BA Baracus

Radar snap shots show how the rain is turning slowly to snow. Hopefully in a couple of hours it'll be down to low levels.

Snow starting to settle up on the top of M62.

The wiggle in the isobar shows there could be disturbances in the easterly flow = chance of more significant snow.

Starting to look like a very good period of winter weather approaching. Yesterday's snow is slowly fading but it looks like it could get interesting early next week. I'd agree with the 10-20cm for much of West Yorkshire. Easterlies with showers generally make it much further inland than modelled and can become heavy and persistent. What we need to see on the met office fax charts are the "trees". Not sure if their scientific name, but they show areas where showers are heavy and persistent.... you can see them in the North Sea on the attached chart.

Can hear distant rumbles now. It looks like the large storm will stick mostly to the east of the M1. It looks like it is on a collision course with York.

Menacing skies looking South of Wakefield (M1 in background)

More showers a long the line I drew earlier, but also one a little further west that I've circled red Is there scope for more than one round of storms for lucky spots?

Very basic doodle attached... let's see if any more showers form along this line.

It's glorious here in West Yorkshire now after this morning's crud has disappeared. Not a cloud in the sky and getting warmer. 25C and climbing, feeling very close.

The atmosphere is definately trying to produce something. Lots of tiny showers popping up right across central England now.

5 minutes later....

A spec on the radar just north of Shrewsbury

River Calder has burst it's banks in Mirfield. Some roads are blocked whilst others are drivable but won't be for long (for those that know the area, Newgate under the rail bridge is almost impassable).

Yep, I'm writing this winter off as close but no cigar. Bring on the longer and warmer days!

I don't expect much, if anything tomorrow. If we get anything it's a bonus. I think Thursday has a greater chance but we are at the northern edge of precipitation so won't take much for it to edge away southwards.

Off topic in that I'm not looking at chart specifics, but model wise, does this new IBM model run alongside existing models or is it a replacement for an existing older version? https://venturebeat.com/2019/01/08/ibm-announces-high-precision-weather-model-new-quantum-computer-design-and-enhanced-project-debater/

Latest ICON shows potentially snowy Saturday morning. However too far away to be taken as a given.

I know it's not 100% accurate but there are hundreds of lightning strikes from the Doncaster airport storm. Very impressive.

Look at those rain intensities. Flash flooding must be taking place.

Yes, there is a horse shoe of rain round the area. Guess you are in a dry slot South/ West of finnigley. M18/m180 junction now getting hit.

Intensity of rainfall almost off the chart near Doncaster airport. Loads of lightning too.

Why don't member locations show on mobiles? It would be useful to easily see where people are when reporting storms in their area.

Another storm just South East of Peterborough now electrically active

It's blitzortung app, quite useful for days like today

Are these storms expected to merge / intensify as they move northward? The ones round Lincoln are clumping into one large storm.