Cold Winter

Enhanced risk from the SPC for the next 3 days across southern US. This includes a 10% hatched risk area tomorrow and already a Day 3 enhanced risk that discusses tornadoes as the primary threat. I haven’t looked at the charts but it looks like the threat moves east a bit each day from TX through LA/MS.

Been following the lead-up to this over the last few days and it certainly seems like there’s a high possibility of severe weather tonight and tomorrow. NWS seem to think the biggest tornado threat today is from 11pm onwards UK time. Given the threat has increased a bit to the south, is there a chance things could kick off a bit earlier? At work early tomorrow but hoping to catch some of the livestreams later tonight.

Had a covering here from the showers that have passed through. One appeared to stay to the south of me on radar but looked out and it was snowing - think the southerly wind direction tonight helped it make the last mile or so! Lamp post watching beat radar tonight It’s modelled to get across. A lot of rain events do this don’t they - ie appear to stall at the Pennines then eventually the whole lot gets across, although usually weaker here than over in the west.

Still -2.5c here despite the radar suggesting the first batch of precipitation is approaching… suspect it will either fizzle out or we won’t see much at the surface. Edit: Yep, fizzling out.

To be fair the area over Leeds at the moment that is currently intensifying and growing slightly is modelled on the UKV for the next few hours to move over East Yorkshire.

UKV 15z snow depth chart for tomorrow morning. It thinks the Wolds will do best tonight which would be unusual for something coming from the west - I’d have put money on the Leeds/Huddersfield areas getting the biggest total.

-1.6c the maximum today after a low of -5.9c overnight with some patchy snow cover remaining from earlier in the week. Models looking interesting for tonight, as is the current radar. I can see that Arpege is on board for some slight accumulations… in my opinion if Arpege says yes then it suggests somewhere is going to see lying snow. The only question now is where - ie bit further north or south? Down to nowcasting. I’m expecting the area over north Wales is going to intensify a bit so all of Yorkshire should be in with a chance

About 20 minutes ago just north of Malton.

Looked very interesting a few minutes ago on radar

Very windy here now and just over 30c - almost as odd as the hot breeze during the heatwave in July last year

30c here and a strong, warm breeze. Current sky…

I live in Malton but work just over the other side of the moors. I’ve been caught in some really nasty storms in the past while up there.

Right in the middle of all the various outlooks/warnings I’ve seen for today. Already a hot and sunny 26c

Similar here. Need evaporative cooling and night time to have any chance. The best time for us in the east was always going to be after dark this evening, we might be luckier then as the low pulls away and wind direction changes.

2.0c here with drizzle and occasional sleet.