Tn9

yea i got it, lets see what happens, like it doesn't disintegrate in the Caen-le Havre pocket ,which like a funnel top end we are Brighton to Margate get nowt like a bloke first lost in the desert (cor i fancy a Guinness then any beer will do ,in the end just water please ..forget the storm ..just a bit of rain please sir

look at the radar ..even with our luck it looks a very very long shot ..you wouldnt believe it .. i know but joking aside, its hard work here at the moment to get anything substantial

Seems like since met office shot off from bracknell to Exeter they took all the weather with them ..:(

No no no cant be .. thats so lucky ..couple of flashes ide be over the the moon

Oh yea serving pints ..:)

Well didn't even wet the deck as they say ..the only life threatening thing here will be drought unless something gets its act together ..suns nearly out again now ..honest

We have lost the ne wind and its a general southerly now ..its turned dark here too few spots if rain Looking out for lightning but I will more likely find her in final fantasy these days ..

Anyways whats happened to Eagle Eye..? Has he been kidnapped by noaa..:(

Well not like Devon and Dorset its been like the doldrums there ..:(

Spot on ..unlike our storms

Yea .. i get your feeling V...potential vs reality is completely different : ( ps your not really pessimistic..you think like me ,if i get a flash and a bang its a bonus..because the form horse says no ,like Cape isn't it what you could exploit but can't because some other factor gets in the way and we can't get at it

If you look at radar there seems to be a new centre of low pressure forming off brest (France) other than main one over or near nw Spain ..its pulling everything west north westwards so I think it will be slower than predicted ..and some how I think rain but no storms here as the fresher air will over ride the humid stuff ..hope im so very wrong proper ..but take brolly and wellies just in case

If this comes to fruit ..this is a cyclone ..its more likely a mash up of humidity ..jet stream..old hurricanes ...etc etc ..but look at that power over that area nothing can match that ..

Mate I'm baking ..it really is here(26c ) and I think thats under cooking it tbh

Been a gorgeous day here no wind ,just a few high clouds ,warm not to warm but pleasant ..

Blessed move this .. as i think this is off topic..but ..it could be south east or any where tbh ..so NASA are saying they are being more transparent with their u.f.o sightings and research lol...if I was that intelligent to travel to earth ide make myself look like a cloud wouldn't you ..draw energy from lightning but look like cirrus cloud ..not a dirty great space ship or brightly coloured orb ..just saying..we would never know would we ..?? And as an aside (I've been taken as an idiot many a time about seeding and geo climate engineering ) but now they are actually saying they will have a pop at it ..how do we know their interference hasn't over time caused this mayhem ? Butterfly effect etc etc ..you can't seed or change one bit of atmosphere with out a knock on effect every where else ..correct me if I'm wrong ..but thats what I think

I'm holding on for anything tbh ...I've a daughter in Berlin who sends me storm pictures when there is .. and my youngest is at the VID-20230913-WA0022_1.mp4 moment in ibiza ..they both love the weather...this is ibiza tonight ..

Looks like we might get our little rain fest at the weekend and early next week , i hope so ,least it looks organised..which we haven't had for what seems like ages

Well you wouldn't believe it but I've got a heavy shower at home of all places ...but again it , like last time came from the west never from the south it seems,but its big dollops but as much electricity in it as a flat battery ,but rain none the less I'm chuffed ..:) Ps it lasted 5 minutes and even though it looks mean on radar it just about kept the dust down

I took my daughter to Gatwick at 5 this morning ..I actually had a heavy shower about south of Croydon -ish ..then as always time its over Tonbridge its all but gone

Dont tell me you believed them ? Northwest or mid Kent ,south Essex (your patch ) east ish London...if there's a 50 % chance of storms then thats is us taking the slack ..storms here are forced ..proper forced ..otherwise they won't have it Then as if by magic it feels less muggy and humid and because of the roundabout effect (coriolis ) the front has weakened to the point of a band of cloud and the storms well ..you know the story ..maybe those storms even elevated are just a memory now

There's a clump of showers heading from Rouen but like our normal set up they veer to the right looking north to the the left lookin south * or whatever * but see what happens but Brussels will have it for sure

I'm on it ..but the paper they wrote was years ago but it still holds true especially as we get most of our water through aquifers What I'm or it was trying to say was because of a vicious circle say we have 20mm of rain in a shower as such (hard) the dryer the soil in first place will determine what soaks in or runs off ..ie we had a wet July and August for instance but thats not soil moisture by a long shot

And what they are saying in this article is once it gets so dry (soil) precipitation amounts mean nothing on the dynamical scale ..at least half is run off ...I dig every day..its my job ..so I don't know many things but I do know about the ground soil moisture ..its dry and getting dryer ..thats only my opinion by my observation in my local area .. THE recent drought and water shortage in England has re-emphasized the need for a more detailed knowledge and better understanding of the climate of the past. Without such information it is impossible to make meaningful statistical statements about the future occurrence of such extreme events. Many meteorological statements have been made about the severity and causes of the 1976 drought, mainly in the popular press, but also in the scientific literature1. These statements have generally concerned precipitation; but data on precipitation alone are not necessarily good indicators of drought. In this paper we distinguish between three different kinds of drought—meteorological, hydrological and agricultural drought—noting that agricultural and hydrological drought conditions are determined, not only by rainfall, but also by evaporation and by the timing of rainfall events. Using both precipitation and evaporation data for Kew we derive a time series of soil moisture deficits which we believe gives a more rational measure of agricultural drought severity than can be obtained from precipitation data alone. ...

Its Like that Lauren isn't it ..to much heat not enough action ..I've had mist and low level fog in mornings but trying to get decent downpour is like pulling teeth here:( I got a few dollops in Whitstable out of that ..thats it though