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Everything posted by gottolovethisweather
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Seemingly my hunch might be coming off then. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76700-south-westcentral-southern-regional-discussion-discussion-21st-may-2013-onwards/?p=2736604 Still way off in FI but not without support, this spell could fortunately or unfortunately, depending on your viewpoint be just a mere first course of heat.
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Can see a repeat of the skies as shown above here in Newbury. The Air Temperature peaked at 29.7c just over ten minutes ago and now it's fallen to 29.0c. A half decent dewpoint too, 18.8c. Davis says increasing clouds with little temperature change, precipitation possible within 24 to 48 hours. I'd like a storm within the next few hours, thank you.
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 11th July 2013 onwards
gottolovethisweather replied to Coast's topic in Regional
Ok, just a very brief analysis as to how I see things panning out next week and into the final third of July. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76700-south-westcentral-southern-regional-discussion-discussion-21st-may-2013-onwards/?p=2736604 FWIW, during the reliable timeframe, I feel somewhere local to this region or possibly non-locally will see 30c breached each and every day during the next working week. THE HEATWAVE IS ON. http-~~-//www.youtube.com/watch?v=1-mU-YSk32I- 616 replies
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- south east england
- east anglia
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(and 2 more)
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OMG, surely it can't happen in my patch. I often make the assumption that one should follow the heat when looking for storms on days like these. Given that I'm currently at 30.3c (non-officially one of the hottest locations right now), I may be in with a decent shout. All this going against my instinct from a couple of days back when I thought things looked utter pants. You naughty boy Lynxus, you've got my hopes up.
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It is a bit much but I've got some cool rooms I can retreat to in the house at the moment. In fact, most of my time has been spent outside reading in the shade. For the sake of seeing records tumble, yes I want it to go even higher. Having said that, I would just hope the vulnerable are being looked after.
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As suggested by others, it's 21c/22c in places already so today will surely be the hottest of the year. It could be possibly breach 90F in a localised spot somewhere, if the endless blue skies I'm seeing here in Newbury are repeated elsewhere. Fluids at the ready! Here's the current top five Temps, courtesy of weatheronline.co.uk UK - Current Temperature Saturday 13 Jul 2013 08:00 BST Coventry Airport (82 m) 22 °C Nottingham/Watnall (117 m) 21.6 °C Staverton Private (29 m) 21 °C Bristol Airport (189 m) 21 °C Doncaster Airport (12 m) 21 °C
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 2nd July 2013 onwards
gottolovethisweather replied to Coast's topic in Regional
Hello SE'rs and East Anglians. I thought I'd just share my thoughts from the other regional and the same details pretty much apply to you lot I guess. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/76700-south-westcentral-southern-regional-discussion-discussion-21st-may-2013-onwards/?p=2734498 -
Well it's not really fair to requote myself but as we're a week in from the above post, I thought I would confirm my thoughts on this current spell. For a time earlier this week, the models had suggested a probable breakdown, at the time I didn't buy into that scenario and I still don't. My second highlighted comment in blue is certainly on the cards now over the coming weeks, the first shot being this very weekend, with Saturday looking a good day to hit 90F in specific prone locations. On the storm front, things look pretty quiet to be fair but one will have to keep an eye on day to day developments as these could pop up quite unexpectedly given favourable conditions. Now, I'm about to make a brave and bold prediction, I can largely see the whole of July persisting with well above normal daytime Temperatures with just occasionally cooler spells by night. The longevity of this spell is rather fascinating, to be fair. This was my status update from last weekend when my gut feeling was ruling over what the models were saying. No pattern change in the reliable is what counts and that won't change IMO. This has the makings of a good long largely settled spell IMHO. It'll be extended further out into FI if anything come Monday's more reliable model runs, again alll IMHO. It turns out I was absolutely correct and the models were wrong. They have now eventually delivered the goods, courtesy of the last few runs. Enjoy the sunshine guys and gals, this spell is going to run and run.
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From one Tony to another, I'm confused by your statement as to why do we look at the 500mb charts? The 500mb charts, not that I'm totally familiar with the details show the projected weather patterns through a cross-section of the atmosphere at a NH (Northern Hemisphere) perspective. As many will realise, including your good self, day to day detail is much harder to predict at t+72, t+144, t+240 hours, simply through randomness of the changing weather elements at ground level, i.e. where it affects the observer. As Bottes suggested, this particular situation with the cloud was well forecast at quite a long range and at least we can thankful for that. This meteorology business is a tough one to get to grips with and we are all still learning (even the professionals) as to why the global climate, yet alone the U.K climate does this or tother. As for Temps, I maxed out at 25.6c which is certainly respectful enough given the wind. On that particular not, annoyingly, I cannot confirm the wind speeds as my 2nd Davis Anemometer has decided to stop recording wind speeds, another reed switch issue I believe.