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Everything posted by NorthernRab
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthernRab replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'd have said a set up (with the potential to become sustained) in which a very cold air feed from the NE has highly precipitous low pressure systems from the SW trying to make incursions from the Atlantic at times would be conducive to Irish snowfall, but perhaps that's just my interpretation. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthernRab replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When air in January is coming from a Scandinavia where -40°C is occuring, I don't think you need worry about being near the coast. Quite the opposite in Inverness streamer events. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
NorthernRab replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would say that from a Scottish perspective, we will be at day 7/8 come the morning where the real turning point takes place. In my neck of the woods, these are genuine Nirvana charts, producing copious amounts of snow from the NE at a perfect angle. Which is why I personally won't be getting excited until Sunday night - at which point, I'll be glad I booked off the week of the week commencing the 15th as I'll be skiing most days. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
NorthernRab replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I have to say as a Highlander I'm slightly scratching my head at some of the comments on here. We're a wee island encompassing three countries (setting aside the potential for Ireland) and while I understand those in the likes of Kent might be a bit disappointed, this looks set to potentially be a historic weather event. Furthermore, such an unstable and unpredictable low will produce surprises further south should it come to pass. Looking forward to further clarity and consensus over the coming days but those in the south shouldn't be ruling out sudden shortwaves and surprise events. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
NorthernRab replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That has a very different meaning up here so I sincerely hope not. The BBC seem to be firmly backing the ECM, not even mentioning any ambiguity, which I find a bit odd. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
NorthernRab replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Late autumn North Atlantic Tripole SST? -
Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
NorthernRab replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sunday/Monday are going to be very fun for you! -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
NorthernRab replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If the GFS is still showing important developments at day 6 then it really shouldn't be discounted so I wouldn't say it's "very poor output for coldies". -
They're turning out some really mental scenarios and it's s all going to be very much hanging in the balance. For example is it really going to be only 21°C in Forres but into national record breaking territory on the Buchan coast? Seems odd and I doubt it but we shall see. 37°C in the south will be both fascinating and terrifying.