Tn9

Snowangel-MK what you throwing away? don't say couple of computers and... i bet ones got GFS on it and your not happy with what it says ,so your taking it to the tip ,take a couple of runs its a big lump ,scrappy would be happy with it

Snowangel-MK light rain or light as in bright as in suns up still ?

Snow tyre it pulled in a north westerly and it looked liked some one just hoovered them up ,one spit or spot that was that ps.. suns out gorgeous

Maybe a lots changed TEITS,cant put my finger on it exactly but like you say ,it doesnt seem to matter what happens else where ,say SSW for example ,maybe one in four chance for us here a gooden that is ,we might have a couple of fleeting snow days out of it before everything is swept away ,i think alot is our position as country ,it dont help matters ,if you have a wavy jet ,its more likely straight a a die here ,full on and only time is early winter or early spring ,because temp variations ,its def ( my opinion) to do with too much temp difference it will overide anything else to keep jet strong and over the Atlantic is where its most likely to have a field day ...:(

Well in 4 hours odd we have gone up 7c ...from 5c at 9am to 12c at half 0ne ,what a front ..huh

snowrye like this ? im doing the same ,amazing isnt it ( the cold rain ) my favourite ( enjoy ) 20240208_083941.mp4

lassie23 looking east ? All depends on orientation ,i think we will end up with a dry half cold south easterly if at all ,better than cold rain at 4c i guess

Kent Blizzard we have these days ,dry spells and wet spells ..its usually few weeks of no rain or a week or heavy rain that floods places etc ,no middle ground (or high ) lol ,people throw their dingys out or dummies ,but thats what ive mostly seen happen over my 56 years of life ( climate change ? ) dont know ? but it seems all or nothing ,extremes of both

Lauren surprised? If we have a cold month or a joker in the pack it will be april ,which is why it upsets everyone ,maybe end of March, gfs keeps toying with us ,but next run is so so different from the previous that its comically nuts ,beyond a week im referring to, it still got the tabs on the seven day but its usually pretty good at beyond that, makes me think its got a signal it cant quite work out ,but months that are ment to be this or that are long gone

alexisj9 this is in met offices own words ... It will bring a band of rain, sleet and snow which will push north on Thursday. The heaviest snowfalls are expected wherever the boundary of cold and mild air is...huh?? They have multiple models, stations,ships planes etc etc ,plus intelligent experienced personnel,even a supercomputer So next they say ... It’s from Thursday that the snow risk becomes potentially impactful, as mild air attempts to move back in from the south, bumping into the cold air and increasing the chance of snow where the two systems meet..which they havent a clue Ill give them a hundred percent forecast ...it wont be kent ..i know you know ..:(

If you read between the isobars ,i think the gfs is being consistent at being inconsistent, its changing wildly every other run ,even the assembles have given up trying to keep track even

there's not a lot going on really is there ,till valentines, then gfs only plays with it ,its caught in two minds ,and it seems to be slipping away on consistency, its like it cant (high) slip from the north ,north west north east ,the vortex cant muster a straight northerly before the next is steaming in ,or the high repositions over bay of Biscay again,that seems our options ..A or B .

Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation WWW.NATURE.COM The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the climate system. Here, data-driven estimators for the time of tipping predict a potential AMOC collapse mid-century... lets hope it happens sooner rather than later

And if we go by next two or so weeks ( model wise ) we are caught between the devil and the deep blue sea neither here or there if you like exciting weather that is ,nothing ness ,but cant please everyone can you ,SSW,el nino ,la nina ,doesnt really change our winter does it lol ,same sort of scenario most of the time ,but if you could stop the atlantic meridional overturning circulation it would solve our non cold winters but it could be a self leveler anyway as more melt less flow etc ,but thats for the future ,doesnt help no snow now does it .

@lassie23 thats whats really the problem ,to much temp variation, thats ( if you like colder winter weather) ,its been a poor winter for snow ( so far ) but when march and sun pops its head over the artic ,we will get our high in right place bit to late but it can produce but it does even seem a strat warm has trouble positioning a high or block to our advantage, the vortex is and will always be there ,and the temp variation at our level seems to overide strat warming to a degree ( excuse the pun) but our position is hard at best of times ,we had a day or two of snow so cant complain ,but you have to if you could run amok ,or amoc to cool every thing down ,if that stops we are in ,fridgid ..if the vortex or deep lows jet etc are any where its in the north atlantic ,its where it likes to be

you more than likely to get a lander on the moon than an inch of widespead snow in SE ,and if we all chipped in for a Scandinavian high that orientated its self right we would ...we would wouldnt we?: ,money gets you a pop at the moon but not for our set up we would like here now,not even for love

yea i dont think the rest of jan will be anything to write home about ,and before long feb will be half way through and sun higher etc etc ,maybe couple of days in early march ,no more than we have had in jan really same old path ,here anyway imby

i did. Few years ago now when i was working for environment agency doing flood defence work at Harty ferry near Faversham, Kent side not the island side ,oare i guess really ,we locked machines in the compound for weekend and i was walking to car ,i see a gull sitting all still on its own on beach ,so it looked not well i thought and expected it to fly or at least walk away but it just stayed put, so i picked it up soaking and shivering and thought the same as that bloke did ,its going to die ,so i put it in footwell and drove back to Tonbridge but didn't expect it to be alive in morning ,left it some water cooked it chips beans any thing really ,lucky missus was away at her mums for weekend with our littlen ,because in morning ,it was sitting on back of sofa looking better but not right well come the evening it was chaos ,in full flight mode it was massive ,took up whole lounge .s**t every where had more grub sunday ,got it box monday morning and dropped him back to Faversham ,tide was out ,hundreds of gulls out on mud flats ,opened box its out ..walked down pepples ,just as he joined hundreds of others he looked back ,i cried me eyes out ,dont take one home if you dont want you house to look like a bombs hit it .they are massive indoors .but happy that he or she was ok

Considering theres not much happening at the moment,( till tomorrow)ive contrasted it a bit as you wouldnt have sort of noticed if you wasnt here (obviously) but for mid layer cloud it had hallmarks of a summer storm brewing ..

Did anyone feel it on our forum ? Good job it wasnt 70 or so miles to the north east right under the tunnel ...?

Minus 6 in tonbridge this morning top of west kingsdown minus three, all topsey turvy ,sinking air i guess ,other than a windy spell cant see much winter weather at all can any of you ? Suppose, if you like a mild dry second half of jan and bit of feb then your over the moon ,but it to me it isnt fun ,just nothingness ,any way enjoy the wind its about all thats going to happen for a few weeks

Thats spot on ,i can see an iranian shooting a rifle in Afghanistan but snow in Kent, na ,beyond me im afraid.. ps ..i think its beyond us all tbh

Theres geezer i know in buffalo, new york ( state of ) he said it is at the moment a proper state ,so he wouldnt laugh at us ,he said if snow was equally distributed, we would all be laughing ive got or had enough already and ive had it up to here ( pointing to his head ) yous lot can willingly have a couple of foot of ours then litrally we would all be happy as such ,i said we are gagging for it here ,well he said enough is enough ..give it a couple of weeks and you would have had enough of it ,on my life thats the truth ,bit like wealth really, nothing is ever equal is it What you saying is its a downer ..:)

Yea just went through it ..not as much as i would of liked and in longfield nowt and at the top of the hill nowt ..falkham it was though ..keeps us ticking over i guess

Its swings and roundabouts with a slider lol ,we dont have trouble with the merry go round though