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Neilsouth

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Everything posted by Neilsouth

  1. Neilsouth
    We've already had upgrades in the short term which a lot of people are not talking about :) -12 uppers moving across the south east, weather warning for snow and it's already sleeting now! - Go back a week and people were expecting hardly anything because the high was too high :p
  2. Neilsouth
    It's looking even colder than first thought for Monday "Small pocket of -14 uppers into the extreme south east on the latest 06z ukmo". I always say for us in Kent, and towards London :p That for snowfall I prefer -10 uppers or below. Usually a good start point for snow streamers to set up. Keep checking the radar tomorrow! ( To that one poster, will get Swindon get snow? Just check the radar :p )
  3. Neilsouth
    Case and point look at the upgrades in the short term for the east and south east... " DRY " " High pressure is too high " people said, and here we are with rain/sleet and possible snow tomorrow! - I do wonder if after all this we get a true scandi high down the line rather than a more dominate greenland high?
  4. Neilsouth
    Getting the odd snow flake amongst the rain here!
  5. Neilsouth
    Not just that, but now reporting sleet!
  6. Neilsouth
    Does anyone know what model the BBC use for their forecasts? As looking at the EC/GFS/UKMO I don't see a low pressure coming up from the south increasing temps, and later "Wintry Showers" from the north?
  7. Neilsouth
    Well there's also a chance of troughs and polar lows in the mix, with such extreme cold further north!
  8. Neilsouth
    Day after day there were a few people here posting the Ensembles with much delight, but again as I said before they can go just as wrong the next day, and so they have! An almost complete u-turn!
  9. Neilsouth
    Why do people keep posting the ensemble mean as that too changes as much as the models do? Such as in the case of the 18Z GFS
  10. Neilsouth
    Explain to a noob like myself, are you saying that as it's a minor SSW it's why we are seeing charts like this, but if it was a major SSW we wouldn't be?
  11. Neilsouth
    Well one thing I've noticed which has been different to most winters, is not just the rain but how far south these low pressure systems are! So much so they tend to cross the south and pound so many areas with flooding! Here's to a long dry spell with hopeful winter wonderland in the near future too
  12. Neilsouth
    Hope we don't get stuck in no-mans land for weeks with the high over us!
  13. Neilsouth
    You lot do make me laugh... "LOL" " WOZERS" "BOOOOM", come on all level head! We still don't know how this weekend is going to pan out with that high pressure, further north the better!
  14. Neilsouth
    Wasn't it the 8th originally? I mean I do hope the high does move North/North West! However I'd also hope for some dry weather! UKMO deffo looking meh compared to even this morning
  15. Neilsouth
    How isn't it? It's been at the top of the pile for a good week, while others have gone for a UK high. Now it's following the others
  16. Neilsouth
    That's a BIG u-turn for the UKMO, bit of a disaster with the model to be honest.
  17. Neilsouth
    Looks MUCH stronger via the 12Z
  18. Neilsouth
    It has been many years since I've seen a high pressure of that magnitude in the mid Atlantic! Although I'm also confident of some very cold snowy weather at some point end of dec,jan, I'm more looking forward to a good week or so of clear sunny high pressure. Rain has been relentless for weeks here!
  19. Neilsouth
    Thank you Only my family, just recently finished 12 sessions of mental health counselling. But seeing family on Wednesday so something to look forward to
  20. Neilsouth
    I'm Autistic, with PTSD and this weather is making me feel even worse :( SAD! I don't mind a bit of rain but it's been relentless since the end of Summer
  21. Neilsouth
    This weather, rain,rain, rain and more RAIN
  22. Neilsouth
    If I remember correctly, back in the 90's before the great Easterly, there was a lot of high pressure and dense FOG. Something most winters have been lacking. So just maybe a settled high would be a good thing?
  23. Neilsouth
    Amazing snow up north! Especially when the met office on the day said " Wintry Showers " , so yeh this winter is turning out very different 407442279_192467300522835_4740080893216852224_n.mp4
  24. Neilsouth
    Well Cumbria just had a foot of snow, and the forecast said " Showers in the west may turn wintry " I still hold firm that the models don't have a clue what's going to happen beyond a few days, that is a lot of cold air to shift!
  25. Neilsouth
    Well here in Kent they forecasted " Wintry Showers ", and I woke up to around 2CM of snow on the ground..........
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