely change.
  19. Put it this way, December 2010 was a very cold and snowy month followed by two winter months of mild dross and we all loved that winter, so personally I would take a cold month with snowy spells to end winter (even half as good as December 2010 would do me). Things do seem to be supporting a pattern change in around 10 days time if the ECM/GFS are to believed.
  20. I know you will already know this Gavin, but for those that don't know the colder uppers are often found in eastern Europe in winter, this is the norm. Things look a darn sign cooler though for western Europe than they do now if those charts were to verify.
  21. Please excuse me for sounding dumb, but are you referring to what's happening with the stratosphere? Thanks GSL
  22. Please explain why the tripole in the mid Atlantic is important? Thanks
  23. Have things on the models started to back things further west Tim? I have a short memory and can't remember what the charts looked like 24/48 hrs ago, thanks GSL
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