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johnholmes

Retired Pro Forecaster / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by johnholmes

  1. Dry with a lot of cloud but also some sunshine at times, mild with a low of 9.8 C; starting to get a bit breezy
  2. A sunny start with a white ground frost and a low of 1.2 C (the first ground frost for over a month), rain on the way by about lunch time looking at the radar.
  3. Overcast with ocnl rain, 2.0 mm since midnight, also rather breezy overnight a max of 23 mph, current low is 7.9 C Update to cover for the weather on the trough/front, brief heavy rain with T falling to 4.8 C now up to 6.2 C with rainfall on 6.8 mm; more rain upwind looking at the radar and quite breezy
  4. Dry and motsly cloudy with another mild start with a low of 9.4 C
  5. Dry and mostly cloudy with patchy Sc and a lot of upper layers; a low of 10.9 C, so another mild start
  6. Dry cloudy and mild here with a low of 12.7 C, approx 7C above the average minimum for this time in April
  7. Cloudy with no rain since midnight; after a wet late evening; a low of 7.1 C
  8. The 6-10 day 500 mb anomaly chart from NOAA shows a fairly marked Confluent ridge leading into a Diffluent trough off the coast of n America. This can lead to the development of a surface low, possibly rapid deepening. So at some stage in this time scale we could expect a fairly deep surface low to form in that area. The flow is then shown as SW'ly fairly strong at 500 mb. So a rather unsettled outlook in the 6-10 day period seems quite likely Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99814-model-output-discussion-spring-has-sprung/?do=findComment&comment=5052951
  9. For what it is worth ECMEF seem currently to be going with the rather colder but brief version
  10. Well the blue sky did not last long; as the radar shows a fairly active line of showers now moving through with a dry slot following, hopefully with some sun, quite breezy also T=11.5 C, down on this time yesterday, as is the Td.
  11. Dry with a blue sky start to Sunday, bit breezy overnight, just 26 mph as a max here and a mild low at 9.1 C
  12. Missed the first 20C with 19.7 C but still the warmest day since 10 October 2023. Breezy for my back garden, gust to 32 mph
  13. Just missing my first 20 at the moment 19.7 C but the sun keeps coming out so I should make it, a fair breeze for me with gusts to 26 mph so far
  14. Dry, mostly cloudy(chiefly high cloud) 0.8 mm of rain since midnight; very mild with a low of 12.1 C; little wind here yet
  15. From the latest NOAA 500 mb outputs there is a ‘slight’ indication that ‘perhaps’ some extension of ridging seems to be shown on the 6-10 chart from the Iberia region. This in spite of the continuing strong 500 mb flow across the Atlantic into the UK. Even the 8-14 is along similar but more muted lines. As usual give it 2 or 3 more outputs to see if this current trend is kept and, hopefully, increased. Climate Prediction Center - 6-10 Day 500mb Outlook WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
  16. Now brightening up and the breeze starting up again, 2.8 mm of rain since midnight after a rainy evening; the low was a mild 9.8 C, now up to 12.0 C
  17. Cloudy with ocnl light rain at times; 2.2 mm since midnight, current low is 7.2 C
  18. Cloudy but dry now, just 0.8 mm since midnight; a low of 8.6 C, even milder now on 10.2 C
  19. Dry and mostly cloudy after very slight rain around 0300; (0.2 mm); a low of 4.8 C
  20. Pretty similar in the Swiss resorts, if the Jungfrau region is typical. Plenty of snow about about 5500ft and surprisingly the runs into the village seemed to stay open. The area shut due to strong winds much of Easter, open now but clothed in cloud. Slope data | jungfrau.ch WWW.JUNGFRAU.CH
  21. A cloudy start but dry after 1.4 mm of rain since midnight; radar shows this edging away north with another band edging north for later this morning; a low of 7.2 C
  22. The dreaded N Sea low cloud starting to move in from the SE
  23. Dry with variable cloud, cold with a current low of 1.7 C, no sign of any ground frost
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