damianslaw
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Posts posted by damianslaw
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Summer8906 I agree it still has a large impact and makes evenings far more useable, but to me it doesn't quite have the same effect as the sudden dark that sets in on dark Sunday. There is a sudden winter state of mind affect, that frankly in late October nobody is ready for, especially if there has been barely any autumnal feel as happens nowadays, christmas takes over as well.
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Summer8906 Continuing the theme of last 5 months.
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RJBingham Yes Light Sunday on the way, psychologically for me the affect is far less than the dark Sunday one.. you don't notice as much a change from going dark at 8pm compared to 7pm, than going dark at 4.30pm compared to 5.30pm.
Anyhow the clocks going forward marks the start of the best 3 month period of the year overall I feel.. those wonderful light long days of May and June are now very near.. bring it on, and kick the 5 month gloom since the clocks went back, its an endurance test coming to the end. Fully aware this marks the start of the long downhill ride to the summer solstice for some.
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iand61 Yes 2 good days, and 2 average ones will be a good strike rate.. I think we have come lucky with a semi break in the persistantly unsettled weather coinciding with the 4 day easter period. Today probably the worse of the 4 from a rain perspective, but of shower variety some may escape dry.
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raz.org.rain Would be good to know how many wet springs were followed by dry warm summers, its not a combo I think happens that much.
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A theme of the last 9 months has been a strong iberian/euro high trying hard to push north, but quite strong heights to our north as well, sometimes NW, sometimes NE, but never positioning themselves to allow northern blocking to exert a hold against the atlantic. The effect, the atlantic trough has been squeezed inbetween on a collision course for the UK, right now is a good example, July notably so. Sometimes the trough has elongated and been forced back on itself to our west, pushing in mild southerlies and south westerlies.. Feb a good example. We do seem to be in a never ending washing cycle of low pressure spinning around and around over and near the UK.
Back to the Easter 4 day period, mixed in a word, variable conditions UK wide, unusually the far north may end up being the driest place.
Good Friday - very showery, some places could be plagued by heavy ones, others may escape dry. Rather cloudy and temps average.
Easter Saturday - less showery, but still threat for anywhere, brighter breaks and will feel mild in any sun and light winds
Easter Sunday - perhaps the best chance of staying dry, and mildest day of the 4 days. Could be very decent.
Easter Monday - could be quite wet in places. A little cooler.
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No sooner had I finished typing that last post, the rain arrived, becoming quite heavy for quite a while.
Hoping we will see a few decent dry breaks over next 4 days. Umbrella at hand!
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Surprisingly it has stayed mostly dry since this morning's early rain cleared. Just the lightest of a shower recently.
Rather dull skies overall, although there was an attempt at something bright at lunchtime.
Temperatures nothing to write home about, max below 9 degrees. All very average.
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CET may rise to 8.3 degrees thanks to milder maxima next couple of days. The lack of frost in central and southern parts has been notable this month, but no surprise given the persistant low heights. One of the most low pressure mean Marches I reckon.
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Summer8906 Ah yes couldn't quite remember how long the warm dry spell lasted in 1998, I confuse it with 2008 which there were close parallels with winter- spring- summer wise, but other than first half May was probably worse.
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Summer8906 2024 so far has followed a very similiar trajectory to 1998, Dec 97 included... April was a chilly wet affair, but we saw a 10 day very warm sunny dry spell early-mid May. Sadly it all imploded and the second half of May and whole summer was cool and wet.. it was a super el nino followed by quick la nina transition... again very similiar to 23-24....
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Penrith Snow A classic surprise snowfall, can often pop up in spring. All due to a small low feature with cold air wrapped in, the track of the low meant places on its west flank were fed the cold air, hence why the SW and Wales had snow, alas as its tracked north, here its just rain. Arriving in the evening helped as well combined with rate of precipitation enabled evaporative cooling to take hold. Just shows never cast aside chance of snow until the season is out, and we have April and May yet. Had it arrived on Sunday for Easter, it would have made far more headlines, and further east no doubt!
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ANYWEATHER Can just about make out the UK amongst the blue..
Will give firmer thoughts on Easter 4 day period later, it has chopped and changed somewhat, will we see at least one dry day?
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Some parts of the SW seem to be experiencing most snow of season so far this eve, 27 March!!!
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Very little, well no mention of snow potential at low levels on any forecasts this eve, yet, areas close to the coast in balmy Devon are getting some.. are the forecasters asleep, caught out big time.
I see the met has issued a snow warning for Wales, I think in past 10 minutes for 1am to 7am, what a nonsense, far too late for anyone to take notice, reminds me of the amber snow debacle here on 2 Dec when it was too late.
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BlueSkies_do_I_see Yes mid March to mid June is for here at least our 'dry' slot.. by late June chances of dry weather ebb away quick.
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cheese Need to re-locate the UK, being at the edge of warming atlantic and prevailing SW wind dragged from the depths of the tropics is a recipe for rain and more rain.
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WYorksWeather Oh my goodness what on earth produced such a cold spring, to see 2 months 3 degrees below average back to back is probably unprecedented, a major SSW affect perhaps! April at 4.7 degrees! What!
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WYorksWeather Yes south westerly months Nov - Apr will always result in very mild CET values, but in 'feel' don't register as mild, namely due to lack of sun, rain or low cloud and often windy to boot. Sadly we see far too many such months...
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Penrith Snow Agree, however, the winters mentioned and you forgot 13-14 are amongst the lowest of the lowest snow and cold wise.
The great proportion of winter 23-24 was dire from a cold/ snow perspective, rescued by 3 preety decent weeks, 30 Nov - 6 Dec, and 6-19 Jan. February was abysmal.
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Temp has dropped markedly last couple of hours, 3.9 degrees..As said there is a pool of cold polar air aloft and would not be surprised to see snow at quite low-modest levels overnight.
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Cheshire Freeze In the Lake District April on average is the driest month, its not a month renowned for being predominantly atlantic driven..
Alas the outlook remains very unsettled into April.
Trying to recall the last time we endured such a low pressure dominated period from the start of the year.. right into April. Typically a high pressure spell sets up some stage in the spring.. hold that hope..
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ooh some exciting convective action right now, very dark and a big hail shower, suddenly turning white, looks like snow... we've seen very little such activity all winter. There is cold air aloft today.
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A chilly day out there, current temp 8.1 degrees, a light cover of snow 700m.
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Spring 2024
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Methuselah I was musing about wet springs being followed by dry warm summers, 1983 may well be the best example of this.