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Evening thunder

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Everything posted by Evening thunder

  1. A very warm evening for here last night, still near 28C at 8pm, though cooler air did seem to arrive quite quickly in the NW breeze from around 8:30pm Then not too warm a night with a min of 13.2C Currently sunny and 19.2C
  2. Evening thunder

    Summer 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc

    Probably two main reasons, one being it's one of the most exciting weather types for the enthusiasts but also because some would like rain to water things ( without it being Atlantic driven stuff). Anyway for me thunderstorms are not necessarily separate from sunny weather, a perfect day could be a warm/hot sunny one with clouds building into a thunderstorm in the evening or overnight. It's part of the parcel for many continental climates that are generally considered to get better summers than us. Very different from the rain/wind we often get through the rest of the year.
  3. Reached 30.0C here! at 12:38. Sea breeze has been here since about that time but not doing too much to the temps, bobbing along from 29-30C though it has now dropped to 28.7C.
  4. 4th July with 2.5mm, before that the 3rd July with a brief heavy shower, then the 1st July with 14.2mm. Grass has greened up somewhat. June only had 0.8mm though.
  5. 16.8C and sunny, min was 12.3C. Today should be my warmest of the current few, probably 30C a few miles inland from me, can't rule it out here but what happens depends on the sea breeze. Yesterday was 27.1c, Friday 28.4c, and Thursday 25.1c. Wednesday however, was 16C most of the day and damp with 2.5mm of rain. Only a brief late max of 20.3c.
  6. Probably, because it's been difficult to get temps that high here (Monday was actually my highest temp in 10 years of records, but it had been about time I got 30C), and the charts that would challenge it look like slipping away again (unless I believe the GFS perhaps). Of course I'd have had a higher reading without the unexpected significant rain/thunder on the one day I wasn't here, and more significantly cloud that just conveyed over the sun for 3 hours at peak warmth. I know I'm being fussy but it's just those little frustrating things that often seem to happen here.
  7. It seems the temps have only just touching heatwave criteria, often not widespread, but of course that doesn't affect the media reporting. To me, at least for central/southern England, I'd call this a prolonged very warm-hot spell as opposed to a full on heatwave with temps in the 30's widespread. It's not a heatwave here atm anyway, a little more rain overnight, overcast, rain threatening, and maxima forecast to be just 18C!
  8. Why is the UKMO consistently being less strong with the high with lower 850's, and now further west? Maybe that's why the Met Office are only forecasting 23-24C maxima right out to Tuesday for me.. GFS and especially ECM was giving 28-30C constantly. However the ECM has now downgraded significantly. Looks like my highest maxima of the year will be Monday's then, occurring a day after 14mm of rain to limit potential maxima via damp ground, and the obligatory altocumulus passing over the sun from 1-4pm, clearing just after the sea breeze arrives. And it seems just as the Met Office jump on the risky band-wagon of believing the models out to two weeks, it starts to slip away from us
  9. Evening thunder

    Summer 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc

    That's a bit different today, max of 23.2C in a bit of sun this morning but generally cloudy and at times below 20C this afternoon, quite breezy and feeling coolish at times. Forecast to be cloudy with a max of just 18C tomorrow! Things like this, along with the 14.2mm of rain on Sunday, reduce the 'strength' of the anomaly here compared to elsewhere, which often seems to happen in interesting conditions.
  10. Well that's a bit different, generally cloudy, temp dropping below 20C at times this afternoon and breezy for a time making it feel a little cool if anything. A brief heavy shower about 3pm. It did reach 23.2C with a bit of sunshine this morning. Currently mostly cloudy and 19.8C. Rather different to areas further north and east.
  11. Well, we reached 30.1C here! First time in my records which are in their 11th summer, so about time. Kind of lucky that we did due to the obligatory altocumulus that covered the sun for much of the warmest part of the afternoon, on quite possibly the hottest day of the year, before melting away after the sea breeze arrived. Much cooler now at 15.1C already. I noticed at 8pm a sea breeze had even reached Dunkeswell (12 miles inland from Lyme Bay), while Plymouth was 25C with an offshore breeze.. Last night some coastal stations near here mins around 20C (min 15.0C here).
  12. Evening thunder

    Drought - Summer - 2018?

    We had 0.8mm in June here. However yesterday 14.2mm fell with thunder (I wasn't here of course). Probably will green up the grass etc though I wonder how big/long lasting the effect will be? In Reading yesterday, it possilbly looked a bit drier than it did here, large verges and areas of grass completely straw colour in places.
  13. Well we had some heavy rain and thunder yesterday giving 14.2mm, but of course I was in Reading so in a way I'd rather it had stayed dry to keep that interest aspect going. Was pretty hot in Reading at 30/31C. Max here was 24.4C Min was forecast to be 19C last night but it fell to 15.0C at 1:30am. Currently 20.8C, could be my warmest day so far today (not sure if the now damp ground will reduce the max temp a tad?)
  14. Yep, nice rain and thunder reported at home. Watch that activity move and backbuild over home, the the one day I'm not there. Also ending the interest of how dry it is, when everywhere 10 miles east and beyond is dry still. And with the warning extended east, watch storms form up here near Reading or other parts of the south when I'm heading back home this evening...
  15. I said a few weeks ago that there would be thunderstorms in the SW tomorrow as I'm going to be in Reading. And right on cue...
  16. We have joined the 25C+ temps over the last two days with a more limited sea breeze (one still arriving in the afternoon but having less of an effect) . My station registered 28.6C on Thursday and 28.4C yesterday. The nights have warmed to double figures with lows of 11.4C and 11.1C so still relatively cool in the valley. A station 40m higher, about a mile west of me had 15.4C and 14.0C lows. Currently 25.8C. I'm off to Reading this afternoon, so there will likely be thunderstorms down here tomorrow!
  17. Min of 7.0c here yesterday, then a max of 24C with the sea breeze again. Down to 8.4c earlier here in the valley. A station 0.7 miles to my west on a hillside and 40m higher had 12.9c though. Currently 16.0c and rising. Today should see higher temps here due to a slight wind direction change even if we still get a bit of a sea breeze later.
  18. Evening thunder

    Things that tick you off?

    How some papers can apparently justify their what I don't know what to call apart from blatant lies, or unrepeatable words. 'Hotter than the Sahara' Yeah, we're totally hotter than their 45C+ highs with 32-34C 850hpa temps... Even the BBC said 'hotter than Miami' but they are having maxima of about 31/32C with 26C minima and ~25C dew points.
  19. Wow, at 5pm Filton had a temp/dew of 29.4/-0.8C and a humidity of 14%! Here a bit more mundane, 23/12 and 52% humidity around that time. Max of 25.2C and hovering around 23-24C most of the day due to a sea breeze. Min was 7.9C so cool nights still, a bit different to a station that's 10 miles north of me as the crow flies, at 280m altitude that had a min of 16.1C!
  20. Last June saw 5 days in a row of 25C+ and matched my highest temp in the last 11 years (29.2C) so that spell was better than this one here so far, Obviously it will vary with location though. This June is warmer on average though (the warmest in my 10 years of records) so depends what you are looking for really. This month is undeniably a good June. I rated the first half of summer 2017 as ok/decent here.
  21. Evening thunder

    Summer 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc

    I'm 2.6 miles from the closest point as the crow flies, although that's over a hill that reaches 212m, and the direction of the sea breeze often seems to be up the river valley that reaches the sea 5.3 miles away. Guess I shouldn't complain given that lol, though in April/May we had a sea breeze but managed to reach a similar temperature with colder SSTs. For some reason I'm often similar to Exeter Airport which is further inland, though yesterday we were a few degrees cooler. The Met Office tend to underestimate temps here too, significantly today, it's been 23-24C much of the day so far with a brief peak at 25.2C. WU look like being closer as they seem to be giving forecasts 1-3C higher than the Met Office over the next few days. I see at 3pm it was 29.7C at Chivenor and 27.5C at Plymouth (who have had the wind back from SE to E, instead of a sea breeze again).
  22. Evening thunder

    Summer 2018 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc

    This spell shows the problem with living near a coastline when wanting interesting summer temps. Not a lot you can do if you want to be near the coast. Though a north or west facing coast is often better in hot spells, like tomorrow. Looks like another case of Plymouth right on the coast being (significantly) warmer than me when I'm a few miles inland too. Tomorrow forecast 21C for me and 20C on Wednesday. If not underestimated, that's average lol. Thursday/Friday look warmer but a pool of cooler 850's drifts in as if by magic to probably limit temps a bit (mid 20's still hopefully). ECM forecast edged down a bit once more. I guess it's ironic that the media photos of packed beaches and scorching headlines will probably come from will be one of the coolest areas. Certainly not 'hotter than Miami' like the BBC said, (try their 32C highs, 26C lows, and mid 20's dewpoints..)
  23. A lovely day, but the sea breeze on overdrive keeping it around 23C much of the day. I noticed Plymouth Mount Batten and Lands End airport got that warm even though they're right on the coast and I'm a few miles inland lol. A brief fluctuation to 24.9C though. Min of 7.4C, still cool nights although not as cool as the 3.5C the other day (the max then was 22.5C giving a range of 19C).
  24. Hopefully the ECM is right as I can't complain at that. Although I wouldn't say it's quite 'hot' here, Met Office show it not exceeding 22C here until Thursday, then up to 25C. I feel it may be over-doing the effect of sea breezes but even so. A fantastic forecast though with a sunshine symbol every day of the next 7, not seen that for a while. Looks like dryness will continue to be the most notable theme, just without the interest/novelty factor of it being as hot as it could have been.
  25. I was also going to post that you can see the change for example by comparing last night's t t+144 (or even t+120) to today's 12z t+126 (or t+102) At that range with all models similar you can sort of be forgiven for believing it. Now the high is orientated less favourably and weaker, and open to lasting less long. Hopefully it's not a precedent, I've known downgrades like this to seem like a theme for the season. ECM ensembles far less good than last nights, that also had +14C 850's in the south at t+216. Today's have lost the +12 line by T+168, almost t+144. Also, the Met Office only forecasting 20C here from Wednesday's chart (which looks good still) ! The highest is 25/24C on Thursday/Friday. So unless they are significantly overestimating the effect of sea breezes etc, it looks like I may only get a few 'very warm' days anyway. The North coast is forecast to be a lot warmer of course. I haven't reached 30C here in my records starting in 2007. We are often moderated by the sea but it's still about time it happened. Hopefully this post ends up looking a bit silly and we get a great spell and/or summer. Sometimes does seem like there's a lot of 'fair weather' folk about, nothing wrong with that of course but surely they can understand us finding extremes interesting.