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Cleeve Hill

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Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Bishops Cleeve, Cheltenham and Antigua until 2020.
  • Interests
    Football (Bristol City) Cricket, Skiing, Travel
  • Weather Preferences
    Extremes, the very hot and the very cold.

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  1. The Seasonal Forecast Thread

    For those on Twitter, have a read of the winter forecast by griteater. It a u.s forecast but it's an interesting read nonetheless. Suggests a number of -AO/NAO phases, and a cheeky reference to 1962/3.
  2. EFL Cup And The Emirates FA Cup Discussion

    Life long Bristol City Fan. Looking forward to a nice away draw again a top premier league side. An away day for the fans. Would be tempted to head back to the UK for that. Chelsea or Arsenal please.
  3. I'm predicting another winter of 27 c - 28 c here in Antigua with lots of warm sunshine for all the folk from north America and Europe to enjoy. Antigua avoided the big hurricanes of IRMA & MARIA and very much open for business. With BVI, St Maarten & Anguilla seriously damage we hope Antigua will have a bumper season. Back in the UK over xmas, so a 09/10 winter please. La Nina in our favour this time.
  4. Hurricane Maria

    For the satellite on Maria see the link under, http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/anim_radar_guad_mf_com.html
  5. Hurricane Maria

    Maria is likely to miss the US mainland due to Jose helping to pull Maria North in a few days. No guarantee but that the current thinking. Depends on how quickly Jose fizzles out and a large High Pressure ridge building in the Mid West. The longer Jose hangs around the better for the US, but then Bermuda comes into view. What a year !
  6. Hurricane Maria

    Hurricane David resulted in 75% of Dominicans becoming Homeless. Maria is a small Hurricane but so intense. Hurricane winds are only 15 miles from the centre. Sadly Dominica is 30 Long so Maria is going to cover the entire island. After Dominica its onto US VI & Puerto Rico. P.R have never had a Cat 5 Hurricane. Antigua has been spared again - just windy outside - reminds me of rough night back home in Cheltenham,
  7. Hurricane Maria

    Oh NO, yet again. This one seems to be forming so quickly that a lot of people in the Caribbean will be unaware. I thought this was going to stay south (St Lucia, Grenada, Dominica) but the track now is more towards the Northern Leewards, where it is least welcome. Forecast to be Tropical Storm tomorrow and then a Hurricane Tues AM around Antigua. We can cope with a CAT 1 or 2 but really dont want to see a major hurricane again. With a ridge developing across the US mid week I can see this system being steered into US mainland and no out to sea. What is unclear with this Hurricane develop into a CAT 3 or above ? Quote
  8. Oh NO, yet again. This one seems to be forming so quickly that a lot of people in the Caribbean will be unaware. I thought this was going to stay south (St Lucia, Grenada, Dominica) but the track now is more towards the Northern Leewards, where it is least welcome. Forecast to be Tropical Storm tomorrow and then a Hurricane Tues AM around Antigua. We can cope with a CAT 1 or 2 but really dont want to see a major hurricane again. With a ridge developing across the US mid week I can see this system being steered into US mainland and no out to sea. What is unclear with this Hurricane develop into a CAT 3 or above ?
  9. Hurricane Irma

    It's has taken a while for power to be restored and proper wifi connectivity here in Antigua, but we're now back to normal. Looking back at some posts on here and also the local 3 hourly Irma forecasts Antigua was so so lucky. We were following the latitude plots every bulletin and when it got to 17.2 with 5 hours before its nearest point we thought the storm was going to go north of Antigua. Antigua is 17.1 and at its closest point it was 17.4 so we had sustained winds of 85mph and gusts in excess of 100mph for about 2 hours between 1.00 - 3.00 am. The noise of the wind is amazing as it's hit the metal roofs. Barbuda however is 35 miles away and took the eye of Irma at sustained winds of 185 mph ! And gusts to 200. In fact all of the wind instruments were destroyed. Barbuda was devastated and everyone has been evacuated to Antigua. 2000 people are now being housed in 2 large centres and sadly all they have is the clothes on their backs. The rebuild of Barbuda will be possible but consider the logistics. 90% uninsured so who pays the costs of rebuild (government will need loans which it will struggle to repay), logistics of getting materials to the island. It's virtually impossible. Then look at st Maarten, Anguilla & BVI. Talking to someone in the BVI they say yacht marina industry has been destroyed. Hopefully that is it for 2017, but with 7/8 weeks to go I suspect there is more to come.
  10. Hurricane Irma

    Iceberg - I really fear for local people here - a high % live in these properties. There are 90,000 people here. This is becoming very serious in Antigua. We just hope the storm with veer north and we do not get the eye over Antigua.
  11. Hurricane Irma

    The last Cat 4 to hit Antigua was Lenny in 1995 causing EC $315M damage.
  12. Hurricane Irma

    In Antigua, so far we've had some showers from the outer rain bands, but right now it is sunny and the usual 33c. Businesses are largely closed and the roads quiet for a working Tuesday. queues at the cash points (in the event of the electric dropping out). Antigua is 17.07 degrees north and Irma has dropped from 16.7 to 16.6 overnight and if it starts to move WNW which if forecast this would be a direct hit. Still Cat 4 but we can see it becoming Cat 5 soon. We are hoping it will turn sooner rather than later and miss to the North. The Hurricane force winds are only 45 miles from the centre with strongest winds in its North side, so we could get lucky but then again......
  13. Hurricane Irma

    It's now a CAT 3 and once it's over warmer waters this is forecast to become a larger 4 or 5 storm. It's been over SST of 27c the last 2 days. 28c is the point of refuelling.
  14. Hurricane Irma

    Here in Antigua supermarkets were so busy yesterday and extra water bottles batteries etc on sale. Petrol stations also very busy (not just fuel but people filling containers of diesel for generators). The first thing to go here will be electricity so quite a lot of locals will have generators. Government has the utility company working 24 hours lopping trees over power lines (something they should do all year round , not 72 hours before a storm) , but that's Antigua for you. the storm is looking more likely to effect us now than a couple of days ago and the longer it takes the south of west direction the greater the risk for the northern leeward islands, Antigua, st Kitts in the main. We all want the storm to start the recurve sooner rather than later. if it does hit I fear for the local people, many of whom live in wooden homes that are not secured to the land, often just built on concrete blocks. Many properties are uninsured. There is a lot of poverty here and the economy could not withstand this. The island is dependent upon tourism with the main season running Nov - April so there is little money around at present and any significant damage now would impact on the 17/18 season. Anyway fingers crossed it turns north soon. Hurricane shutters going up today !
  15. The Antigua view on Irma is that this will be a hurricane by Friday. It already looks an impressive storm over a wide area. IT looks like it will track West with a touch of north about it and then steer very much west, as the Azores high drifts south west keeping the storm from re curving. It is forecast to be 170 mile north east of Antigua Wednesday but that's such a long way off to be taken too literally. It's going to be a n interesting watch and I sense this will be a major hurricane with the U.S very much in line. Hopefully it will stay clear of our region and where we write property and marine insurance.
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