Matt12345

Fair enough. Problem is when we hit 96 hours away from now that chart wont verify, and another chart like that will show for 96 hours away from then and so on.

To my un-trained eye, and just reading the posts here, all the potential cold seems to be disappering in the reliable timeframe and continually being pushed back into FI. Seems that we are chasing something we may never catch.

Looks like the UKMO have taken into account these recent charts. The BBC showing 7 degrees and light rain here on tuesday. What happend to the cold??

Agreed. If temps across the country are not below 0 during the day, this will not be a cold spell. Temps of 3-6 are nothing exciting in my book.

After all the fantastic charts the models have been producing really (including all the very cold potential) if the we see day time temps of around 2-5 over the next week or so, i would not call it a 'cold spell'. Cold to to me is day time temps below 0.

Will the ECM set the trend now in the models or will it come back in line? Hopefully not another situation. This is exactly what i dont want to see from this potential cold setup. We had the same here just south of Bristol. No real cold temps, lots of wet snow. The sort of snow that settles on cars and grass and a bit over the roads. As the snow was falling the snow was melting off roof tops, I hate this. I want temperatures below zero, dry snow blowing around! None of this horrible wet stuff, where you just get soaked trying to sledge on wet snow/grass/mud. Horrid. Feb 1991 was the last time there was real cold and real snow.

Thanks for the reply.

Newbie question: Are we finally seeing these cold models entering the reliable timeframe and becoming more and more consistant? Thanks.

Back to the 'model thread' now please. Dont want to keep trawling through pages of this crap.

Think he means a downgrade, and us missing out!

Well said Steve, got to be a downgrade around the corner! There are always so many ups and downs on this forum! Those charts are too good to be true even to my un-trained eye.

Here we go again. Hope your not disappointed by later runs!

A classic? What bar of chocolate? Please explain so newbies like me can begin to understand the models. Is it a classic mild run? I presume you mean cold.. Thank you.

Thanks Steve for the great read. Lots of model information there for a newbie like me to learn from. This really makes a change from many random posts, especially the ups and downs. Good straight to point information.

The models have turned out a little disapointing for some people, so a little cluching at straws is happening i think Ian. Lets see what happens later..