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Jeremy Shockey

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Everything posted by Jeremy Shockey

  1. Jeremy Shockey
    yikes ......if this comes off for early April
  2. Jeremy Shockey
    For some reason we often seem to get a day of transient snow on the North York Moors around 21st March ........and i wouldn't be at all surprised if it happens again this year !
  3. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 12z Op 850's for 2nd Feb Worth keeping an eye on without getting too excited for another 7 days or so
  4. Jeremy Shockey
    Some good heavy snow showers all the way down to the Humber and surprisingly far inland. Got a nice dusting in North Newbald
  5. Jeremy Shockey
    Scarborough about to get pasted in snow. -6 here too
  6. Jeremy Shockey
    Maybe a dusting from the back edge as the favourable dew points return after midnight .......but there isn't much precipitation left by then
  7. Jeremy Shockey
    maybe more for Pock this evening Aiden
  8. Jeremy Shockey
    light snow in East Yorkshire and a slight covering
  9. Jeremy Shockey
    IMG_5059.mov A bit of snow on the coast road near Filey this morning at 10 a.m.
  10. Jeremy Shockey
    yes indeed Scott and would very much tie into the wording of the MetO 28th Jan - 11th Feb long range forecast where they suggest an increased likelihood of high pressure forming and winds from the north or east leading to an increased chance compared to normal of cold spells.
  11. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 12z ensembles . Op near the top. Mean very good indeed ( in the crucial period 14th to 16th )
  12. Jeremy Shockey
    ECM 12z mean 16th Jan .......is excellent
  13. Jeremy Shockey
    WRF 6z ........bit of Wintry precipitation for the North York moors perhaps overnight ?
  14. Jeremy Shockey
    ICON 12z ..........id snap your hand off for this 1 week today.
  15. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 12z for 27th slider potential for the North of the UK i would have thought ?
  16. Jeremy Shockey
    Short ensembles GFS 12z Such is the volatility of output at the moment. 18z will probably hold back the low and be much less progressive ( as it did on the 6z run ) and we could have a festive cold pub run with a Northerly. 12z Op at top of ensembles by the looks of things
  17. Jeremy Shockey
    Would not be at all surprised if the GFS 12z tuned out to be a mild outlier for the period 23-26 Dec. Then the 18z goes back to being a cold festive run !
  18. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 6z for Christmas Eve The GFS 06z would provide a rather Wintry 24th Dec for many parts of the North. N- NW winds dragging down some really cold air.
  19. Jeremy Shockey
    GEFS 12z mean for Mon 21st Not a bad ( mean ) orientation of the high 4 days before Christmas.
  20. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 0z 850's A huge amount of scatter after 19th Dec with all options still on the table for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day ( including a potent Northerly and warm Southwesterlies ) It would only need the high to form a touch further North and West for a cold festive blast. Its only 10th Dec. Anything can happen.
  21. Jeremy Shockey
    GEM 0z for 18th Dec I'm quite liking the look of the GEM 0z @ 216hrs. If the high was orientated just a little bit more North West we would really be in the game for Wintry blast from the North / North East
  22. Jeremy Shockey
    GFS 0z for Christmas Eve Well this would be fun if it came off !
  23. Jeremy Shockey
    Sleety rain at low levels in Newbald. Snow on top towards High Hunsley
  24. Jeremy Shockey
    just North East of Driffield this morning at 0800 hrs
  25. Jeremy Shockey
    Thanks Sorepaw ......will be up near Pickering tomorrow morning so might take a detour !
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