Zenarcher
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Blog Comments posted by Zenarcher
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[b]Latest CFS trends,[/b]
[b]February:[/b] Above average rainfall for England and Wales but elsewhere below average. Temperatures close to average but at times below average. Pressure patterns indicate low pressure to sit over Europe and high pressure over our North, the Azores high starts to gain some strength as well.
[b]March: [/b]Rainfall well below average for Scotland but elsewhere above average. Temperatures below average everywhere. Azores high weakens completely and low pressure sits out in the Atlantic but high pressure sits over Iceland and Greenland giving off cold temperatures.
[b]Climate Simulator February Update[/b]
So far this winter it's done really well in my view, I last ran it in early January and now with the latest data from around the world I have ran it again to see what it says. Basically it agrees with the CFS on temperatures being slightly below average for February but shows temperatures go well below average for March interesting to see this as it hasn't done this before, it has shown only temperatures to be slightly below average so this will be interesting for March and not only that the CFS also goes for temperatures in March to go down below average.
[b]Overall - [/b]Not much left of winter now I expect February to be fairly average and any cold spell not to be extreme and will be short lived as for March early signs are saying it could be a very cold and perhaps snowy end to the winter. -
Yes I feel GEM is underrated as well.
Thanks John I'll be doing it again at some point in 2013. -
[quote name='A Winter's Tale' timestamp='1354218706']
Very good forecast wm!
[/quote]
Thanks -
Just got round to reading this excellent forecast a very interesting winter ahead it seems.
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December 2010 is the coldest winter ever in the UK since records began in 1910, it had a mean temperature of [color=#696969][font=sans-serif][size=3]-1°C. [/size][/font][/color][color=#696969][font=sans-serif][size=3]Wikipedia has more info on that winter [/size][/font][/color][url="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_of_2010%E2%80%932011_in_Great_Britain_and_Ireland"]http://en.wikipedia....n_and_Ireland[/url]
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Thanks guys to see the latest on the next experiment check here [url="http://forum.netweather.tv/blog/227/entry-4312-upcoming-weather-model-experiment/"]http://forum.netweather.tv/blog/227/entry-4312-upcoming-weather-model-experiment/[/url]
Winter 2014 - 2015 Forecast December to March
in Zenarcher's Blog
A blog by Zenarcher in Archive
Posted
Glad to hear you enjoy reading it. My monthly forecast for December should be ready tomorrow.