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Everything posted by Jeremy Shockey
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GFS 12z Op 850's for 2nd Feb Worth keeping an eye on without getting too excited for another 7 days or so
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- 11
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Jeremy Shockey replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Jeremy Shockey replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM 12z mean 16th Jan .......is excellent -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Jeremy Shockey replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ICON 12z ..........id snap your hand off for this 1 week today. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 12z for 27th slider potential for the North of the UK i would have thought ? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Short ensembles GFS 12z Such is the volatility of output at the moment. 18z will probably hold back the low and be much less progressive ( as it did on the 6z run ) and we could have a festive cold pub run with a Northerly. 12z Op at top of ensembles by the looks of things -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Would not be at all surprised if the GFS 12z tuned out to be a mild outlier for the period 23-26 Dec. Then the 18z goes back to being a cold festive run ! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 6z for Christmas Eve The GFS 06z would provide a rather Wintry 24th Dec for many parts of the North. N- NW winds dragging down some really cold air. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEFS 12z mean for Mon 21st Not a bad ( mean ) orientation of the high 4 days before Christmas. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 0z 850's A huge amount of scatter after 19th Dec with all options still on the table for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day ( including a potent Northerly and warm Southwesterlies ) It would only need the high to form a touch further North and West for a cold festive blast. Its only 10th Dec. Anything can happen. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GEM 0z for 18th Dec I'm quite liking the look of the GEM 0z @ 216hrs. If the high was orientated just a little bit more North West we would really be in the game for Wintry blast from the North / North East -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Jeremy Shockey replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 0z for Christmas Eve Well this would be fun if it came off !