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benb

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Everything posted by benb

  1. benb
    Guess I have my Pembrokeshire tinted specs on! Far west seems to keep the snow all the way through, whereas there is a break for you guys further east but I'm sure that detail will chop and change over the next 48hrs.
  2. benb
    I'm normally cautious about these things, but it's such an unusually cold set-up I guess if it's going to happen it has to be now. Seems to have upgraded last couple of runs, too. But, as usual, half a degree could make all the difference between white-out and wash-out!
  3. benb
    Got to say: IF 12z GFS verifies, could be nearly 24hrs of snow fall in SW Wales Thurs/Fri... Don't think I've ever seen a forecast like it in my memory. This could, could be the big one. I was worried about the higher 850s moving in with the low, but the models don't seem to see this as an issue for snowfall in this set-up. If anyone can tell me not to get excited and why, please do so!!
  4. benb
    Thursday into Friday looks perhaps most interesting for heavy snow, especially for those of us in the SW. Just getting a bit worried that there seems to be a lot of very warm air progged to be dragged in by that developing low that could scupper things in Pembs/Carms: https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=t850&HH=384&ZOOM=1&WMO=&ARCHIV=0&RES=0 Am I right to be worried? (For some reason, link goes to 360hrs-odd! Key period 84/90hrs).
  5. benb
    Covering of snow in Tenby this morning (which is something like a one in 6 or 7 year event, I'd estimate) and a couple of proper snow showers this morning that were a joy to be out in (pretty hairy driving The Ridgeway early on; more like a bob-sled track in places). Preselis looked like they had a good covering too. Beats the rain anyway!!
  6. benb
    Heavy settling snow in Tenby just cleared through! Awesome and a bit more upwind, too! Pembrokeshire Dangler (a variety of) in full effect!! Been a great day of weather in S.Pembs, all told: we've had it all!!
  7. benb
    Ha! This I have to see...
  8. benb
    Not as wild as Monday here (atm), but still some pretty strong gusts coming through. A not unusual autumn/winter gale.
  9. benb
    Looks awesome! Glad it was worth it! My feeling, looking back, was that the South Pembs/Carms coastline had a lucky escape with the smallish tide. A bigger tide and there would certainly have been some significant flooding/erosion. Rinse and repeat on Saturday morning, as you say. 30ft+ swell forecast!
  10. benb
    IMG_7906.MOV
  11. benb
  12. benb
    Couple pics/vids from round Tenby/Lystep this afternoon: IMG_7889.MOV
  13. benb
    44ft swell on Bouy 62023. Frightening.
  14. benb
    39ft swell on one of the bouys S of Eire!! Think that's the biggest I've ever seen it.
  15. benb
    Howling in Tenby now, really picking up in last 20mins... Sent home from work in Pembroke at 11am, so County Council must be pretty confident about expected impacts. Swell kicking in now, too. This afternoon's high-tide is going to be spectacular.
  16. benb
    Howling in Tenby now, really picking up in last 20mins... Sent home from work in Pembroke at 11am, so County Council must be pretty confident about expected impacts. Swell kicking in now, too. This afternoon's high-tide is going to be spectacular.
  17. benb
    In layman's terms?
  18. benb
    What's the record for warmest October night? Currently 19c/20c in some areas of country! That's gotta be close, right?
  19. benb
    Moderately windy in S.Pembs this AM. Expecting wind to continue to build throughout day. Met O has sustained wind at 49-50mph from 2-4pm, gusting 69-72mph, in Tenby. Be interesting to see how close that is to what actually happens.
  20. benb
    To be fair, the Express have been predicting weather Armageddon of one sort or another every week for years... they were bound to hit lucky eventually... but by then no one believed them.
  21. benb
    Just thinking the centre looked to be heading more N than NE... I think that's what was expected?
  22. benb
    A hurricane?! Still? Less than 500 miles from my house.
  23. benb
    Ha!! Hope you have a good journey...
  24. benb
    I find here- http://www.xcweather.co.uk/ - to be a useful tool in these occasions. Sherkin Island (Southern tip of Eire) is my current favourite...
  25. benb
    Don't blame you: it is a bloody long way... storm after this one lokks like it might have more local interest for you!
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