cheshire snow

Well the GFS is still going for it

I can nearly touch the Amber warning.

NickyB noticed that as well,do they use high res graphics nearer the time,as it showed totally different graphics last night,either they have nailed this with pretty much a non event under 250m or they have got it totally wrong,Sod’s Law say the former. off to bed after a night shift hope to wake up to better news but I doubt it.

In other news here is the Harmonie for tomorrow I have no idea about this model though .

No idea who Simon is but this a real kick in the plums.

Weather-history and another one wintry showers confined to the coast,spreading inland there are a lot more.

Weather-history I remember this one it will be dry with heavy rain developing

An example of how useless the Apps are one is Northwich the other is Winsford,for those who don’t know the area it’s is approximately 3 miles apart a five minute drive.

Courtsey from our Norwegian friend Dennis in the mod thread tomorrow midday.

severe snowstorm models are all fine,the wording on the text forecasts are often way off the mark.if you look at the one for the midlands it says snow in the north of there region I know @Weather-historygets really annoyed with there written texts,no concerns from me this morning all looks good for a period of snow lasting into mid afternoon.

No change on the models this morning,the Gem perhaps the pick of the bunch with up to 11hrs of snow before clearing from the south,have to say the Meto text forecast is absolutely garbage. GFS as per last night

Joe Snow 5-8cm

Day 10 looking good mate even for low lying Cheshire

For the life of me I have no idea why the southern extent of the warning has been removed makes no sense after watching the Forecast just now.looking good for the region to see snow on Thursday,also it showed the event staying as snow even in southern parts,before temperatures rise and the rapid thaw sets in. @Thunder Snowyes will see snow as the LP pivots and heads west(don’t forget it’s an Easterly flow) @Jackski4Friday will be rain unfortunately milder air pushing back up.a slow process,area further north and with altitude probably see more snow on Friday.

UKMO 1300 Thursday.

UKV Thursday lunchtime.

ECM gives around 9hrs of moderate to heavy snow on Thursday before turning to sleet/rain in the south of the region/elsewhere lasting longer,could be a significant event and would suspect the warning will change to amber in a good few areas.

GFS a slight upgrade keeps the snow on low ground into the afternoon.

Jackski4 blizzards stoke north rain in the southbut don’t post it in the mad thread. on a more serious note as per @Day 10

Day 10 I am off work Thursday and Friday.

ECM has told its little brother to pack it in and fall in line,yes boss is the answer.

Ghost of winters past see below escorted an SAS airliner in to Manchester

James M really? not trying to convince you either way,but GFS over the ECM over the next 72hrs ECM hardly covered itself in glory recently but for the GFS to outdo the ECM in such short time scale would be a major victory for that model,if we believe the GFS we are going mild straight away even the Meto are forecasting Wintry showers from the NW for the weekend.

WillinGlossop even Darren had a little ramp in that forecast interesting he mentioned the weather warning been yellow then said for now certainly looked very good and didn’t even show the rain transistion on the graphics.

Some absolute beauties on the GEFS ENS mid month looking very interesting PV torn to shreds.