Neilsouth
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Everything posted by Neilsouth
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Hotspur62 Second time this month it's been a bad forecast by the beeb/met! Like last Sunday, it wasn't supposed to rain, and it drizzled/rained all day! Even events were called off -
Wasn't supposed to rain until this afternoon, looks like rain may arrive this morning
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Lovely day today, feels cold tonight though
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Freeze The clouds are real, but the video with the clouds are not. Super imposed over the top, two different videos
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What a complete *** of a forecast for today!! Last night they said drier for the south east (kent) with sunshine clouding over later. It's been dark/dank and raining ever since I woke up Biggin It's fake! You can clearly see the way the image moves with the clouds compared to the ground
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Neilsouth replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
MattStoke Not exactly like the previous cold spell was accurate for those living in the south, all of them were chopping and changing daily. The low pressure ended up so far south it went into France! -
Feels colder again tonight, me no likey :(
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So the snow went into France, but hey.. Atleast there's some rain showers just off the coast of Kent
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Ahh! All good, I don't post in there too often anyway, gets me riled up ha
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@Paul Is mod section broken? Warning issued by A.J July 15, 2014 Content moderated - 2 days Your content will need to be approved by a moderator Haven't posted in that section or broken any rules in that group for awhile, as seen by 2014 Lol
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As was noted the other day, there are increasing hints that a siberian high pressure will build towards the end of Jan or FEB .I think that's where we need to be looking for our next cold/snow spell if this one doesn't come to pass for the south
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The model section is so frustrating, posts that are completely on topic such as talking about dart board lows and the GFS at the time 12Z should be binned and it gets deleted. But people posting " God almighty pass me the rope!" and it stays! Much prefer the regionals so we can look forward to snow.. or not
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But that depends where the Jet Stream is going, is it firing up towards the UK, or as in the case of this upcoming low pressure, funneled into France?
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Look how "DRY" the last spell of winter was! Lots of people said that under the high pressure there would be mainly flurries in the East/South East as the air is too dry. Yet some parts had 5CM of snow fall with the cold upgraded nearer the time as well. You CANNOT accurately forecast snowfall so far ahead. Lets get the cold in first
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I'm still looking towards Siberian high pressure development later Jan into Feb, although no sign of this yet in the GFS
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Dartboard lows, BIN it from that point on! Come on people, how many times... Dartboard lows = model is struggling!
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Bin it, look at the dart board low pressure over the NE/USA!
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LONG WAY OFF - SUBJECT TO CHANGE! - As ever with TV forecasts they are not always reliable . First time I've ever heard a forecaster say " It could be a Juicy one "
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Hi BFTP I've read a lot about Tamara's thoughts, do you have a link to it? Thank you
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I'm expecting a Scandi high pressure to form either late Jan or Feb, conditions are ripe for one to form! Nearly had one this week
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Because it was wrong last night and I clearly explained why...I told people to bin it, but was ignored
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Do you lot not learn, LOOK AT THE GFS compared to others! Not only is it swinging from one to the next, but the entire global pattern is different!! Dartboard lows, dartboard highs, it's as if the pattern looks squashed compared to the UKMO/GEM. Bin it, it's WRONG -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Bin it! We have a choice of Dartboard Low on the 0Z or dartboard High on the 06z!
