winterof79

Blocked End of Feb and March incoming

Great chance of heavy snow Thursday with steady SE winds inducing orographic uplift on pennines

Kasim Awan my long await for snow this winter looks like paying off in Kirkburton with the orographic uplift

LukesluckybunchThankfully the MET have much more at their disposal. Wonder what NAO discussions think of GFS #Nick sussex LukesluckybunchThankfully the MET have much more at their disposal. Wonder what NAO discussions think of GFS #Nick sussex

LukesluckybunchThankfully the MET have much more at their disposal. Wonder what NAO discussions think of GFS #Nick sussex LukesluckybunchThankfully the MET have much more at their disposal. Wonder what NAO discussions think of GFS #Nick sussex

SLEETY Yes and now quoting the position of the high at day 10 on ECM. Lets enjoy a shot at heavy snow later this week and take it from there.

Lukesluckybunch JFF

Central Northern England looks like a sweet spot to me for the first tranche of snow North midlands too

Dennis With you on that Dennis

bluearmy There's a thing lol

feb1991blizzard Not sure people read the thread or output. Heights look like shifting quickly from Scandi to Greenland

ANYWEATHER Ill post some pics end of week

Any weather you're on the wind up you get your galoshes ill get me shovel Unless you're in the wrong thread?

Too many bites at the cherry to get downbeat about. Tues,Thursday weekend

Corker

Ali1977 South pennines looking tasty for late Friday and Thursday

BOOM.

That ECM your not wrong

Oh and while I'm in here.... Friday 9 Feb - Sunday 18 Feb Cold air already established across the northern UK is likely to extend to all parts through next weekend. As it does so there is a risk of some significant snowfall for parts of the UK, perhaps central areas most prone to this as the but this aspect is very uncertain at this stage. Across the north cold throughout with snow showers tending to focus on northeastern areas while for the far south the period may start of with some rain and near average temperatures, before the cold air reaches here by the start of next week. Windy at times, especially so in some eastern areas where a notably wind chill is expected. Temperatures ranging from rather mild in the south at first, to cold, perhaps very cold in the north. Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Sun 4 Feb 2024

Go on then lets throw in some anomalys. I tend to work on signals from all output then form a possible outcome

TillyS Forgive me but what output re invigorates the Iberian high or for that matter the Atlantic. My feet are on the ground and i made a forecast which i stand by. Not bothered about previous "lessons" as its what my hobby is all about

An increasing probability of an easterly flow establishing around the 14th Feb not overly cold as yet but ....then heights transfer(shuffle to Greenland) a recurring theme through Feb If im wrong ,so be it but that's my take 850 Temps trend lower down south than Scotland eventually depending on position of temporary Scandi high Moyenne shows the evolving Greenland high via draining heights from a short Scandi development

Ali1977 UKV Arpege

sheikhy i concur