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Snowmad79

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Posts posted by Snowmad79

  1. 29 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

    Temp up and down here due to the cloud from the showers to my west. Currently -0.7°C. Dry.

    GFS has potential rain/snow snow/rain events back on for this weekend.

    Yes snow possible at weekend, if you live on Mount Snowdon or Ben Nevis.. Not great looking charts today post the next few days. Mild, very wet and looking super stormy. Surely this has to be one of the stormiest and wettest winters for a long while. Can't say I didnt expect it because with Enso postive and negative winters we have 70-80% of the time ended up with abysmal winters. Most of our snowiest winters occured in Enso Neutral winters.

    Just to clarify I am talking beyond Friday 🙂

    • Like 5
  2. 9 minutes ago, lawrenk said:

    This post will probably get removed but I needed to say this (what I think is) criticism of “Cheshire” is well wide of the mark, in my opinion. I suspect he doesn’t need me to defend him but he’s one of a select few on here who balances enthusiasm for cold with the realism of where things are heading, based on his experience. His relative quietness on here since this chase got moving was a warning sign to me, which has been borne out. Those of us who’ve followed this thread for years will know he would have been “all over this” cold spell had he had confidence it would have delivered.

     

    Yes because the old and wise members know that things can and will go the way of the pear most of the time when model output reaches the reliable timeframes. There was never really anything special synoptic wise shown including the GL block which the models all watered down to an extent. Robust easterlies with undercutting lows are always the best for UK wide snow imo and as with model output, northerlies arn't great with the "wish bone effect". Even when a NW/ Westerly component kicks in temporarily, I don't expect much from it tbh.

    I said it in the Regional thread.. Never set yourself up for a fall.

    • Like 3
    • Insightful 1
  3. 4 minutes ago, Cheshire Freeze said:

    People were on about red warnings yesterday. The only red thing we’re likely to see is the red mist of another winter weather fail.

    Indeed mate, never set yourself up for big fall. Still hard to say what exactly will happen especially when you have that UKMO HD model throwing out copious amounts of snow for large portion of the UK. But then again I admit I've not really view that particular UKMO model before.

    • Like 6
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