jayb1989

Still a chance of the odd transitional cold spell, but those of us after sonething half decent like 2010 might as well draw stumps. See you all next winter.

Dire output for coldies this morning

Really is shaping up to be a very mild period as we head towards new year according to the ECM. The flowers will be thinking it’s spring time. Think we are more likely to be reaching for t-shirts and shorts than gloves and scarf.

Really not a good sign, will be into February with the sun getting stronger before we know it. Leaves little time for a decent cold spell that isn’t over in a couple of days.

MOGREPS 1.5m temp chart. A few members have parts of the south east nudging the 14 degrees mark. Impressive for the time of year.

Some solid consistency now for a mild new year. Well above the average for the time of year. Should feel spring like in any sun.

More likely to see desert sand on the ground than snow judged by this chart..

We obviously have a different opinion on what is classed as cold.

Essex will be mild for Christmas day, that is almost certain.

If this was to verify, would bring spring like conditions in, would be rather pleasent for the time of year.

Unfortunately, even some trained meteorologists suffer from confirmation bias when it comes to reading models. Let alone the hundreds on here who will cherry pick data to show a solution they want. It’s very difficult to stop emotion getting invovled.

Well, it’s been an interesting watch over the last few days. Still a chance of some snow in certain places with some transient cold around boxing day. However, if like me you don’t find that exciting and are after a proper cold spell, where snow falls and hangs around for 3 or 4 days and temperatures don’t rise above freezing, you might as well forget it anytime soon. Hopefully we can get something more positive as we move into January.

Back to day 10 cold hunting.. love it.

I think people always getting carried away when the charts show cold weather, but to get cold and snowy weather on the far south coast is going to take a special event.

Yeah but always going to be unlikely in your neck of woods.