Coast
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Posts posted by Coast
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rather than the snow cup let's have a predict the first snowflake.
I predict 2015.........
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Still on a big... learning curve
We all are and I guess as long as new science comes along and people develop bigger and better models etc, we will keep on learning. I still only have a very small % of the knowledge of many on here (and a few more hunches TBH) and really enjoy the forecasts and explanations given by our more experienced members who have been studying meteorology for years.
100 years ago people were using seaweed and pine cones to guess what the weather might be the day after. Today we look at charts produced by supercomputers to tell us broadly what's going to happen in 5 days time. Who knows how accurate we will be in 100 years time?
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Pretty sure some rain with a small wintry element was hitting my car windscreen just now.
Haven't even got the pleasure of that
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Well my idea was crap
But still welcome Luke!
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Can anybody explain to me what stops Fridays low following this one SE, the block to the east has a SE slant, the gap this low makes is still there, but some how after the low comes in heading slightly southeast it gets push northeast into the block and wins, if it's not powerful enough to win in the first place how can it get stronger and win when it's weakening?
Changes in the direction of the jet stream tomorrow into Friday?
Or is that just a result of the helical rotation/direction of the low anyway?
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Yes, although we seem to have further opportunities for strong winds next week, looking at the 06Z GFS. A few potential meteorological bullets to my eyes.
A horribly unsettled run.I dare not look TBH Steve, oh go on then....
Whoops! here we go yet again
The another biggy bashes us from the Atlantic:
Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water!
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Well, at the moment, it looks like heavy rain late Friday and overnight, clearing Saturday morning. The strongest winds will be early Saturday evening - strong, but not damaging. Probably scattered showers for the weekend, for Suffolk, once the rain clears.
Rain the main concern for our region rather than the winds I guess.
Will E Anglia be affected by this storm at the week-end? Particularly Suffolk.
Not as bad as further South or North of you, but yes, more heavy rain due:
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WEATHER WARNING: Rain, flooding and ice - yellow alert issued by Met Office for Sussex and specific riversThe Met Office has issued a yellow warning of rain today (Wednesday, January 29) and yellow warning of ice tonight, and also warned of the risk of flooding in the region. The yellow warning of rain is valid from 12.15am today until 9pm tonight, while the yellow alert of ice is from 9pm tonight.A flood alert is in place for the Rivers Eden, Eden Brook and Kent Ditch from Blindley Heath to Penshurst. A flood alert is also in place for the River Medway from Forest Row to Penshurst, including Ashurst.The latest from the Met Office for these two warnings is: “Following rain from yesterday and last night, river levels have risen. Flooding is likely to occur to some low lying land and roads. No property flooding is expected at this time. Further rain is expected throughout Wednesday which will keep levels high and lead to further increases. We will continue to monitor the situation and will update this message as the situation changes.And there is a flood alert for Ifield Brook, Upper River Mole, Burstow Stream and Salfords Stream including Ifield, Lowfield Heath, Charlwood, Hookwood, Bewbush, Furnace Green, Maidenbower, Crawley, Horley, Copthorne and Salfords.A met office spokesman explained: “River levels are high in response to rainfall over night. The forecast for today and the rest of the week is for continued showers, possibly becoming heavy on Friday. Flooding of low lying land and roads is possible. We anticipate river levels will start to fall this morning into the early afternoon, however with an unsettled forecast they are likely to rise once again later in the week. Flooding of properties is not expected at this time. We are continuing to monitor the situation and will update this message as the situation changes.â€A spokesman said: “Further rain at times on Wednesday may be locally persistent. The public should be aware of the risk of localised flooding, especially in areas where there are ongoing concerns.â€Yellow warning of IceIssued at:1209 on Tue 28 Jan 2014Valid from:2100 on Wed 29 Jan 2014Valid to:1000 on Thu 30 Jan 2014Wintry showers and falling temperatures are likely to lead to some icy surfaces late on Wednesday and during Thursday morning. Additionally, some areas may see slight falls of snow, most likely for eastern Scotland but also affecting parts of the Pennines, North York Moors and parts of East Wales.The public should be aware of some rather slippery conditions to start Thursday. A short incursion of easterly winds brings just a taste of the wintry weather experienced further east and north across Europe recently. Ice is probably the main concern but a few areas might wake to see a dusting of snow. Rather more snow looks likely over the hillier areas of northeast Britain, with a few cm in places.
Bracknell Forest, Buckinghamshire, Greater London, Hampshire, Milton Keynes, Oxfordshire, Reading, Slough, West Berkshire, Windsor and Maidenhead, Wokingham
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Yellow warning of RainIssued at:1138 on Wed 29 Jan 2014Valid from:0800 on Fri 31 Jan 2014Valid to:0300 on Sat 1 Feb 2014A further area of heavy rain will spread eastwards across the UK on Friday, clearing the southeast of England during the early hours of Saturday. 20-30 mm of rain will fall quite widely, with around 40 mm on some high ground in the southwest of England and south Wales. The heavy rain will be accompanied by strong to gale force winds. The public should be aware of possible disruption, primarily due to further flooding, chiefly in areas already, or recently, affected.This is an update to the warning first issued on Tuesday.Another very deep area of low pressure will spread heavy rain and strong to gale force winds eastwards across the UK during Friday, before the associated frontal systems clear the southeast of England during the early hours of Saturday. Following recent wet weather, the areas highlighted have saturated ground and are particularly sensitive to further heavy rain.
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Here we go, not good news:
Yellow warning of RainIssued at:1138 on Wed 29 Jan 2014Valid from:0800 on Fri 31 Jan 2014Valid to:0300 on Sat 1 Feb 2014A further area of heavy rain will spread eastwards across the UK on Friday, clearing the southeast of England during the early hours of Saturday. 20-30 mm of rain will fall quite widely, with around 40 mm on some high ground in the southwest of England and south Wales. The heavy rain will be accompanied by strong to gale force winds.The public should be aware of possible disruption, primarily due to further flooding, chiefly in areas already, or recently, affected.This is an update to the warning first issued on Tuesday.Another very deep area of low pressure will spread heavy rain and strong to gale force winds eastwards across the UK during Friday, before the associated frontal systems clear the southeast of England during the early hours of Saturday. Following recent wet weather, the areas highlighted have saturated ground and are particularly sensitive to further heavy rain.Brighton and Hove, East Sussex, Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Kent, Portsmouth, Southampton, Surrey, West Sussex -
This doesn't need any explanation, just exasperation:
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Damn, the rain could be here for a while:
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Heavy rain and gale force winds forecast for WHOLE of UK this week - with flooded areas hit hardestEvery part of Britain will be hit by heavy rain showers later this week - bringing flooding in areas recently affected by poor weather, forecasters have warned. The Met Office has issued severe weather warnings for large parts of Britain warning of heavy rain and strong to gale force winds. Forecasters said areas which had recently been affected by flooding are likely to be affected again.In a statement issued today, the Met Office said: "The public should be aware of possible disruption, primarily due to further flooding, chiefly in areas already, or recently, affected. "Everywhere will get heavy rain on Friday, pretty much the whole of the UK will get some form of rain shower. "Twenty to 30 millimetres of rain is a fair amount but it is not huge - but coupled with the saturation on the ground, people need to be aware. "We are talking about strong winds as well and there will be reduced visibility on roads when driving."Forecasters said the poor weather will be caused by a deep area of low pressure spreading eastwards across the country on Friday Parts of Northern Ireland, the south coast of Wales, south west England and the south of England for Friday have been issued with severe weather warnings. Between 20 to 30 millimetres of rain is forecast with up to 40 millimetres on some high ground in the south west of England and south Wales. The heavy rain will be accompanied by strong to gale force winds.The warning comes as the MeteoGroup weather company forecaster said England and Wales could be on course this month for twice the average rainfall for January.
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Tropical Storm ELEVEN: Probability of Cat 1 or above winds to 72 hours lead
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Off to southend in this miserable weather, looks like this band of rain is going to be sticking around for a while!
At least until this front dives off East:
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Yellow warning of RainIssued at:1236 on Tue 28 Jan 2014Valid from:0800 on Fri 31 Jan 2014Valid to:0300 on Sat 1 Feb 2014A further area of heavy rain will spread eastwards across the UK on Friday, clearing the southeast of England during the early hours of Saturday. 20-30 mm of rain will fall quite widely, with around 40 mm on some high ground in the southwest of England and south Wales. The heavy rain will be accompanied by strong to gale force winds. The public should be aware of possible disruption, primarily due to further flooding, chiefly in areas already, or recently, affected. Another very deep area of low pressure will spread heavy rain and strong to gale force winds eastwards across the UK during Friday, before the associated frontal systems clear the southeast of England during the early hours of Saturday. Following recent wet weather, the areas highlighted have saturated ground and are particularly sensitive to further heavy rain.Hampshire, East Sussex, Surrey, Kent, Brighton and Hove, West Sussex, Isle of Wight, Portsmouth, Southampton
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Heavy rain set to hit North Devon on Friday and SaturdayA SEVERE weather warning for heavy rain this weekend has been issued by the Met Office.The agency has put the yellow warning in place between 8am on Friday and 3am on Saturday. Up to 40mm of rain is expected to fall on high ground in the area while lower areas will see up to 30mm. The public are being warned to be aware of the risk of flooding, particularly given recent heavy rainfall.A chief forecaster at the Met Office said: “Another very deep area of low pressure will spread heavy rain and strong to gale force winds eastwards across the UK during Friday, before the associated frontal systems clear the south-east of England during the early hours of Saturday. “Following recent wet weather the areas highlighted have saturated ground and are particularly sensitive to further heavy rain.â€
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19.2mm of rain overnight and some of that was hail and sleet on the way home. Next low cruises in off The Atlantic late Friday and surprise, surprise, more rain:
NMM shows it close up and personal:
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In years gone by we'd be really interested in a deep low like this coming in off the Atlantic. But with the continual bombardment we've had this Winter, the Met O fax chart is almost unremarkable despite a circa 956 mb centre:
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Scotland’s weather: Heavy snow expected on Friday
THE Met Office have issued yellow weather alerts, warning of potentially “atrocious†conditions on Friday as forecasters expect snow to sweep across Scotland. While the rest of the UK is will be whipped by further gales and torrential rain, snow fall at low levels will hit Scotland.
Met Office forecaster Gordon McKinstry said: “We’ve issued a yellow alert this morning for some potentially very poor conditions coming in from the west on Friday. In Scotland it will be a very different beast from the rest of the country, It has the potential to fall at some very low levels - at this point is very difficult to say at what level and by what amounts but it certainly has the potential to cause travel disruption throughout the whole of Friday.â€Mr McKinstry said that the snow would affect almost the whole of Scotland with only the Moray Firth and Inverness area likely to escape the worst of it. He said: “Anyone travelling south from there could find the conditions quite bad, and certainly the Central Belt could be quite bad.â€The snow is expected not to last the day, though, moving out into the North Sea before night. But it will be replaced by gales and heavy showers - falling as snow in the mountains - driven on by a deep low coming in from the Atlantic.http://www.scotsman.com/news/environment/scotland-s-weather-heavy-snow-expected-on-friday-1-3284643
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Here we go again!
Of course, there's a shed load more rain:
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5.3°C
991.8 hPa rising 0.1 HPa/hr
Wind 4.4 mph gusting 11.2 mph max S/SE
DP 4.4°C
Humidity 94%
19.2mm rain last 24 hours
Cloud base 439 ft
It's raining again
A horribly unsettled run.
South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 26/01/14 12z --------->
in Regional
Posted
Time to get a new car on order