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The watcher

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Everything posted by The watcher

  1. Being conservative I would assume, Ireland is a very hard place to forecast for snow in occasions such as this. My top places for low lying snowfall would be: Inland Antrim North Armagh East Derry Inland Down. Eastern Tyrone By inland I mean 5-10 miles inland from coast. Higher ground (above 150-200m) would get pasted.
  2. I think you will be okay, main routes should be fine at this time of year. In regards to your missing post earlier from MoD, I think it was the link you posted and it may have moved to general discussion.
  3. Powercuts? There were some tonight while I was playing my snooker match. It cut out twice, luckily not during my shot. I won 2-0 tonight and last night. Interesting times ahead. I'm off to stick on the pizza and check the model output for the evening.
  4. "5.8c Mr Watcher"? I'll get my coat, it's freezing. What a cold looking March CET wise. I don't even think it gets represented well in the figures. Colder than December and maybe even January.
  5. Precipitation charts looking very good for Thu/Fri/Sat in regards to some lamppost watching, so all eyes on deck. Still time for things to change and more people (or indeed less) get in on the action. I'm surprised nobody has mentioned the risk to Northern Ireland in the MoD thread amongst their "correction and here and here being plastered" discussions. Or am I surprised?
  6. From the precipitation charts I'm seeing, I'm surprised nobody has mentioned Northern Ireland in their assessments yet. The heaviest of the precipitation seems to be projected here at the moment. Although, a little time to go yet and this can change very quickly.
  7. fell asleep at 2pm, just woke up to find lying snow and it is raining. Confused.com. It is melting though, very fast.
  8. The only thing fluffy for me at the minute is my pillows. Irish Sea looks very quiet and the only streamer I can see at the moment on netweather extra radar is down in London. We all know however how quick one can develop. A look back in 30 minutes.
  9. I cannot wait to lamppost watch this eve, moved into the big room now at the front of house and little room up for rent. Right outside my window is the one and only, Mr Lamppost. Windows need a clean though, in time for spring and summer. Window cleaner will be booked within the week. Had a few graupel and snow showers through the day, mainly light and fleeting, but good to see none the less.
  10. Just had a light to moderate snow and graupel shower. Shallow convection going well around here.
  11. What station did you get Rochey? Mines still at the parents house, need to get a set of ladders and take it down. Just a look at the possibility of convection over the next few days. Look at the uppers across Ireland on Monday morning. By far the coldest of winter and spring together. From South Down to Wexford could be in for some hefty convection with that longer track across the Irish Sea, aslong as other factors remain favorable. Uppers remain quite favorable through to Tuesday morn. Now wind streams from 6am Mon: Winds remain in a similar vein through the day on Monday, swinging to Northerly as we head through the evening and into Tuesday. No notable convergence zones apart from down near Wexford but no divergence either until later in the evening. So still favorable. Cape and LI: I'll not bother posting the chart, it is definitely not favorable for deep convection, but it is still possible to have low topped convection. It is the instability created by the sea which we are looking for. Thickness and SLP: Thickness in good stead for snowfall across all of Ireland but SLP a little high further N and W. Good convection still possible upto 1020mb though. Temperatures and Dewpoint all in good stead for snowfall. Humidity a little low in the Irish sea (50-70%). All in all, I'd put the South and East of Ireland in a good position for the chance of some snowfall in the 48hr very cold spell period, thereafter it remains cold for another couple of days, maybe still cold enough for some wintriness. Don't think amounts will be huge apart from maybe Wexford, but still, snowfall. Yay
  12. I'm not expecting much myself, at the minute anyway. Least I'm expecting is biting cold winds and temps struggling to get above freezing Sunday night to Tuesday. Precipitation wise I'm not certain there will be any yet, but if it does, it'll be wintry at least. Su Campu can and I'm sure some others can too. I'm learning about skew-ts at the minute. Probably the most confusing weather related chart I have encountered so far, even more so than learning about mountain torque, QBO and MJO.
  13. Even if it is a drier spell, I'd be happy with that. First rain for weeks today and the smell in the air is lovely, nice and fresh. Wouldn't mind that every couple of weeks. On the other hand, could be coldest/snowiest spell of "erm" Winter/Spring on the way.
  14. Welcome to spring y'all. The run up to April showers and the anticipation of what Summer will bring. Long sunny and warm days with some Thunderstorms (at night especially) in between please.
  15. to the next 10+. I've been here 5 years now and I don't know what I'd be doing without it. Everyday is a learning curve, a roller coaster of output, a friendly (unless you steal someones snow) community and I will be here until either I kick the bucket or (god forbid) the site runs out of service.
  16. Beautiful sunny day here and slightly milder, still cold though. Would love a dry warm spell right now to feel the suns warmth again.
  17. I would go as far to say that this little spell has brought about the lowest minima of the winter for here especially.
  18. I believe Crewecold is doing his at moment. Not sure though. Expect a lot of Mathematics and Physics (mechanical being a forefront probably). You seem to have some knowledge, but I'd presume that doing a masters will mean you will be expected to program and build a weather/climate forecast model of sorts. I couldn't give you information more than that really.
  19. Yes, one from the North and one from the South I think. Hard to describe space in 2d though, like we do Earth. It's outward spreading and so describing direction is somewhat of a task.
  20. light snow in bangor this morning. small dusting on roofs and bins.
  21. And grauple here too. Cloudier tiday than of late, slacker flow tomorrow so Eastern areas will be mostly cloudy, some of this possibly low cloud/fog as we enter evening.
  22. I'm using a different PC at minute but the problem I was having was exactly same as gimmesomesnow's. Random words highlighting and a drop down ad appearing as you scroll over them, usually iphone 5 etc. The persona addon deletion did not solve the issue, it may not be connected to my mozilla addons. Will get another look at it Wednesday and report back.
  23. Makes it more interesting if we think it was an anti-aircraft or interceptor missile.
  24. Haha, I'd have put the black bomb one on there though.
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