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Jan 87

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  1. Most likely an outlier, I dont think the next phase of strat warming will kick in that fast
  2. And some cold air to tap into if a block does set up in the right place
  3. Could be fair play to that long ranger METO forecast from late December when we were looking for straws to clutch
  4. a fair few of the GEFS have those greeny heights and keep us on the cold side of the jet. this is a good one
  5. GFS still persisting with the greeny heights. doesnt really help us yet of course, but who knows down the line
  6. Indeed. We maybe just p"ssing in the wind, but GFS op and control and fair few GEFS still build a wedge over greenland, other models do not. Until it comes into line, there remains some hope for a more positive outlook
  7. Probably, but if its true that it handles the crucial area better than others, then its possible though unlikely the other models will back down. At least both the op and control and a lot of the GEFS built the block. We await the pub run with greater anticipation than usual!
  8. It all depends on that system coming out of north America. GFS still keen on building some sort of ridge that is sustained for a while, others are not. lets see if its still there on the 18z
  9. just look at the range of options on the GEFS at 120. With so much uncertainty at close range, nothing can be ruled out. But Scotland is looking favourable for a pasting, in London probably wet but there is still hope
  10. typical You get a good GFS and then GEM goes pete tong! Lets hope for cold option from ECM later
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