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gottolovethisweather

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About gottolovethisweather

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    gottolovethisweather

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  • Gender
    Male
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    Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Interests
    Not in any particular order, the following: Ornithology, Natural History, Amateur Meteorology, Phenology, Blogging, Varied Research, Reading Books and Music.
  • Weather Preferences
    Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional

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  1. I believe an Easterly is on the cards myself, and next week's mid to long-range outputs will regularly suggest such options, as per my post from earlier. My advice to all newbies and those learning the meteorology game is to watch the ensembles spreads and the snow symbols ever so carefully and look for steady rises in snow chance percentages.
  2. Steady as she goes, the next few days runs will be crucial, D6 for a long time has been where all the fun and games start to kick off. Equally, I'm liking the tendency for one or two charts hinting at 0c Maximums down in Central Southern England by then, definitely brrr. Need a few days to nail the snowier prospects yet though but I think many are likely to see some within 10 to 14 days if not before, I would think.
  3. Don't laugh at it, get the snow shovel out. Might well happen following after our upcoming UK government shutdown and Europe sends their weather our way. Two predictions in one for you all there.
  4. Could well be the start of a pattern reset, I'd say with the Atlantic dead as a dodo. Northeasterly and Easterlies much more prevalent as we head deeper into the backend of January. I believe this signal will show up even stronger in the modelling as next week progresses as the ensembles (especially at the beginnings of FI and beyond) spreads have already hinted at the possibilities from time to time. I'm certainly happy that no drastic turnarounds have turned up in the often oh so irrelevant weekend outputs and that the COLD is on target.
  5. You're quite likely to suffer the weekend wobbles as well, Dolly. I'll take notice of the outputs once they start firming up (ooerr matron) again, come Monday.
  6. Mine's the 21st, snowed in 2018 and had a brief settling, this could be very different but will wait and see, a long way to go. Get the cold in and worry about the specifics once here. Happy Birthday for the 22nd.
  7. Two shows for the price of one and hopefully more shows means more snow. A fascinating time to be interested in this learning game, that is meteorology.
  8. Snow is being mentioned in the media forecasts, in the mid to longer-range. Moreover, they quote it as "wintry weather", quite rightly so given it's at the realms of FI and the surface-level specifics (will it, won't it snow) are guesswork at that range right now. The fact they are giving mention of it hints to me, that the beginning of FI (where model divergence is rife and spreads are all over the place) is around about next Friday, so D6 or D7. All to play for beyond this timeframe as well but the first snowfalls will come through next week for a few of us and then hopefully the snow risk will increase further still into FI.
  9. All I can say is, should that come off, Happy Birthday gottolovethisweather. Intriguingly, such charts have been replicated on several recent occasions at that timeframe of late, hmmm. Could it?
  10. Yep, FI begins right there I'd suggest, as depicted by the ensembles spreads, anything beyond is just dreamed up charts or charts from hell depending on one's preference. In the main, everything synoptically is nailed beforehand so, let's get these chart examples into D3 or D4 by next Monday and what an end to January it could be!
  11. Yes and the surface High way out West, good riddance to it. All looking good in the reliable, end of next week well up for grabs.
  12. Yep, the surface High could do with sinking a bit I guess, but all going to plan, makes me think FI is nearer t+168 hours as opposed to much earlier on, the trend is clearly our friend.
  13. While waiting for the ECM outputs, worth bearing in mind the following. Pleasing to see this prediction of mine is still on course. Also, note the UKMO Pressure charts as early as t+84 hours, which is the start of the upcoming unsettled spell and the first shot at wintry weather for a wee while. The highlighted regions in a blue box and the magenta arrows denote things to watch even at this early stage.
  14. That's if your flight can land, among the drifts we'll have in place by then. Okay, slightly overoptimistic here, but one never knows.
  15. Nah, before that, it'll kick into gear sometime between 21st and 31st January. Pleasing to see this prediction of mine is still on course. Also, note the UKMO Pressure charts as early as t+84 hours, which is the start of the upcoming unsettled spell and the first shot at wintry weather for a wee while. The highlighted regions in a blue box and the magenta arrows denote things to watch even at this early stage.
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