gottolovethisweather

Sound advice Nick and Many Thanks for your input.

Judging by the latest radar capture it looks NAILED ON that any precipitation which does fall will be SNOW over almost the whole region from midnight onwards. That in itself is remarkable considering tomorrow is March 11th. (sorry for the small image ) All we need now is something to bring the precipitation to a large part of this region. The cold has arrived and it ain't going anywhere for a few days yet. Will the SNOW come, yes for a fair few of us it has and will largely come about in the form of showers in the coming days. For tonight's into tomorrow's event, the further into the English Channel you can get, the better.

Not 100% certain of the current positioning of the surface feature but it was indeed always forecast to move directly Eastwards. However, its attendant fronts are expected to brush along the extreme Southern coastal localities during the next 24 hours as well.

You have confused me now. The general consensus in here, as far as I know was always that there was a risk that the main event (surface feature currently over Nothern parts of the Bay of Biscay) could bring a few CMs of lying snow from midnight onwards into tomorrow daytime. The risk still remains whilst the heaviest of the precipitation was always expected to effect parts of Northern France and the Channel Islands. I hope that helps you Daisy and with the hectic pace we are keeping to in this thread, I am not surprised that some folk are missing the general consensus. What I saying above is based on the numerical model output analyses, put forward by others. My gut feeling is that we should not be taking much notice of the forecasts right now and should be sticking to actual live data and reports from the good folk of netweather and beyond.

Any chance you could update your profile to show your location. If only to assist any MetO affiliated lurkers who wish to hit of our SNOW reports.

Why are you confused when most, if not all of the above, is the truth. The future is yet undecided and a model projection will not NAIL things until the fat lady and her choir has started singing. All of that activity will happen from the early hours onwards.

And you would be right, largely based on your highlighted comment. On reflection, the following 24-36 hours weather remains uncertain for most of this region.

TBF, the model output is pointing to it Karlos but I am NOT jumping ship in what is a developing situation, it truly is a 50/50 chance of something good for coastal locations right now.

Bang on, I would say. I have said the same all day and Kent's post very much backed up my ideas. HOWEVER the usual caveats apply and it would not take much to move things Northwards a touch. Further SE, Monday night into Tuesday is very much a watching period for those on the Eastern edge of this region. I truly wouldn't want to be in the MetO's shoes right now.

It certainly is a watch and wait rather than a giving up scenario, that is for sure.

Damn, beaten to it by a diva.

Welcome aboard, if you can, when you get a chance, please update your profile to permanently reflect your location. Stop it right now.

Do it or you might regret it.

Indeed Daisy, the snow that a few folk have seen today was largely unforecast I believe. However, the main event is ahead of us and that is precisely what your MetO would be forecasting, i.e. the future.

It is warning of the risk, nothing else, to be fair. They are a governmental organisation with a duty to portray the risks. Kent's post above is the best analysis of the situation so far, but suffice to say, things are ever changing and as I type, it is currently snowing in quite a bit of our region, albeit patchy and light in nature. Please refrain from the MetO slagging off type posts because one or two of the netweather members on here are affiliated with them. Plymouth remains to be in area of risk and I suspect that you will see a little snow over the coming hours.

Sure is chilly out there. My lips are sealed as to what the prospects are.

Indeed 57mph Scilly and 55mph Culdrose the top gusts from the SW so far. What with the reports of SNOW in parts, that must feel astonishingly bitter out there and a few more days of coldness to come yet.

Certainly didn't offend me and it did at least get people talking.

Nice one. Please would you be so kind as to update your profile to show your location permanently.

You're a very naughty boy AJ or is that the Twister one is a very naughty young lady. Not much sign of complaints of a typo or a misconstured post just yet. I'm sure you have a few jokes up your sleeve about snowdepths eh AJ.

The radar is suggesting that the precipitation is turning to SNOW over parts of East Cornwall as I type this. Can anyone confirm this. If so, I think Cornwall will be the place to be over the coming hours. The way this is going was pretty much as forecast so far and I am willing you lot down SW to get a piece of the action.

Not as much as I suspect you are hoping for, based on current model output. However, I think you are happy to at least see some and I wish you well as you are in the right region.

Yes you are correct over the timing and I suspect many others are confused, which is why myself and the other MODS are attempting to maintain order over some of the delusional posts in here. The main feature (surface low) is only now showing up off to our far SW.

I'm keeping the faith divadee but the reality will probably not end up matching our hopes. The extreme coastal areas look like doing well out of this at the current time, however the situation is evolving and I am not ruling out changes over the coming 36 hours or so. Radar watching all the way from here on in.

Do you need me to edit this? Also, we can all pretend to know what is going on but mother nature will do as she feels in the end.