snowblizzard

February temperature anomalies for the majority of Europe were stunning. Warm, warm, warm!

Channel system - looking at radar and live webcams in Lille & Brussels, although a light covering, there doesn't appear to have been the 20-30cm of snow that some TV forecasts were predicting for Europe!

TV forecasts today becoming more bullish and using terms like 'Increasing risk of snow!' Mainly Northern half of UK from shower activity, but some Southern counties still could see more general snow from the LP system that runs through Northern France?

Looks like we will be back to the usual Westerly, Atlantic driven regime by next weekend! Cold spells from the North rarely bring lasting frigid cold spells to the South of UK! Deep cold pools from E/NE are far more likely to deliver extreme cold and potential snow cover. But, in reality, how many times in recent years has a cold spell in the Southern half of UK lasted more the 5/6 days?

Would I be right in thinking the longevity of any deep cold looks in jeopardy?

-20c 850 line almost made it into SE January 1987! I seem to remember Monday 12th it didn't get any higher than -5c during the day with a strong Easterly and heavy snow showers resulting in wind chill around -15c Absolutely bone chilling, but lovely stuff if you're a fan of severe winter weather!

Never? Surely there's potential for deep cold across UK, if only short lived? 1981 1987 1991 2010 2013 2018

A sobering post on the mod thread from JH Little prospect of deep cold over UK during the next 10 days! Always an objective view from this ex MET man.

Certainly not fantasy cold across Scandinavia!

That women's dress sense is often rather bazaar!

Still no hint of any severe weather coming from BBC Forecasters! John Hammond would normally be getting very excited about any Easterly incursion.

528 DAM across much of the country. Where will it go from here?

Currently, the chance of widespread severe cold is still deemed low!

We are sleeping with window open at the moment as it's so mild. The birds were singing at 3.50am this morning! They are probably delighted that there is no frost, ice or snow to deal with, and temperatures at night are higher than they should be during the middle part of the day. Christmas Eve looks like being one of the warmest on record, 15c forecast for parts of Southern England. I really can't see this pattern changing significantly for several weeks!

I'm an older poster, I was 8 years old during 62/63 winter and distinctly remember walking across 6ft drifts of snow along the main roads near Westerham, Kent. Also, the 80's winters (especially January 1987) and early 90's cold snaps. I was just watching the programme on CH5 about the white Christmas of 1981 during which parts of Wales and the West Country were pretty much buried!

Every winter seems to be the same nowadays. We all hunt for model charts that predict severe cold from NE or E and copious amounts of snow. Get excited about global drivers and weather teleconnections that indicate favourable climate patterns for the British Isles. But invariably, it all ends in failure! Global warming is rapidly changing weather patterns all around the world. Surely, we have to accept that British winters as we used to know them are pretty much dead in the water?

It's Meteorological Spring! Longer daylight hours Increased solar strength

Looks to me, like the air is simply not cold enough down South for anything significant or notable. I'm thinking cold rain, sleet with a few snowflakes mixed in for much of SE England! Perhaps, some wet snow settling on higher ground like the Downs? Different story further North, where it's really game on above 200 metres!

ITV (Laura Tobin) much much colder next week with snow showers, especially Eastern counties (including Kent!). BBC (Nina Ridge) a little colder next week with the possibility of a few wintry showers. Spot the difference!

What ever happens throughout the remainder of winter, I'm happy to have experienced a decent spell of wintry weather here in the SE. We had snowfall (about 2 inches) early Sunday evening and since then the temperature has hardly risen above zero degrees even during sunny daylight hours! The snow & ice is still on the ground and on the tree branches, looking very seasonal. A massive change coming from this Sunday, but I'm ready for some milder temperatures. Then, it's back to the models to chase the next potential cold spell. And, exciting times ahead for my Cousin who lives in the East of USA!

Monday & Tuesday are only 5/6 days ahead! ITV & BBC both hinting about less cold early next week.

Hence, the hints from TV forecaster's that it's likely to become less cold early next week?

Cold, but mainly dry!

Would that chart not indicate West based -NAO?

If only it was a few weeks later. Surely, a set-up like this would definitely deliver a more severe winter spell first/second week of January? 🌨