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SussexmarkyMark

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    Brighton (About 1 mile from the sea and at 89m above sea level)

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  1. The most today? Really?. We had a short period of moderate snow in this part of Brighton, giving an additional covering at about 7 this morning
  2. I'm very close to the seafront in Brighton. Not seen a flake in the last hour. The wind however is strengthening. Radar seems to show no northwards movement to the precipitation to the south of Brighton in the last half hour.
  3. But I think that is forecast to move north towards Devon and Dorset, hence the warnings down there. East and North Kent will probably continue to do well as the front interacts with the easterly wind. Will also probably drive snow towards London. Not much at all for most of Sussex.
  4. Pretty much stopped here on the coast. Is that it for the day? Looks like the usual parts of Kent are having it a bit heavier
  5. I'm not expecting very much, unless this front re-invigorates itself. Most of the yellows and greens have gone, and back-edge approaching south coast.
  6. And apparently they are going to show hourly forecasts for 14 days hence.....
  7. I note that one of the 'improvements' the BBC are offering is a new online 14 day forecast. Having followed the models on websites like this for the last 20 years, and seen how inaccurate forecasting becomes beyond about 5 days, I think they're asking for trouble, as people will start complaining about poor forecasting.
  8. I don't post on here very often these days, because my technical knowledge is not sufficient to enter into conversations with those who use complex reasoning to justify why they believe certain outcomes are more likely. I prefer to look at charts in a more simplistic way which often seems to be the best way to see what the most likely outcome is. Whilst many have used the charts to justify talk of unstable northerlies, complex features and polar lows, bringing the risk of heavy snow and not just the 'wishbone' effect, with very low temperatures, the more simplistic view suggested that for many this wintery spell would not bring anything significant. For many over a large swathe of Southern England, we're still waiting for the bitterly cold weather to kick in. Firstly we were told it was going to happen on Thursday - temperatures were around 5 or 6 in many areas - then we were told it's going to be Sunday - here are today's forecast maxima from GFS: Once the cold is 'set in', the forecast maxima are as follows: And then we have this for the end of the week: So, this chilly period of weather, initially accentuated by the wind, remains pretty much as it is now for many areas, and there doesn't seem much chance of any significant snowfall either. I'm sure further north it has been colder and there has been lying snow, although how much to widespread low-lying areas, I don't know, and indeed there has been the occasional light covering down here, but if overnight snow, doesn't even make it to lunchtime, with daytime temperatures of 4 or 5c, it's hardly a major cold event and the outlook for this coming week just looks like more of the same to me
  9. It's the weather warning put out by the Met Office for Tuesday, although it barely grazes SE England. It might, perhaps, be an indication that they expect the wind to be slightly east of north by then, as the warning is not replicated for western coasts
  10. Not for the 21:55 forecast. The uncertainty was only to do with the small low to the west on Monday. He didn't seem uncertain about the weekend at all. I wasn't commenting on whether it would be accurate, just that it was the first forecast today that I'd seen that hadn't been couched in uncertainty. He certainly made no comment on a pasting for any part of the SE.
  11. I agree with that comment. They usually are vague and say 'stay tuned for updates' . That's why it was very strange that he was specific that it would be dry.
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