Evening thunder

Looked like a great downpour near the end

Nothing especially cold last night, min 8.6cNow 17.8c with a fair bit of high level cloud.

Yeah was zoomed in but was nice and bubbly, gave a localised intense shower east of here

A disappointing day convective wise with just one moderate shower, and not much on show cloud wise with a lot of low cloud at first then grey mid-high level decaying stuff, but this evening things cleared and did have a clearer view of distant CB's to the west with a small patch of a halo/ice bow visible in the anvil (not sure if that's the correct meteorological name) and some convection to the east which was some consolation:

Whaat ok the Egham storm/weather shield must just follow me and not be specific to Egham, (or just turn off when I'm not there, I'm going to be there tomorrow typically) Interesting video, and association with that rapid updraught, although if the funnel was near Egham it may well have been a different one as it's a fair way north of Godalming

Maybe not, but it isn't always bad, I have missed more storms and better storms at home while at uni, than I have got to see there, and that's in the SE a supposedly more prone spot. Also we have the sea and hills providing good views to watch storms or overnight imports (like the ones I missed recently). Have seen great night-time storms with lightning every few seconds a few times. Though yes we do get less action than the eastern areas you mention, at least with stronger day time storms. To be fair the GFS was showing some the highest CAPE values around this area especially this evening, so no reason why we should have expected less than elsewhere and indeed I noticed a few storms in the SW as good as anywhere else today I think, one chucked it's mid/high level decaying crud this way while it backbuilt over west Dartmoor, which blocked the sun for much of the afternoon stopping anything developing here. Everything that approached here died from all directions (changed from SW-N through the day), in what in my experience can be quite a good set up for here. Just one moderate shower all day and not many decent convective skyscapes to see (apart from this evening when it cleared up with some convection to the east and distant CB's to the west which was a bit of consolation). So it was a frustrating/disappointing day here (like yesterday), but that's the luck of the draw. You win some you loose some, especially in these low shear slow moving situations.

Rapid global warming seems to have been predicted by the ECM tonight..

Actually loosing sight of the CB to the NW now, as despite the fact it's moving south (to avoid me to the west), the left over crud from the Dartmoor cell is managing to move north and cover more of the sky.. That's now dying too, will probably just give more mid/high cloud to prevent any sunshine for longer

Bit of a rubbish convective spell here really, not much yesterday apart from a couple brief heavy showers, and just a moderate shower today. Not much in the way of good visible CB's visible either due to lots of cloud. At the moment there is a back-building storm over and just west of Dartmoor (Radar shows over 100mm/hr rain rate over a localised patch just west of Dartmoor for over 40 minutes now..), which is spewing out it's decaying remnants and mid level cloud that is blocking the sun and cooling things (along with a SSW breeze from further under this) ensuring convection won't be able to kick off here. There's another cell to the NW (can see part of that CB in the distance now) but it won't survive to here without weakening unless the aforementioned storm and it's dead crud east of it moves away, by which time there may not be much time left.

Loads of showers about on radar but so far anything has weakened to a brief light-moderate shower that didn't even dampen the roads much here, hopefully we can get some good downpours or maybe even thunder later.

Had some rain with a couple heavy bits but the heaviest seemed to pass east and west of here, 2.8mm today so far. Glastonbury looks like it's about to get a bit soggy though..

About as normal as 22/23C. Heathrow average June max is 21C, (where coincidentally I saw it reading 22C earlier, probably very average for late June), so I wouldn't quite describe it as disgusting and dismal? Looked quite nice at Wimbledon. Try here it's been overcast and 14-15C this afternoon (just had a very heavy shower) Still it's been a good June here, with 13 consecutive days of above average maxima and almost continuous sunshine up to this point. Normal to get days/spells like this really, London is one of the warmest spots of the UK (Heathrow is the warmest in Summer) and there's other places cooler too. As for climate, depends what you want really. I'd probably get bored of continuous heat and sun with nothing else all summer.

Had some heavy (briefly very heavy) rain earlier but none of the torrential downpours on radar, max rain rate 16.8mm/hr and a total of 7.4mm according to the Davis VP2, though the manual gauge says 6.8mm.Now overcast and 14.4c, so not very summery..

The 06z uppers are nearly always above 5C and sometimes around 7-9C which is about average, I'm sure some places could see 20C+ between fronts and on more showery days if it was to come of exactly (which it won't of course). It's unsettled yes and not particularly good, but IMO I've seen worse and cooler charts in summer before.

Had a fine sunny start, with a gusty east - southeast breeze picking up, though the sun has now gone and it's been dark to the south with downpours approaching on radar and the first spots of rain have just started falling. Temp 16.8c after reaching 18.7c earlier.

Definitely the first 'annoying' day for a while, clouded over with this odd band of mid level cloud refusing to move but just contracting inwards from the sides a bit. A SSE breeze and it's only 17.1c as a result, though it reached 19.4c in sunshine this morning. On a different note the recent warm sunny weather has raised sea temperatures further, currently more similar to their late summer peak than typical late June values, mainly 16-17C round the coast of the SW, and 18C off south Cornwall, nearly 4C above average there (see link to anomalies below the key)http://ghrsst-pp.metoffice.com/pages/latest_analysis/sst_monitor/ostia/sst_plot.html?i=34&j=2 These may be reduced slightly by the upcoming more unsettled weather, but will probably lift mean temperatures and humidity slightly around the coast compared to with normal sea temperatures, and probably have done recently. Would be interesting if these anomalies could be maintained into late summer..

In contrast a lot of medium to high level cloud and a SE breeze makes it the coolest day since the 11th June here, Currently 17.7c after a max earlier of 19.4c when it was sunny (the same as the 11th June)

Had a max of 24.7c earlier but now a sea breeze combined with a line of increased cumulus from the sea breeze convergence blocking the sun means the temp is 21.5c here now, despite Exeter Airport sitting at 25c.

Recently we seem to have been in one of the best locations if you want unbroken sun and warmth, close enough to the coast for a sea breeze to fend off any inland cloud build up (at least where the sun is positioned), but temperatures still not really down much on inland values (although a bit cooler yesterday evening). Max yesterday was 24.8cmin of 9.7c here in the valley last night, now 20.0c and clear. An offshore breeze today so may get a little cloud build up this time but probably heading towards 24/25c again I'm still not convinced the weekend into next week will be especially bad.. looks more like sunshine and showers under a relatively slack low to me (but I guess that may be bad for some peoples activities/preferences..)

Rather than simply wet and cool, I'd say showery may often be the order of the day as SteveB mentions , with a relatively slack low and surface heating building CAPE on several days, at least on the GFS: Could be a fair few heavy showers and thunderstorms around if that verifies, but also sunshine in between and temperatures high teens perhaps touching low 20's. Probably not the best for some but I'd quite like that outlook, much better and more interesting than just grey cool and damp at least, although there may be some frontal activity, the amount and extent of which remains to be seen.

Doesn't look so bad to me apart from the odd anomalous ensemble member that seems to have been picked out showing a deep low in FI.after a dip to about 5c uppers (Could still bring maxima near 20C in the south) the GFS ensemble mean looks firmly average http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png ECM ensemble mean doesn't end too badly either http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2401.gifIt may be just a few days unsettled/cool, and that may be showery and near average if the low this coming weekend is slack enough, before a more typical westerly pattern with high pressure ridges into the south. Of course, it might not be and could be worse, but that genuinely applies to most model outputs at this range A lovely day again and 23-24C here at the moment.

I thought the 'return of the westerlies' was a normal thing in late June, if so why is that necessarily ominous? I won't really take FI model charts suggesting a more west/east jet axis across the UK, or an unsettled few days, or the odd deep low picked from anomalous ensemble members to suggest we won't get any heat this summer, or a decent July or August.

A surprisingly warm 22C at 10am here. Overnight low 10.4C.I wouldn't mind a bit of changeable/unsettled weather, had 11 days in a row of above average maxima here and 2 weeks since any rain, if the MetO outlook of more settled/warm conditions into the 2nd week of July comes off I'd probably want a bit of rain before then. I wouldn't like it to last too long though of course, or at least consist of sunshine with showers and not too much cloud.

It's also only this mornings ECM operational I've really seen go for high pressure in the Greenland/Arctic area. Not sure that's a reliable trend, many models and ensembles keep pressure lower up there, and still do today.

Ditto. Yesterday had 100% of possible sun here so pretty much the highest daily sunshine total it's possible to get, being around the summer solstice. Today won't quite be like that due to build up of fair weather cloud but it's already warmer and a sea breeze could fend off any cloud build up later. A relatively cool minimum last night at 8.7c.