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Everything posted by ANYWEATHER
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At last it looks like the Atlantic is going to slow right down ,both gfs and ecm show a pattern change in the later stages of about a weeks time ,halting the rain train. This chart although a very cold airmass for the time of year would probably be bone dry for most of southern Britain, although any precipitation would be wintry. Plenty of sunshine away from the far northwest of Britain. Anyway some good news at least on the rainfall aspect, but still need to be careful of Jack Frost sniffing about the gardens with charts like thus one! -
*Stormforce~beka* there's been sun here at times !☺
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20c/68f , max temp today , surprised it didn't get any higher. .....☺
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Models firming up on a semi high pressure scenario,next week, firstly for southern Britain and toying with an Atlantic Ridge later ,so the rain train slowing down ,although far from countrywide settled conditions look unlikely for now ,but certainly stepping in the right direction. ...☺ -
Fully expecting 21c/70f to be breached tomorrow in Eastern England. Todays temperature has reached 19c/66f ,and the plume hasn't reached us yet!
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UK Rain Is There Any Sign Of It Ending?
ANYWEATHER replied to Fen Wolf's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If we did have enough reservoirs etc we would have enough capacity to go without rain for a long time without the need to restrict water supply’s . The fact is there is not enough being done with our water supply infrastructure, and there is all the age old excuses , not enough rain , rain in the wrong place and the wrong type of rain , lame excuses that the general public have become deaf too, and rightly so! Anyway tentative signs of the rain train slowing down as ridges of high pressure become more frequent as we move ahead …. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
donnerundblitzer basically the difference in sea level pressure between the Azores high and the Icelandic lows. The difference tightens up the pressure in the Winter due to a strong thermal difference between the poles and the Azores high. Less so in the summer months where there is a much less differential temperature between Pole and the sub -tropical high.....☺ -
CryoraptorA303 Sounds like you have been on the lash with predictions like that
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
LightningLover thanks for the info about that . Was going to post this but too tired last night and couldn’t find it. This weekend’s plume is not extraordinary by any means ….. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Penrith Snow And ,looks like we are back to square one again after Gfs phantom promise of high pressure. -
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at the charts for Saturday, that plume of warmth could get temperatures in southern ,especially southeastern parts of Britain up to 21c/70 f ,if the ecm verifies , gfs not so keen as it brings the fragmented cold front in sooner ,any way one to watch ,could be a day for t,shirt and shorts albeit a very quick affair!☺let's hope the ecm is right ....! ☺ -
Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024
ANYWEATHER replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Lovely Spring day and it’s no April fools joke! Considering it was supposed to be a bit of a washout today , I’m so glad the forecast was wrong!!!
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Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
ANYWEATHER replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The Potato famine in Ireland was also in part due to excessive moisture and rainfall during the mid-1800s. It wasn't only Ireland that had the potato famine effects. Not sure if there are any comparable and reliable rainfall records from back then ,but it was excessively wet from reports at that time ,rather like we are in today..... -
SunSean At last ,we can ramp up good weather for a change, feel like I have been let out of a long dark tunnel today! ☺
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sundog fiddled data.....
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Ecms charts look about the same now as they do in ten days time! Hope the ten day chart is wrong! -
Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Well the clocks go forward Saturday night, well at least that's one hours less rain....!
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
ANYWEATHER replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The 12z gfs is a continuation of what has been over and over recently, with perhaps a little respite over Easter ,before it all kicks off again later on Tuesday. Hopefully it's wrong, but if this keeps up, where I live and other parts of the country , will be like the great flood of 1886 ,when most of Worcestershire was under water ...... -
Worryingly Wet & Worryingly Sunless
ANYWEATHER replied to SunSean's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Buzz don’t get me started about lack of water infrastructure due to many years of neglect. We have had enough rainfall to fill a reservoir the size of the Uk , there is simply no excuse….. -
Sun Chaser yes ,I've learnt never to say never with what the weather will and can do ! I've had egg on my face lots of times with weather surprises ....