ISAAC

Nice whilst it lasted. Hopefully just a teaser of what to expect in the days ahead. ?️

Heavy Wet Snow in Longton, Stoke-on-Trent. Dew point at 0.7c

Moderate snow now. Nice big flakes.

Light Wet Snow for the last hour or so Dew point now dropped to 0.8c.

All we need now is heavy precipitation, May get a bit heavier before clearing off this evening. One can hope

Still mostly sleet, although dew points heading in right direction. Looking better now

Yes hint of sleet now, just need some intensification in the next couple of hours

Temp at 2.4c and dewpoint at 1.9c here in South Stoke, dropping slowly. Expecting it to turn sleety around Midday onwards, we could get a slushy mess at best, all depends on how much the west side of the front intensifies in the coming hours.

Heavy precipitation with marginal dew points will give us temporary (slushy) accumulations for sure, we've had a fair few of those spells

I will be very surprised if MetO dont issue a yellow warning in the early hours, if not tonight.

Temp 3,6c here in Stoke, although Met Office had us at 6c till 8pm

There will be variations on each run, which makes it more exciting. From my experience, the best snowfalls come from marginal events. Not sure whether this is the one. My eyes are on the coming weeks

12z GFS Shows an upgrade for tomorrow evening , Snow risk is increasing for the midlands per each run. However I'm not expecting much to settle, especially if it's Wet Snow with marginal dew-points. If we can get a couple of hours of the Heavy Stuff then things could take a turn, only issue is with Dew points not looking favorable at the moment. Evaporative cooling post 3pm tomorrow maybe? Met Office probably will issue warnings regardless, just to be on the safe side.

Hey, hope you're well Mark Apparently, the last post i made was over 7 years ago. Has it really been that long . Feeling quite optimistic for the weeks ahead, battleground snow prospects on the cards.

Still remember that event, expecting mostly Sleet and Wet Snow from this under current chart projections. Next week looks interesting with the North/South split, still too early to call.

Hi peeps Been a good while since I've posted on here, (good few years to be honest ). Although I must admit i have found it hard to keep away entirely, just a silent observer Great to see many of the same old members keeping this thread alive, great stuff! After the recent dire winters i have a good feeling about this one, we've had a decent start here in Stoke, with snow on the ground for almost 2 weeks up until 11th January, Best of luck everyone

Hi guys, back for the winter and always following this thread. Some interesting posts regarding ECM vs GFS I would note the ECM did topple last year for the easterly but that is a totally different setup. The Northerly here has been pretty much been consistent to some degree on both ECM and GFS. The problem we have as always is may is people taking each of the 4 runs from the global model at face value. For me the GFS 0Z and 12z are the only ones which i take consideration for. The 06z has been proven to be way behind and not as useful as the 12z as Steve Murr would say, and then we have the pub run which loves to bring a bit of eye candy here and there. Really looking forward to Tonight's 12z runs, but still with caution as the pattern on the MetO t+120 will be crucial come Sunday evening.

Heavy snow variable depths. Some places around 5 inches. Generaly 2 to 3 inches

sleet/snow in stoke for the last hour or so. sticking on cars, roofs etc but with a blowing wind accumulations will be variable, more confined to areas exposed to the wind.

heavier by the minute in stoke. been non stop since 9am but now all surfaces are covered. 2cm-3cm on cars

This snow event has 4th feb 2012 written all over it. MetO giving us 9 hours of heavy snow I expect a good 8-10cm out of this

any update on the pile?

the huge flakes and wet snow are signs of dew points rising. will be very marginal in the next couple of hours. dewpoint risen to -0.2c here

*rings iceman*