Evening thunder

Tbh there is no 'hot' weather forecast for my location, just general low-mid 20's warmth and my temps have downgraded slightly again. When the near continent and Scandinavia hot up (wouldn't bet against the latter getting more records again) we often seem to be a bit too close to Atlantic lows. The ECM has found a 2nd fresher interlude next week, and on the latest available mean from last night my 850s are still below 10C here at day 10 and are warmer off the north coast of Lapland, lol. It may hot up again and the trend is good, though I can't ever buy too much into what the GFS/GEFS shows beyond day 10. Still a fantastic summer for us though not quite as hot as it could have been perhaps, good for some I know.

I'll take the 06z version (Purely for meteorological interest/rareness rather than the effect on the elderly etc).

That was an image I had saved from NW extra showing the previous 24 hours, there are also national maps for previous days/weeks/months. Not sure if any free sites have accumulation maps though.

8.8mm last night with the radar accumulation suggesting we had as much as anyone in the SW. Total this month up to 25.7mm so the grass will green up a bit and remain partly green around here.

8.8mm last night, bringing July up to 25.7mm. You can see we had as much as anywhere looking at the 24 hour accumulation. Cloud and a bit of drizzle cleared by late morning and it became another nice day with a max of 24.2c.

Very warm one today, 27.1C (and 25.8C yesterday). It's chucking it down now. I seem to be 100% perfectly in the firing line again (like 1st July). Like that would happen if it was something interesting such as a thunderstorm, or conditions weren't interestingly dry (though we are less dry than most places due to the 1st July). Nah, last time was the 3rd March to make sure we lost the snow cover first lol.

June had 0.8mm but it's only been 16 dry days here with 14.2mm on the 1st July and 2.5mm on the 4th. It's pretty dry but the grass isn't brown everywhere, and it doesn't look as brown as many areas on the Nasa Worldview satellite images. I was wondering what it would look like if we hadn't had that rain, might be heading into Dorset this weekend so may find out (if tonight's rain hasn't already greened it up lol). Heavy rain here now, and I look right in the firing line again. If I was near breaking a wet month record everything would dodge me instead.

Something this summer hasn't managed, is a 'proper' heatwave for England with 15C+ 850's temps, and widespread temps in the 30's. The kind that's over Scandinavia atm, and remains for the most of the entire GFS run this morning (they only drop briefly to what we've been getting in our hot weather). At times those 850's extend out into the Arctic sea up to around 75+ degrees north. Would be kind of odd if in such a good summer, we can't manage that. Just checked one place, Rovaniemi in Lapland is forecast 33C today 34C tomorrow on the ECM data. Overnight low 22C. Scandinavia/Finland look more likely to be the area breaking monthly/daily records (again) to me based on the models.

A very warm evening for here last night, still near 28C at 8pm, though cooler air did seem to arrive quite quickly in the NW breeze from around 8:30pm Then not too warm a night with a min of 13.2C Currently sunny and 19.2C

Probably two main reasons, one being it's one of the most exciting weather types for the enthusiasts but also because some would like rain to water things ( without it being Atlantic driven stuff). Anyway for me thunderstorms are not necessarily separate from sunny weather, a perfect day could be a warm/hot sunny one with clouds building into a thunderstorm in the evening or overnight. It's part of the parcel for many continental climates that are generally considered to get better summers than us. Very different from the rain/wind we often get through the rest of the year.

Reached 30.0C here! at 12:38. Sea breeze has been here since about that time but not doing too much to the temps, bobbing along from 29-30C though it has now dropped to 28.7C.

4th July with 2.5mm, before that the 3rd July with a brief heavy shower, then the 1st July with 14.2mm. Grass has greened up somewhat. June only had 0.8mm though.

16.8C and sunny, min was 12.3C. Today should be my warmest of the current few, probably 30C a few miles inland from me, can't rule it out here but what happens depends on the sea breeze. Yesterday was 27.1c, Friday 28.4c, and Thursday 25.1c. Wednesday however, was 16C most of the day and damp with 2.5mm of rain. Only a brief late max of 20.3c.

Probably, because it's been difficult to get temps that high here (Monday was actually my highest temp in 10 years of records, but it had been about time I got 30C), and the charts that would challenge it look like slipping away again (unless I believe the GFS perhaps). Of course I'd have had a higher reading without the unexpected significant rain/thunder on the one day I wasn't here, and more significantly cloud that just conveyed over the sun for 3 hours at peak warmth. I know I'm being fussy but it's just those little frustrating things that often seem to happen here.

It seems the temps have only just touching heatwave criteria, often not widespread, but of course that doesn't affect the media reporting. To me, at least for central/southern England, I'd call this a prolonged very warm-hot spell as opposed to a full on heatwave with temps in the 30's widespread. It's not a heatwave here atm anyway, a little more rain overnight, overcast, rain threatening, and maxima forecast to be just 18C!

Why is the UKMO consistently being less strong with the high with lower 850's, and now further west? Maybe that's why the Met Office are only forecasting 23-24C maxima right out to Tuesday for me.. GFS and especially ECM was giving 28-30C constantly. However the ECM has now downgraded significantly. Looks like my highest maxima of the year will be Monday's then, occurring a day after 14mm of rain to limit potential maxima via damp ground, and the obligatory altocumulus passing over the sun from 1-4pm, clearing just after the sea breeze arrives. And it seems just as the Met Office jump on the risky band-wagon of believing the models out to two weeks, it starts to slip away from us

That's a bit different today, max of 23.2C in a bit of sun this morning but generally cloudy and at times below 20C this afternoon, quite breezy and feeling coolish at times. Forecast to be cloudy with a max of just 18C tomorrow! Things like this, along with the 14.2mm of rain on Sunday, reduce the 'strength' of the anomaly here compared to elsewhere, which often seems to happen in interesting conditions.

Well that's a bit different, generally cloudy, temp dropping below 20C at times this afternoon and breezy for a time making it feel a little cool if anything. A brief heavy shower about 3pm. It did reach 23.2C with a bit of sunshine this morning. Currently mostly cloudy and 19.8C. Rather different to areas further north and east.

Well, we reached 30.1C here! First time in my records which are in their 11th summer, so about time. Kind of lucky that we did due to the obligatory altocumulus that covered the sun for much of the warmest part of the afternoon, on quite possibly the hottest day of the year, before melting away after the sea breeze arrived. Much cooler now at 15.1C already. I noticed at 8pm a sea breeze had even reached Dunkeswell (12 miles inland from Lyme Bay), while Plymouth was 25C with an offshore breeze.. Last night some coastal stations near here mins around 20C (min 15.0C here).

We had 0.8mm in June here. However yesterday 14.2mm fell with thunder (I wasn't here of course). Probably will green up the grass etc though I wonder how big/long lasting the effect will be? In Reading yesterday, it possilbly looked a bit drier than it did here, large verges and areas of grass completely straw colour in places.

Well we had some heavy rain and thunder yesterday giving 14.2mm, but of course I was in Reading so in a way I'd rather it had stayed dry to keep that interest aspect going. Was pretty hot in Reading at 30/31C. Max here was 24.4C Min was forecast to be 19C last night but it fell to 15.0C at 1:30am. Currently 20.8C, could be my warmest day so far today (not sure if the now damp ground will reduce the max temp a tad?)

Yep, nice rain and thunder reported at home. Watch that activity move and backbuild over home, the the one day I'm not there. Also ending the interest of how dry it is, when everywhere 10 miles east and beyond is dry still. And with the warning extended east, watch storms form up here near Reading or other parts of the south when I'm heading back home this evening...

I said a few weeks ago that there would be thunderstorms in the SW tomorrow as I'm going to be in Reading. And right on cue...

We have joined the 25C+ temps over the last two days with a more limited sea breeze (one still arriving in the afternoon but having less of an effect) . My station registered 28.6C on Thursday and 28.4C yesterday. The nights have warmed to double figures with lows of 11.4C and 11.1C so still relatively cool in the valley. A station 40m higher, about a mile west of me had 15.4C and 14.0C lows. Currently 25.8C. I'm off to Reading this afternoon, so there will likely be thunderstorms down here tomorrow!

Min of 7.0c here yesterday, then a max of 24C with the sea breeze again. Down to 8.4c earlier here in the valley. A station 0.7 miles to my west on a hillside and 40m higher had 12.9c though. Currently 16.0c and rising. Today should see higher temps here due to a slight wind direction change even if we still get a bit of a sea breeze later.