DEYS(Kent)

In other words, after milder temperatures move in from the west we could see another cold shot from the East. Or we could have HP close to the UK providing chiller, but drier weather depending on the position of the higher pressure.

Neil, are you actually in Sellinge or at Work?

Icon so far keeps up the interest..

Para GFS a little different this morning. Has HP building over the UK a week today and easterly feed getting cut off..A variation of a theme and waaay too far out to be concerned about..

Wrong thread but is this a recent forecast?

Easterly still favourite. Longevity and depth of cold is still up for grabs.,.

144 is getting there...

ECM sticking to its guns...

Low has more energy at 72 which is a good thing..

Would you Adam and Eve it. ECM shocker..

Would you Adam and Eve it. ECM shocker..

Is the EC control run viewable, BA?

Model fatigue for in here for some. Or a bit of reverse psychology going on; I’m not sure.. Early February looks like the next chase for widespread snow for the UK and the background signals are showing little chinks of light in the current output. Keeps me interested that’s for sure.

700 miles in weather terms is not that far so all to play for 🙏🏻🤣🤪

We need better height rises to our NE for sliders and disruption to help us I think.

Whilst the deep cold runs and the specific synoptics have undoubtedly changed, I really do advise to hold off the wrist slashing for 48hrs. That said, if the latest trend continues; the blocking in the Atlantic should still be sufficient to send LP’s on a more southerly track which sets up those battlegrounds. All is not lost and still hopeful of the second bite of cold from the NE to arrive..

Wrong thread 🙈

IMBY, GFS mean doesn’t reach -5 850 throughout.. Still great Synoptics though..

Post 200 on gfs. I know it’s la la land but what a series of charts. Not ideal for us in the SE on face value but synoptically quite astonishing compared to previous years. Get the cold in....... Then wait and see is my motto now..

Great Synoptics. Not cold enough for notable cold spell in medium term, except for surprises that pop up in or against the flow..

This has been apparent for days..

Need a channel runner or two to satisfy us southerners..🤪 I would have hoped we would be seeing colder 850’s given the set up..

The real cold just isn’t heading south over the UK. (Apart from northern most parts). This is a trend that keeps occurring, run after run..

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Post 144 from GFS and UKMO could easily evolve to Scandi HP.. Are we going to see quite a quick flip/response to the SSW? 12z are hinting at this for sure..