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Eugene

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Everything posted by Eugene

  1. Eugene
    Temps look below average this coming week with some cool uppers being pulled down from the ENE, could feel very raw esp more northern/eastern areas by thursday in a fresh ENE'ly breeze, very disappointing runs for those looking for humid southeasterlies, lets not forget temps and dewpoints were at one point forecasted by the charts to be much higher.
  2. Eugene
    Alot of hopecasting in the MOD thread for warmth next week from the usual winter doom merchants who always tell us cold never wins.
  3. Eugene
    Yeah to let in those unsettled and cool atlantic westerlies.
  4. Eugene
    Forecasts for mid 20's mid next week are frankly nonsense and very misleading, current model output certainly does not support such high temps next week.
  5. Eugene
    Wow max temps of just 11C for parts next wednesday on GFS 12Z, quite the comedown from mid 20's maximums GFS was showing on tuesday, incredible run for extensive northerly blocking, karyo will be delirious.
  6. Eugene
    It's what you call interesting weather.
  7. Eugene
    Could be alot of cloud cover left over from an atlantic frontal system from the southwest next tuesday/wednesday leaving miserable dank conditions, a freshening easterly breeze should start to clear it by thursday, max temps near average for early May (15C) .
  8. Eugene
    Sorry frosty but a warm spell for next week has never had any consistent model output, models have swung back and forth between cooler easterlies and warm southeasterlies for days, i keep a close eye on GFS ensembles and even when OP's were showing the possibility of mid 20's C a decent number of ensemble runs didn't, there has just never been any conclusive evidence of a very warm spell next week, i feel too many posters get carried away with warmth and let it cloud their judgement.
  9. Eugene
    Didn't see the forecast so i assume he was forecasting a very warm week next week which is absolutely crazy with even the UKMO runs never going for it and many other runs the day before showing cooler easterlies.
  10. Eugene
    I very much doubt this May will be westerly, looking very blocked and on the cool side.
  11. Eugene
    GFS 06Z ensembles seem very keen on a greenland high towards the end of it's timeframe, ECM 00Z T+240 hrs backs this up big time too.
  12. Eugene
    First half of May 1996.
  13. Eugene
    Looking like GFS 12Z is too progressive regarding atlantic systems making much inroads into england next weekend, UKMO 12Z/GEM 12Z go for a drier scenario with a strong scandy high blocking any atlantic intrusion leading to a very chilly easterly setting up early May on GEM 12Z, as it's almost May you have to favour a blocking scenario when westerlies are traditionally at their weakest.
  14. Eugene
    Also not far off a pattern like May 1996.
  15. Eugene
    Could we see something similar this May?....Looking at GFS 06Z with continental block and cool air aloft with stalling low pressure we could see a chilly first half to May.
  16. Eugene
    Ignore the haters, you are as entitled to express your opinion as much as anybody, trust me the weather this Spring so far has suited alot of people not just yourself.
  17. Eugene
    Don't think that'll concern Summer Sun at all. Not sure there's much of a link between September's weather and Winter's weather anyway.
  18. Eugene
    Wednesday looks a very chilly day for late April, heavy showers turning wintry esp on higher ground midlands northwards, even snow starved southerners could see wet flakes of snow esp late afternoon\early evening when we should see sharp drops in temperature, exposed higher parts combined with wind chill factor could feel very raw indeed, this is a direct arctic sourced northerly folks, GEM 12Z is a thing of beauty, greenland/mid atlantic block and winds from a northerly quarter right til the end.
  19. Eugene
    Wow my heating hasn't come on for a long time, it's hardly been that cold has it with temps mainly in double figures by day and no harsh frosts for over a month.
  20. Eugene
    GFS 12Z intensifies the greenland high mid next week compared to GFS 06Z, look for some wintry surprises popping up as we reach that timeframe, a collapsing high then allowing a cool and unsettled pattern to take hold looks likely, off topic today was lovely with crisp air and warm sunshine but not overbearing like mid summer, look out for frost tonight south midlands southwards.
  21. Eugene
    Long term averages show snowfall in April to be very similar to November, snowfall isn't that uncommon for northern britain even in May, models all seem to show a cold last week to April with greenland/mid atlantic blocking.
  22. Eugene
    GFS 18Z OP finally fully on board frosty with the retrogression theme.
  23. Eugene
    Looks like GFS 12Z is moving towards ECM with high pressure retrogressing northwestwards, cool and unsettled last week of April seems likely.
  24. Eugene
    Lets hope it's right frosty, don't think active weather fans could take more HP boredom after what has seemed like it has lasted an eternity, if ECM is wrong the model after many failed attempts recently has some serious issues.
  25. Eugene
    Another warm, cloudy and humid benign summer with no weather extremes, that's how boring our climate has become.
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