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Number 23

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Chelmsford, Essex
  • Interests
    Football, Golf, Weight Training, Science, Music, Humanism, & plenty of alcohol.
  • Weather Preferences
    Anything interesting!

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  1. The brutal parade of dreary days continuing for most of us. Would pay good money to have a few days of high pressure in charge.
  2. I awoke to blue skies and thought it must be some kind of dream. Then I went outside to saturated ground, a nip in the air and realised, sadly, it's still October.
  3. Not really. I enjoy severe cold spells, but that doesn't mean I can't enjoy other conditions, especially when they remind me that the seasons are about to turn after a very disappointing period. The output speaks for itself at the moment. No point lingering on the negatives.
  4. The output might be suggesting it's time to file this winter away, preferably the circular file, but still plenty to be happy about here. Just enjoyed a coffee and a vape in the garden. Glorious morning out. Birds chirping, bright and a nip in the air I'll take second prize today!
  5. For me it's not so much whether heavy snow can fall and settle in late Feb or early March (since it clearly can) but whether deep, lasting cold with minimal daytime thawing can emerge. The magic of the classic cold spells was not just in how much snow fell, but the short days with additional accumulations over a period of several days with the potential for more to come. We're now wandering into territory akin to being in the middle of Aug, sat under a trough, it's 18 degrees out, and waiting for a 30+ heatwave to develop in early September. It might, but it's becoming less than a puncher's chance with each passing set of outputs. I must say either way I'm excited about Spring, and the longer days are a nice tonic after a poor winter.
  6. Absolute rubbish again for my location in Essex, although last night was kind of like watching the grand national when your horse is still running but the jockey fell off ages ago Mid-Feb is where I start looking for Spring conditions to develop in the modelling, so a couple of weeks left for me of this winter season. Been a sub-par one in general if nothing emerges soon. Glad some members got a covering!
  7. Apparently I'll be getting four hours of moderate snow from 2am. Not convinced of that, but I'll definitely be awake to witness whatever transpires as I have a two day old baby, who evidently hates sleeping anywhere other than on me
  8. Yeah Tuesday was naff, and tonight looks like it could be equally naff. We've been on the periphery of both mini-events this year! I'm expecting a few flakes at least, and maybe a surprise will emerge? Who knows, still keeping an eye on the radar for the day though .
  9. Although a dusting looks likely for here, going to be fascinating watching this roll in today, who knows these things often throw up the odd curveball.
  10. Looks a bit meh to me for Essex tonight, but always nice to see South Coast getting a bit of action
  11. Yeah think we may get a bit of transition a bit later, but looks like we might crap out here tbh. Beehive Lane here.
  12. Certainly shows how far we have to go with the algorithms in the models as they stand, or perhaps the collection of starting data? Or both? Regardless of how chaotic it's been of late, it's also been an object lesson in the art of keeping powder dry when it comes to heralding the next ice age, and similarly declaring the end of winter! Great learning experience so far, and been great reading the resident experts trying to pick the bones out of this fiasco!
  13. Thank you, I am indeed as it's our first! My wife keeps saying he's holding out for the snow lol. I'm actually more confident of a cold spell than I was on Friday; perhaps because I didn't want the cold during next week anyway! There's a definite sense of something brewing, at least to my untrained eye and others have explained this very well. Much rather see the general theme get picked up and then upgrade from 120 onwards than show it's hand at 168-192+ as we know how that usually ends!
  14. Second bite seems the form horse now. I do agree with what an earlier poster mentioned, in that I'm more convinced that the second attempt will verify in some meaningful way. Anything after 4th of Feb is fine by me, as my son is due to be born today, and after last week's runs I had visions of sliding into the hospital sideways rather than driving. Would be great to see a spell like '91 at around the same time, which remains my fondest memory of severe winter conditions.
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