london-snow
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Posts posted by london-snow
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Just now, Scott Ingham said:I think the models are sneakily extremely slowly coming full circle back to the extended long cold spell we expected in last weeks models. Looking at the ensembles it’s now stretched at a push to the 21st of January for cold
Give this lad a lot of credit guys and girls. Never been too far away in a landing zone. Well done Scott
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8 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:
Cluster 3 is my best guess. Battleground with cold just winning out then high pressure pushing north and east through the uk into scandi with us keeping any snow and cold within that high pressure a best case scenario. Alternatively we go milder for a week before cold again
Hopefully we dont go mild and await a new direction as we don’t want ‘Bites of cherries ect’
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Just now, feb1991blizzard said:
As long as eps stay the same i wont care.
Got to admit that the last few outputs have been a downgrade.
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7 minutes ago, Mcconnor8 said:
Well the GEM ensemble seems pretty certain the 14th is the day of arrival for the cold in the South.
I just hate that warm up at the back end.
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Just now, weirpig said:
Not great at these charts but isn’t that showing Greenland height with a north easterly ?
Not great with them either but the poster who brought this to our attention looks like he/she needs attention and reassuring…
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2 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
It’s day ten . As I said not too much of a concern at this point .
As you say not much of a concern, However what is a concern imo is that we actually need these to start counting down and not remain at 10+ days.
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5 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
Back to reality..
The GEFS show the broad evolution, much colder next week before slightly less cold air (at least aloft, the surface will remain cold throughout) filters in with the high re/shuffling before a second bite of the cherry later in the run as the high retrogresses.
Still a potential for wintriness in the E/SE from the initial UK based high, how much amplification still needs ironing out.
As we was really and at the surface it will feel cold. Just a shame we couldn’t tap into a more potent easterly however if the direction of travel and signals are to be proved correct it could be worthwhile.
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On 31/12/2023 at 21:30, Scott Ingham said:
I guess that is your opinion. Will be interesting to see
Ill private message as my reply was removed
Please do sir, I’ll appreciate it. Hope you are well.
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1 minute ago, Scott Ingham said:
Look at all the snow spikes towards the end as well
I do hope you are right and appreciate your input, however on the flip of a coin that could be cold rain depending on what you believe.
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9 minutes ago, Allseasons-Si said:
Look at the second drop in eps ens after the UK high
but noted,...it will stay cold underneath it.
It’s not much of a drop really isn’t it.
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1 hour ago, Scott Ingham said:
It will be a UK high that’s what’s expected followed by retrogression to Greenland. No easterly has ever really been an option b4 the 14th/15th
So why has the so called big wigs called the 2nd week of January as a major part of winter?
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10 minutes ago, Lukesluckybunch said:
Havnt seen the full set but the mean wasn't as good days 9 and 10
So why make that statement?
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10 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:
Some hints here of a colder clustering next week...perhaps colder from the North..
There we go a cooling trend and nothing to get excited about atm.
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1 hour ago, Met4Cast said:
Ensembles ensembles ensembles.
Det runs will chop & change between runs probably quite dramatically. One early concern is the lack of “deeper” sub -10C isotherm runs we’re seeing.
Given how favourable background conditions are, if we’re struggling to get deeper cold in despite that then we really are in trouble.
Could it be that the background signals that may well play a major part into jan is playing catchup?
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1 minute ago, Metwatch said:
2m temps of around freezing at 3PM across central England on the latest ICON, so any snow shouldn't have much of an issue settling!
Totally imby lol
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6 minutes ago, Jacob said:
Ah yes, the SE unironically misses out
Can’t see why this poster you quoted has claimed this. It’s a evolving situation and imo there is plenty of opportunities into the south east going forward and not just a midlands north event.
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52 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:
wheres’s the PV? This is good stuff going forward for cold possibilities
BFTP
Welcome back my friend, Good too hear from you after another year, Hope everything is well. This well wish is also extended too everyone. A long hard tough year, Let’s all enjoy the ride.
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8 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:There's little I can add to the fab comments you lot have already stated. But it looks promising very promising infact.
Remember the famous Jaws quote? We are are gonna need a bigger boat!
Well there's a chance that some of us maybe lacking the salt on our chips before much longer and yes...we could be needing a bigger table salt container
I’m still awaiting yamkins update from Croydon council before getting drawn in
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1 hour ago, Lukesluckybunch said:
It happens every winter we see massive blue blob..just over the North sea..the cold is always a real struggle to make it too our shores..I find it really frustrating!
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16 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
EC 46 goes for a good 10 -14 days of a UK high..
That is though a broader picture and if that high has a chance of being placed a tad north west or north then we could be in business. Very fine margins.
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Absolutely hate this weather too hot and humid, No storms to reward this sultry endurance.
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Anyone else feeling once this crud disappears that the south east may light up or is it me being wishful?
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Really a depressing sunday if you live in my area.
1. Humidity is rife.
2. No storm activity.
3. Cricket delayed what looks like stumps.
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Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Good luck those up north, However let’s be honest it’s a standard winter spell. Even brief 2-3 day toplers can produce the goods for Scotland and Northern Britain.