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johnholmes

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johnholmes last won the day on April 16

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    just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
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    weather, hiking, skiing, golf, gardening
    Views and opinions expressed in this or any other of my posts are my own

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  1. Cloudy, dry with a low of 10.5 C
  2. Looking at the latest 6-10 day 500 mb anomaly output suggests that any upper ridging is a short lived affair with a mainly westerly pattern showing. You can see this, albeit certainly not cast in stone, on this morning's ECMWF if you play the previous chart from yesterday. This has a marked +ve ehight anomaly this morning no sign. NOAA also shows this over the past 2 days or so. I generally take NOAA as the most reliable with EC following and GFS some way behind unless it is similar to the other two. No GFS either yesterday or today on the link I have. The 8-14 NOAA similar to the 6-10. To me it remains looking like a NW-SE split on average through the next 2 weeks. Obviously they are 'mean' charts and some divergence on occasasional days will occur but no major difference over the period as a whole. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/500mb.php http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/hgtcomp.html
  3. Partly cloudy at dawn and dry, now cloudy with a little rain at times, 0.2mm so far, a low of 11.6 C
  4. Variable cloud with sunny spells, dry, a low of 9.3 C, the lowest since Sunday morning
  5. Hardly surprising 'annoyingly gusty' as you comment when you look at the Fax chart? http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm
  6. The latest ENSO output from CPC http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf
  7. Rare that there is such a change as you suggest in the anomaly charts, which is why I use them for getting a feel for the upper air pattern beyond 6 days.
  8. The anomaly charts to me suggest a NW-SE split, warmer and more settled on average the further SE one live. Less settled the further NW and fairly changeable. I cannot see anything in the next 2 weeks to suggest any major upper ridge development to give a return to the weather just leaving many areas.
  9. Dry, sunny spells with a lot of cloud, been 0.4 mm of rain overnight, a low of 13.7 C
  10. comparing Sunday to Tuesday charts net wx wed 13 june 2018 500mb anomaly charts comparison.doc
  11. Go over to the shorter term for the usual first class overview by knocker
  12. It was sunny and cloudless to start, now mostly cloudy with just the odd burst of sunshine, dry with a low of 10.2 C
  13. Back to overcast conditions, dry with a low of 12.8 C
  14. Well the area of storms all around Doncaster managed to miss us altogether, some hefty rainfall total not that far east of here. Mostly a lot of sunshine all afternoon into the evening, tomorrow it seems it is back to a northerly and cloud - oh joy! 26.2 C making it the warmest day for me since 27 May
  15. I had to smile at that comment, you should spend a week in this part of the world in early summer. Even your good self might get a touch fed up of what we get while western areas see something yellow in the aky. This morning was the first time with a full sunrise, indeed any sunrise for just over a week. It does get tedious believe me.
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