
Higher Ground
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North Bromsgrove 185m (moved 100m lower...)
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Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
Higher Ground replied to #windysnow#'s topic in Regional Discussions
Snow falling over Lickey Hills near Birmingham yesterday: -
Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
Higher Ground replied to #windysnow#'s topic in Regional Discussions
Video of snow on the Lickey Hills yesterday... -
You're actually making the same point as me with your first para. I don't think the Met Office would dispute research showing that both city-wide UHI and local heating effects can be very significant (e.g. up to 5C in extreme cases for UHI at night-time). We may be considering different questions here - perhaps I've misunderstood the history of the debate on these forums as I'm a rare visitor. My question would be, how much warmer are the recent record max temps at Heathrow than they would be if the site was in a location away from the airport with average levels of vegetation/trees aroun
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Well there's a couple of extreme views which are common: (1) Runways etc cause all the excess heat, end of story; (2) We can essentially ignore such factors as tarmac. Expressing one of these views will tend to bring out people with the opposite view. But hyper-localised heating effects are real, and often bigger than city UHI effects. For example in the Feb mini-heatwave last year, the thermometer in my back yard recorded 26C in the shade near to sunlit fence and decking, even though the temp at local wx stations only got up to the high teens. So there seems to be at least a case to answ
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July 2020 CET & EWP forecast contests
Higher Ground replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Weather Discussion - Winter
Yes I was considering that possibility quite seriously, especially if my hunch is correct that relatively cool minima seem to result in a bigger correction sometimes. However, the last few model runs have increasingly seemed to suggest that chances will be scuppered at the final hurdle - even if the night of 30/31st is average under high pressure, a hot sunny day on 31st would be likely to tip the balance away from a more notably low CET. -
July 2020 CET & EWP forecast contests
Higher Ground replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Weather Discussion - Winter
Interesting comparisons thanks! I've just been on a trip down memory lane to a time when I used to follow these things a little more closely. Specifically I found the July CET thread for 2007! Makes for fascinating reading. A couple of points caught my attention: Firstly, CET was 15.5c to the 21st July in 2007, so we are actually 0.2c cooler at the same point in July 2020. I'm guessing it will be tough though not impossible to remain cooler for a few days longer... https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/39130-july-cet/page/12 Secondly, people seemed almost more surprised by the cool t -
July 2020 CET & EWP forecast contests
Higher Ground replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Weather Discussion - Winter
This is something I had been looking at myself - noticed a similarity to 2007 with both CET and arctic sea ice area: CET June and July 2007: 15.1c and 15.2c CET June and July 2020: 15.3c and 15.3c (provisional to 21st) Arctic sea ice area June 2007: 8.2 million sq km Arctic sea ice area June 2020: 8.4 million sq km https://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/bist ('Sea Ice Conc' gives area) - Note that sea ice more concentrated this year hence higher area but lower extent in June. Probably both lower now due to big July losses. - CET averages for first half of year were 9.7c for J -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Higher Ground replied to DiagonalRedLine's topic in Regional Discussions
Well let's just wait and see what happens in a few weeks time... or less!? -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Higher Ground replied to DiagonalRedLine's topic in Regional Discussions
Snow falling on top of the Lickey Hills this afternoon (close to 1000 feet / 300m). Very close to settling for a while. Video -
Summer 2019 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
Higher Ground replied to SunnyDazee's topic in Weather Discussion - Winter
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/download.html -
Summer 2019 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc
Higher Ground replied to SunnyDazee's topic in Weather Discussion - Winter
Re: whether summers are getting hotter - by my calculations: For the past 10 years (2009-2018) Mean annual max CET = 29.0C Mean summer CET = 15.9C Previous 10 years (1999-2008) Mean annual max CET = 29.3C Mean summer CET = 16.1C Decade before that (1989-1998) Mean annual max CET = 28.9C Mean summer CET = 16.0C -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Higher Ground replied to DiagonalRedLine's topic in Regional Discussions
Even the biggest drifts didn't quite make it until the second Beast From The East here - though it was a close call, just a couple of days. But then again you had the Pest From The West to help tide you over, from what I remember... -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Higher Ground replied to DiagonalRedLine's topic in Regional Discussions
Still good drifts here as well. Amazing isn't it how they've almost replicated the drifts (in the same places) from the last Beast From The East - such similar events