highly unusual for me to do this and I apologise for doing so but it is to show that the anomaly charts, for all the negative comments about them at times, are often the most reliable, if they show consistency, for the 500mb pattern over the 6-15 day times range.
post from last evening
I think it is fairly clear that starting today the weather is going to be more changeable in most areas, more so the further W/NW one lives, quite windy, looking at the mean 500mb charts which suggest some fairly deep lows at times. ECMWF-GFS are not very 'stable' at the moment but the NOAA output, in spite of NOAA comments about their domain, the 500mb anomaly charts have given consistent charts for several days. Just how the Pacific will play out with the input from typhoons is just as likely to be inconsistent at the surface as a result as it is when Hurricanes/tropical storms, arrive in the N Atlantic. It looks obvious, however the surface actually ends up in the 6-15 day time frame, that more wind (gales-severe gales) will be most felt in the NW and perhaps W as well.
NOAA link
http://www.cpc.noaa....10day/500mb.php
AS to how the models are dealing or not dealing very consistently with surface lows over the next week does make for interesting model watching.