SLEETY
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Posts posted by SLEETY
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Cloud 10 the HLB returns for spring again,never saw it all winter apart from briefly in early january.
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colder march than feb just gone coming up,not a surprise,here comes the HLB once Winter ends again/
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4.9c 95mm
Here comes all the HLB once winter ends again.
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and here comes the change to winter again as winter ends,
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Lukesluckybunch winter is done mate,see you sometime in spring when Northern blocking becomes the dominant force again
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probably may when we get a decent greenland high,like we did a couple of years ago.too late then for anything exciting
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The way Ecm flips and flops in the later time-frames, might as well ignore it after 144 hours.
Frustrating model like to know where it sits in the verification stats, currently
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Ecm mild outlier at the end, so heoefully it's wrong again
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ecm day TEN
keeping the fading dream alive
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how have we gone from snow on the beach and -7c at the nearby airport here,in Early jan to possibly the mildest feb ever,love to see the temp spike from the cold spell to now.
When we go mild in winter now,its just goes extremely mild and always lasts at least twice as long as cold spells,reason we have rarely any below average winter months for ages.
my 7,2 c prediction looks too low!!
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Rob 79812010 is it because your using the gfs op to come to that assumption.op was a mild run from the pack.gfs worse performing in the verification stats too.If gfs op only went to 168 hours we wouldnt have this overreaction to every gfs run
Stop looking at the op runs and thinking thats the final solution,doesnt work like that.
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Ecm op run mildest run again, right at the top again. What a surprise NOT!!
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need that freezing air in the NE of Europe to head west,216 ecm is trying lol
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last two frames of ecm might be good,azores high linking up with Scandi high?
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Lukesluckybunch yeah ECM rubbish,lets hope its wrong.or we are miles away from a prolonged cold-spell
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The model thread is unbearable when a chance of cold weather arriving.
There are countless people trolling in there on purpose but nothing done about it, yet other posts removed immediately if you dare say something that isn't 100% model related, can't even mention the Met Office or posts removed.
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nick sussex what's makes you think gfs is correct anyway, top of the ensemble runs other models have the low further south etc.
Too much obsession with gfs in here.
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gfs op top of the spread again lots of cold options in there.Why are some people just using the op and ignoring the other runs in there,even the MET OFFICE use all the ensemble runs to make their judgements,but not in here.That figures then
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gfs op was one of the warmest runs in the pack for most of europe nevermind the uk,its lost the plot again
some of the ensemble runs were over 15c colder than the op.london and brussels below
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too far out to nail the track of the low.Why are people treating every op run as the final solution,same every time at this range.
Put any money on the track being totally differnt than what is currently being shown
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
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Lukesluckybunch laughable difference between its earlier run,that had minus 8 upper air over uk now list completely flipped showing milder weather moving North.
Models are just useless when not faced with mild weather Synoptics ,don’t expect the final outcome to be decided for days.