chrisbell-nottheweatherman
-
Posts
4,754 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by chrisbell-nottheweatherman
-
-
4 minutes ago, Harry said:
Agreed @minus10, less exciting than previous runs. However I tend not to look at models this close to proceedings and rely on sky-gazing. I’m inclined right now to set an alarm for 2am and have a quick check
That might put me too far east as well.
-
I might be in the sweet spot tonight.
-
18 hours ago, slater said:
Nothing at all in Attleborough, only parts of Norfolk that have seen any measurable rainfall was NW Norfolk that had well over 60mm, and an isolated storm just off the coast of Yarmouth yesterday…I have recorded 0mm
I was in Attleborough early yesterday afternoon, and it rained quite a bit - the town centre was wet!
-
1
-
-
19 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:
Still dull and windy, no sign of rain. This latest hot spell can't even go out with a whimper, never mind a bang.
We've had showers furthur east. I was in Attleborough earlier, and there was a hefty downpour as I left.
-
2 hours ago, Norfolk Sheep said:
Rinse and repeat today by the look of it.
The only way I'm going to get wet is by having a shower....
Yes, the Triangle just gets drier...
-
1
-
-
BBC East forecast with Julie showed cells coming in from the east overnight!
-
2
-
-
Slightly more rain again here!
-
1
-
-
30 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
As expected, absolutely bugger-all around here: On one day it's all to the north; on the next, it's all to the south. How meaningless it is to lie slap, bang in the middle of the area of highest risk!
Yes, utterly frustrating.
-
1
-
-
25 minutes ago, Polaris said:
Rained here for about 2 minutes earlier. Sunny spells past couple hours now.
Same here. Triangle of Doom again...
-
1
-
-
Just now, Candice said:
Most of that isn’t reaching the ground.
The storms will!
-
4 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:
This marks a nice full circle here;
Reasonable totals up to Wednesday night. Localised parts of Lincolnshire receive over 2 inches of rain, meanwhile London and Kent get very little. Not much for most of East Anglia either. But that is the nature of the set up. It isn’t a dry outlier, just that rainfall is situated in different spots.
Thanks!
-
24 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:
I would tread carefully regarding places that may receive a significant amount of rain. The ECM actually develops showers further south than the UKMO, further south than I thought when the run came out. It remains very warm or even hot too (raw maxima of 28c, so close to 30c across East Anglia before showers become widespread).
OK, thanks. What did the 12Z GFS show, in your opinion? I've read that it basically rubbished the idea of anything more than the odd light passing shower?
-
7 minutes ago, Captain Shortwave said:
I don’t think it is really possible for a model to be a dry outlier for a specific location when rainfall is in the form of showers? They could be dry by sheer fluke due to the hit and miss nature of showers.
The ECM shows temperatures to be around a degree higher tomorrow compared to today. So 35c looks likely, I wouldn’t rule out a 36c I guess.
So first things first, the UKMO and ECM stall the boundary between the continental air (warm/hot) and cooler Atlantic air, as such on Tuesday and Wednesday similar locations are show to develop heavy downpours, these appear to be across the Midlands and the north of East Anglia. South and east of this looks drier and of course temperatures will still be decent with a light easterly flow. This all gets shunted east Wednesday night and everyone is in a generally westerlies airmass from Thursday onwards. The ECM does have the jet running further south tonight, so more average than the GFS or of course the 00z ECM run.
We should be in the sweet spot for rain, then!
-
Seeing reports that 12Z GFS eliminates the thundery showery weather. Thoughts?
-
2
-
-
12 minutes ago, Gonzolio Martinez said:
Something kicking off on the east coast of the Norfolk/Suffolk border. Can see the top of it from my front windows. Seems to be going up in a convergence zone.
I wonder whether it will come this way?
-
16 hours ago, Gonzolio Martinez said:
What seemed like a benign blob of elevated rain suddenly went bang and became quite the light show - big lightning every 5-10 seconds atm - all elevated so not as loud as I'd like but looks epic nonetheless
Didn't it just!
-
3 minutes ago, seb said:
Negative. 2x a couple of minutes of big drops. Not even got the ground wet. Car and garden furniture dry after a few minutes. A few flashes and rumbles. Temp stuck at 26 degrees at local WOW station.
Others there have.
-
Just now, Norfolk Sheep said:
I'd be astonished if any of that gets anywhere east of Cambridge tbh!
You might be correct.
-
3 minutes ago, Norfolk Sheep said:
Just finished pot watering, not a huge temperature drop and not a breath of wind. Can't see any significant rain here for a least another week.
Even my hemerocallis are giving up the ghost.
Check radar - plenty moving towards us from Kent!
-
Cell appearing near Colchester.
-
3 hours ago, dryfie said:
Almost inevitably it's an airfield, but fear not. Closed soon after WW2 and has now mainly become agricultural' So it's generally flat and the exposure is excellent. For many years after the war it was the nations main motorsport venue, and the training ground for Jim Clark
I immediately thought of Jim when Charterhall was mentioned.
-
Heavy ppn, on radar heading towards S.Essex fires.
-
26.3C now.
Correction - 25.8.
-
Dropping here as well. 34.8 to 31 in under an hour.
SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion
in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion
Posted
We did see some flashes last night and had about 4mm of rain.